Crane NXT Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression
| CXT Stock | 62.20 2.09 3.48% |
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crane NXT Co on the next trading day is expected to be 61.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16 and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.14. Crane Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
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Crane NXT Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 27th of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Crane NXT Co on the next trading day is expected to be 61.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.16, mean absolute percentage error of 1.87, and the sum of the absolute errors of 72.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Crane Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Crane NXT's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Crane NXT Stock Forecast Pattern
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Crane NXT Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Crane NXT's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Crane NXT's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 59.27 and 63.12, respectively. We have considered Crane NXT's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Crane NXT stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Crane NXT stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.5717 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1635 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0205 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 72.1364 |
Predictive Modules for Crane NXT
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Crane NXT. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Crane NXT's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Crane NXT
For every potential investor in Crane, whether a beginner or expert, Crane NXT's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Crane Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Crane. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Crane NXT's price trends.View Crane NXT Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Crane NXT Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Crane NXT's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Crane NXT's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Crane NXT Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Crane NXT stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Crane NXT shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Crane NXT stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Crane NXT Co entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19932.13 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.9721 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.03 | |||
| Day Median Price | 61.96 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 62.04 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 1.29 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 2.09 |
Crane NXT Risk Indicators
The analysis of Crane NXT's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Crane NXT's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting crane stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.27 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.88 | |||
| Variance | 3.52 | |||
| Downside Variance | 4.41 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.59 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.20) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Additional Tools for Crane Stock Analysis
When running Crane NXT's price analysis, check to measure Crane NXT's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Crane NXT is operating at the current time. Most of Crane NXT's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Crane NXT's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Crane NXT's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Crane NXT to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.