CVS Health Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average
| CVS Stock | USD 75.42 0.90 1.21% |
CVS Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, the relative strength index (RSI) of CVS Health's share price is approaching 45 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling CVS Health, making its price go up or down. Momentum 45
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.43) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9642 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.6596 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.1716 | Wall Street Target Price 94.76 |
Using CVS Health hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of CVS Health Corp from the perspective of CVS Health response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards CVS Health using CVS Health's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards CVS using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of CVS Health's stock price.
CVS Health Short Interest
An investor who is long CVS Health may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about CVS Health and may potentially protect profits, hedge CVS Health with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 72.0448 | Short Percent 0.0149 | Short Ratio 3.02 | Shares Short Prior Month 22.9 M | 50 Day MA 78.7474 |
CVS Relative Strength Index
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CVS Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 75.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.75.CVS Health Corp Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to CVS Health's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in CVS. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding CVS can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around CVS Health Corp. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of CVS Health's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about CVS Health.
CVS Health Implied Volatility | 0.33 |
CVS Health's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of CVS Health Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if CVS Health's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that CVS Health stock will not fluctuate a lot when CVS Health's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CVS Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 75.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18 and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.75. CVS Health after-hype prediction price | USD 75.42 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVS Health to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current CVS contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that CVS Health Corp will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0206% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With CVS Health trading at USD 75.42, that is roughly USD 0.0156 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating CVS Health's daily price movement you should consider acquiring CVS Health Corp options at the current volatility level of 0.33%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 CVS Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast CVS Health's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in CVS Health's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for CVS Health stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current CVS Health's open interest, investors have to compare it to CVS Health's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of CVS Health is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in CVS. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
CVS Health Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine CVS price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for CVS using various technical indicators. When you analyze CVS charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
CVS Health Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 4th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of CVS Health Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 75.42 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.18, mean absolute percentage error of 3.82, and the sum of the absolute errors of 70.75.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict CVS Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that CVS Health's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
CVS Health Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest CVS Health | CVS Health Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
CVS Health Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting CVS Health's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. CVS Health's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 73.06 and 77.78, respectively. We have considered CVS Health's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of CVS Health stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent CVS Health stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.6131 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0583 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1792 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0153 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 70.75 |
Predictive Modules for CVS Health
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as CVS Health Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of CVS Health's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
CVS Health After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of CVS Health at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in CVS Health or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of CVS Health, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
CVS Health Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting CVS Health's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on CVS Health's historical news coverage. CVS Health's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 73.08 and 77.76, respectively. We have considered CVS Health's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
CVS Health is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of CVS Health Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
CVS Health Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as CVS Health is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading CVS Health backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with CVS Health, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.02 | 2.36 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
75.42 | 75.42 | 0.00 |
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CVS Health Hype Timeline
On the 3rd of February CVS Health Corp is traded for 75.42. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. CVS is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.02%. %. The volatility of related hype on CVS Health is about 955.47%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 75.42. About 90.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.3. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. CVS Health Corp has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.53. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of January 2026. The firm had 2:1 split on the 7th of June 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of CVS Health to cross-verify your projections.CVS Health Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to CVS Health's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict CVS Health's future price movements. Getting to know how CVS Health's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how CVS Health may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MCK | McKesson | 4.98 | 9 per month | 1.24 | 0.02 | 2.19 | (2.22) | 5.78 | |
| CI | Cigna Corp | 5.64 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.20 | (2.42) | 17.39 | |
| ELV | Elevance Health | (1.52) | 5 per month | 2.95 | (0.0005) | 3.78 | (2.54) | 19.95 | |
| GSK | GlaxoSmithKline PLC ADR | (0.63) | 11 per month | 0.93 | 0.17 | 2.38 | (1.83) | 8.39 | |
| HCA | HCA Holdings | 0.90 | 8 per month | 1.61 | 0.01 | 2.91 | (2.89) | 9.97 | |
| BMY | Bristol Myers Squibb | 1.00 | 6 per month | 1.00 | 0.18 | 3.59 | (1.98) | 11.16 | |
| VRTX | Vertex Pharmaceuticals | (2.63) | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.07 | 3.37 | (2.36) | 9.91 | |
| MDT | Medtronic PLC | 0.46 | 7 per month | 0.72 | 0.09 | 2.41 | (1.61) | 6.95 | |
| COR | Cencora | 1.38 | 9 per month | 1.31 | 0.06 | 1.93 | (2.39) | 7.13 | |
| HUM | Humana Inc | (12.05) | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 3.79 | (6.01) | 27.31 |
Other Forecasting Options for CVS Health
For every potential investor in CVS, whether a beginner or expert, CVS Health's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. CVS Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in CVS. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying CVS Health's price trends.CVS Health Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with CVS Health stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of CVS Health could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing CVS Health by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
CVS Health Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how CVS Health stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading CVS Health shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying CVS Health stock market strength indicators, traders can identify CVS Health Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
CVS Health Risk Indicators
The analysis of CVS Health's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in CVS Health's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cvs stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.44 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.35 | |||
| Variance | 5.54 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for CVS Health
The number of cover stories for CVS Health depends on current market conditions and CVS Health's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that CVS Health is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about CVS Health's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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CVS Health Short Properties
CVS Health's future price predictability will typically decrease when CVS Health's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of CVS Health Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential CVS Health's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. CVS Health's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 1.3 B | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 11 B |
Additional Tools for CVS Stock Analysis
When running CVS Health's price analysis, check to measure CVS Health's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy CVS Health is operating at the current time. Most of CVS Health's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of CVS Health's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move CVS Health's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of CVS Health to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.