Centuri Holdings Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

CTRI Stock  USD 26.14  0.32  1.24%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centuri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 26.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.95. Centuri Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Centuri Holdings' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 5th of January 2026 The relative strength momentum indicator of Centuri Holdings' share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 92

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Centuri Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Centuri Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Centuri Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Centuri Holdings from the perspective of Centuri Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centuri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 26.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.95.

Centuri Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 26.58  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centuri Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Centuri Stock please use our How to Invest in Centuri Holdings guide.

Centuri Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Centuri price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Centuri using various technical indicators. When you analyze Centuri charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Triple exponential smoothing for Centuri Holdings - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Centuri Holdings prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Centuri Holdings price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Centuri Holdings.

Centuri Holdings Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Centuri Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 26.33 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.95.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Centuri Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Centuri Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Centuri Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Centuri HoldingsCenturi Holdings Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Centuri Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Centuri Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Centuri Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 23.42 and 29.24, respectively. We have considered Centuri Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
26.14
26.33
Expected Value
29.24
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Centuri Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Centuri Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0947
MADMean absolute deviation0.5076
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0228
SAESum of the absolute errors29.95
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Centuri Holdings observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Centuri Holdings observations.

Predictive Modules for Centuri Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Centuri Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
23.6626.5829.50
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
24.7927.7130.63
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
25.6326.2826.93
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Centuri Holdings

For every potential investor in Centuri, whether a beginner or expert, Centuri Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Centuri Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Centuri. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Centuri Holdings' price trends.

Centuri Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Centuri Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Centuri Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Centuri Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Centuri Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Centuri Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Centuri Holdings' current price.

Centuri Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Centuri Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Centuri Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Centuri Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Centuri Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Centuri Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of Centuri Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Centuri Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting centuri stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether Centuri Holdings offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Centuri Holdings' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Centuri Holdings Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Centuri Holdings Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Centuri Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more detail on how to invest in Centuri Stock please use our How to Invest in Centuri Holdings guide.
You can also try the Pattern Recognition module to use different Pattern Recognition models to time the market across multiple global exchanges.
Is Construction & Engineering space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Centuri Holdings. If investors know Centuri will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Centuri Holdings listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Centuri Holdings is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Centuri that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Centuri Holdings' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Centuri Holdings' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Centuri Holdings' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Centuri Holdings' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Centuri Holdings' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Centuri Holdings is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Centuri Holdings' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.