Sprinklr Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

CXM Stock  USD 6.57  0.01  0.15%   
Sprinklr Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, the value of RSI of Sprinklr's share price is approaching 34 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Sprinklr, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 34

 Sell Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Sprinklr's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Sprinklr and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Sprinklr's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Sprinklr, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Sprinklr hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Sprinklr from the perspective of Sprinklr response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sprinklr on the next trading day is expected to be 6.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28.

Sprinklr after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 6.57  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprinklr to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Sprinklr Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sprinklr guide.

Sprinklr Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Sprinklr price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Sprinklr using various technical indicators. When you analyze Sprinklr charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Sprinklr simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for Sprinklr are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as Sprinklr prices get older.

Sprinklr Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 29th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Sprinklr on the next trading day is expected to be 6.57 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.28.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Sprinklr Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Sprinklr's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Sprinklr Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Sprinklr  Sprinklr Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Sprinklr Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Sprinklr's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Sprinklr's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 4.60 and 8.54, respectively. We have considered Sprinklr's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
6.57
6.57
Expected Value
8.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Sprinklr stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Sprinklr stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria112.4524
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0167
MADMean absolute deviation0.1047
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0142
SAESum of the absolute errors6.28
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting Sprinklr forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent Sprinklr observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for Sprinklr

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Sprinklr. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Sprinklr's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
4.606.578.54
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
4.976.948.91
Details

Sprinklr After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Sprinklr at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Sprinklr or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Sprinklr, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Sprinklr Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Sprinklr's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Sprinklr's historical news coverage. Sprinklr's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 4.60 and 8.54, respectively. We have considered Sprinklr's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
6.57
6.57
After-hype Price
8.54
Upside
Sprinklr is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Sprinklr is based on 3 months time horizon.

Sprinklr Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Sprinklr is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Sprinklr backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Sprinklr, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.21 
1.97
 0.00  
  0.08 
0 Events / Month
2 Events / Month
In 5 to 10 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
6.57
6.57
0.00 
0.00  
Notes

Sprinklr Hype Timeline

On the 28th of January Sprinklr is traded for 6.57. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.08. Sprinklr is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.21%. %. The volatility of related hype on Sprinklr is about 533.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 6.49. About 95.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Sprinklr was currently reported as 2.27. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.82. Sprinklr had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:20 split on the July 18, 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in 5 to 10 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprinklr to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Sprinklr Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sprinklr guide.

Sprinklr Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Sprinklr's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Sprinklr's future price movements. Getting to know how Sprinklr's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Sprinklr may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.

Other Forecasting Options for Sprinklr

For every potential investor in Sprinklr, whether a beginner or expert, Sprinklr's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Sprinklr Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Sprinklr. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Sprinklr's price trends.

Sprinklr Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Sprinklr stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Sprinklr could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Sprinklr by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Sprinklr Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Sprinklr stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Sprinklr shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Sprinklr stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Sprinklr entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Sprinklr Risk Indicators

The analysis of Sprinklr's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Sprinklr's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting sprinklr stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Sprinklr

The number of cover stories for Sprinklr depends on current market conditions and Sprinklr's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Sprinklr is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Sprinklr's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Sprinklr Short Properties

Sprinklr's future price predictability will typically decrease when Sprinklr's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Sprinklr often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Sprinklr's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Sprinklr's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding274.8 M
Cash And Short Term Investments483.5 M
When determining whether Sprinklr is a strong investment it is important to analyze Sprinklr's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Sprinklr's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Sprinklr Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Sprinklr to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Sprinklr Stock, please use our How to Invest in Sprinklr guide.
You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Will Stock sector continue expanding? Could Sprinklr diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Sprinklr. Projected growth potential of Sprinklr fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Sprinklr data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
The market value of Sprinklr is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Sprinklr that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Sprinklr's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Sprinklr's true underlying value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Because Sprinklr's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Sprinklr's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Sprinklr's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Sprinklr should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Sprinklr's quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.