Caldwell Partners OTC Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| CWLPF Stock | USD 0.71 0.05 6.58% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Caldwell Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 0.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67. Caldwell OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Caldwell Partners' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 23rd of January 2026 the value of rsi of Caldwell Partners' share price is below 20 suggesting that the otc stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
It is a matter of debate whether otc price prediction based on information in financial news can generate a strong buy or sell signal. We use our internally-built news screening methodology to estimate the value of Caldwell Partners based on different types of headlines from major news networks to social media. Using Caldwell Partners hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of The Caldwell Partners from the perspective of Caldwell Partners response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Caldwell Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 0.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67. Caldwell Partners after-hype prediction price | USD 0.6 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as otc price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Caldwell |
Caldwell Partners Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Caldwell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caldwell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caldwell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Caldwell Partners Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of The Caldwell Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 0.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.01, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.67.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Caldwell OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Caldwell Partners' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Caldwell Partners OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Caldwell Partners | Caldwell Partners Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Caldwell Partners Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Caldwell Partners' OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Caldwell Partners' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.06, respectively. We have considered Caldwell Partners' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Caldwell Partners otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Caldwell Partners otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 108.4527 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0032 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0112 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0177 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.67 |
Predictive Modules for Caldwell Partners
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caldwell Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Caldwell Partners After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Caldwell Partners at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caldwell Partners or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of OTC Stock prices, such as prices of Caldwell Partners, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Caldwell Partners Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Caldwell Partners' otc stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caldwell Partners' historical news coverage. Caldwell Partners' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 3.95, respectively. We have considered Caldwell Partners' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Caldwell Partners is extremely dangerous at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caldwell Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Caldwell Partners OTC Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a OTC Stock such as Caldwell Partners is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caldwell Partners backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the OTC price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caldwell Partners, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.57 | 3.35 | 0.11 | 0.03 | 2 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
0.71 | 0.60 | 15.49 |
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Caldwell Partners Hype Timeline
Caldwell Partners is currently traded for 0.71. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.11, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.03. Caldwell is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 0.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price reduction on the next news is expected to be -15.49%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.57%. The volatility of related hype on Caldwell Partners is about 7556.96%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.74. About 32.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.32. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Caldwell Partners last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2020. The entity had 2:1 split on the 17th of May 1996. Assuming the 90 days horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Caldwell Partners to cross-verify your projections.Caldwell Partners Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Caldwell Partners' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caldwell Partners' future price movements. Getting to know how Caldwell Partners' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caldwell Partners may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| LTNC | Labor Smart | 0.29 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 25.00 | (20.00) | 66.07 | |
| TCHH | Trustcash Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| ORBT | Orbit International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.43 | 0.04 | 8.49 | (6.48) | 27.63 | |
| DFEL | China TMK Battery | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 104.10 | |
| TMGEF | Thermal Energy International | 0.19 | 1 per month | 3.13 | 0.01 | 10.00 | (7.86) | 26.14 | |
| OPST | Opt Sciences Corp | (0.13) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.35) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 1.78 | |
| TOGI | TurnOnGreen | 0.05 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 11.24 | (9.79) | 31.25 | |
| LPSIF | Legend Power Systems | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.20) | 1.27 | (8.33) | 23.11 | |
| SLNFF | Solution Financial | 0.00 | 1 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| LDDFF | Liberty Defense Holdings | 0.04 | 1 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 9.09 | (10.00) | 41.17 |
Other Forecasting Options for Caldwell Partners
For every potential investor in Caldwell, whether a beginner or expert, Caldwell Partners' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Caldwell OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Caldwell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Caldwell Partners' price trends.Caldwell Partners Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Caldwell Partners otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Caldwell Partners could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caldwell Partners by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Caldwell Partners Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Caldwell Partners otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Caldwell Partners shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Caldwell Partners otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify The Caldwell Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.93 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.71 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.71 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.05) |
Caldwell Partners Risk Indicators
The analysis of Caldwell Partners' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caldwell Partners' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caldwell otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.94 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.77 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.22 | |||
| Variance | 10.35 | |||
| Downside Variance | 14.07 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.14 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.88) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Caldwell Partners
The number of cover stories for Caldwell Partners depends on current market conditions and Caldwell Partners' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caldwell Partners is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caldwell Partners' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Other Information on Investing in Caldwell OTC Stock
Caldwell Partners financial ratios help investors to determine whether Caldwell OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Caldwell with respect to the benefits of owning Caldwell Partners security.