AdvisorShares Focused Etf Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| CWS Etf | USD 70.80 0.33 0.47% |
AdvisorShares Etf outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength momentum indicator of AdvisorShares Focused's share price is at 56 suggesting that the etf is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling AdvisorShares Focused, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using AdvisorShares Focused hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of AdvisorShares Focused Equity from the perspective of AdvisorShares Focused response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards AdvisorShares Focused using AdvisorShares Focused's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards AdvisorShares using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of AdvisorShares Focused's stock price.
AdvisorShares Focused Implied Volatility | 0.2 |
AdvisorShares Focused's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of AdvisorShares Focused Equity stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if AdvisorShares Focused's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that AdvisorShares Focused stock will not fluctuate a lot when AdvisorShares Focused's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AdvisorShares Focused Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 70.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.30. AdvisorShares Focused after-hype prediction price | USD 70.75 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as etf price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current AdvisorShares contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that AdvisorShares Focused Equity will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0125% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With AdvisorShares Focused trading at USD 70.8, that is roughly USD 0.00885 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating AdvisorShares Focused's daily price movement you should consider acquiring AdvisorShares Focused Equity options at the current volatility level of 0.2%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 AdvisorShares Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast AdvisorShares Focused's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in AdvisorShares Focused's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for AdvisorShares Focused stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current AdvisorShares Focused's open interest, investors have to compare it to AdvisorShares Focused's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of AdvisorShares Focused is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in AdvisorShares. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
AdvisorShares Focused Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine AdvisorShares price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for AdvisorShares using various technical indicators. When you analyze AdvisorShares charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
AdvisorShares Focused Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of AdvisorShares Focused Equity on the next trading day is expected to be 70.80 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.50, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.30.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict AdvisorShares Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that AdvisorShares Focused's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
AdvisorShares Focused Etf Forecast Pattern
| Backtest AdvisorShares Focused | AdvisorShares Focused Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
AdvisorShares Focused Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting AdvisorShares Focused's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. AdvisorShares Focused's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 70.02 and 71.58, respectively. We have considered AdvisorShares Focused's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of AdvisorShares Focused etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent AdvisorShares Focused etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.4756 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0995 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4966 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0072 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.301 |
Predictive Modules for AdvisorShares Focused
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as AdvisorShares Focused. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of AdvisorShares Focused's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
AdvisorShares Focused After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of AdvisorShares Focused at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in AdvisorShares Focused or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Etf prices, such as prices of AdvisorShares Focused, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
AdvisorShares Focused Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting AdvisorShares Focused's etf value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on AdvisorShares Focused's historical news coverage. AdvisorShares Focused's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 69.97 and 71.53, respectively. We have considered AdvisorShares Focused's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
AdvisorShares Focused is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of AdvisorShares Focused is based on 3 months time horizon.
AdvisorShares Focused Etf Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a ETF such as AdvisorShares Focused is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading AdvisorShares Focused backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Etf price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with AdvisorShares Focused, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.09 | 0.78 | 0.04 | 0.01 | 4 Events / Month | 3 Events / Month | In about 4 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
70.80 | 70.75 | 0.07 |
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AdvisorShares Focused Hype Timeline
On the 27th of January AdvisorShares Focused is traded for 70.80. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.04, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. AdvisorShares is anticipated to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 70.75. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 156.0%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.07%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.09%. The volatility of related hype on AdvisorShares Focused is about 1026.32%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 70.79. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 4 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AdvisorShares Focused to cross-verify your projections.AdvisorShares Focused Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to AdvisorShares Focused's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict AdvisorShares Focused's future price movements. Getting to know how AdvisorShares Focused's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how AdvisorShares Focused may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ROE | Astoria Quality Kings | 0.13 | 5 per month | 0.87 | 0.02 | 1.34 | (1.66) | 3.56 | |
| BVAL | Exchange Traded Concepts | (0.29) | 1 per month | 0.52 | 0.0001 | 1.12 | (1.06) | 2.92 | |
| NFTY | First Trust India | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 1.16 | (0.99) | 3.79 | |
| LFGY | YieldMax Crypto Industry | 0.16 | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.92 | (5.03) | 10.32 | |
| CZA | Invesco Zacks Mid Cap | (0.39) | 2 per month | 0.57 | 0.01 | 1.47 | (1.09) | 3.58 | |
| OVL | Overlay Shares Large | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.97 | (0.03) | 1.39 | (1.59) | 5.13 | |
| NZAC | SPDR MSCI ACWI | 0.14 | 4 per month | 0.84 | (0.05) | 0.98 | (1.22) | 3.62 | |
| BKCI | BNY Mellon ETF | (0.02) | 4 per month | 0.75 | (0.07) | 1.23 | (1.43) | 3.88 | |
| BFOR | Barrons 400 ETF | 0.11 | 2 per month | 0.73 | 0.04 | 1.69 | (1.14) | 3.25 | |
| POWA | Invesco Bloomberg Pricing | (0.60) | 2 per month | 0.65 | (0.05) | 1.18 | (0.92) | 3.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for AdvisorShares Focused
For every potential investor in AdvisorShares, whether a beginner or expert, AdvisorShares Focused's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. AdvisorShares Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in AdvisorShares. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying AdvisorShares Focused's price trends.AdvisorShares Focused Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with AdvisorShares Focused etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of AdvisorShares Focused could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing AdvisorShares Focused by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
AdvisorShares Focused Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how AdvisorShares Focused etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading AdvisorShares Focused shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying AdvisorShares Focused etf market strength indicators, traders can identify AdvisorShares Focused Equity entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
AdvisorShares Focused Risk Indicators
The analysis of AdvisorShares Focused's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in AdvisorShares Focused's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting advisorshares etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 0.6385 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8406 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 0.8504 | |||
| Variance | 0.7231 | |||
| Downside Variance | 0.8604 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7066 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (0.63) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for AdvisorShares Focused
The number of cover stories for AdvisorShares Focused depends on current market conditions and AdvisorShares Focused's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that AdvisorShares Focused is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about AdvisorShares Focused's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of AdvisorShares Focused to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Price Transformation module to use Price Transformation models to analyze the depth of different equity instruments across global markets.
The market value of AdvisorShares Focused is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of AdvisorShares that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of AdvisorShares Focused's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is AdvisorShares Focused's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because AdvisorShares Focused's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect AdvisorShares Focused's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between AdvisorShares Focused's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if AdvisorShares Focused is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, AdvisorShares Focused's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.