Kadant Inc Stock Price Prediction

KAI Stock  USD 376.21  3.22  0.86%   
As of 30th of January 2025, The relative strength index (RSI) of Kadant's share price is at 54. This indicates that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Kadant, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

54

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Kadant's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Kadant Inc, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Kadant's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.019
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.31
EPS Estimate Current Year
10.0667
EPS Estimate Next Year
10.5433
Wall Street Target Price
341.6667
Using Kadant hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Kadant Inc from the perspective of Kadant response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Kadant using Kadant's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Kadant using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Kadant's stock price.

Kadant Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in Kadant's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Kadant. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Kadant stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
326.9078
Short Percent
0.1108
Short Ratio
8.65
Shares Short Prior Month
1.3 M
50 Day MA
376.8336

Kadant Inc Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Kadant's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Kadant. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Kadant can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Kadant Inc. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Kadant's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Kadant.

Kadant Implied Volatility

    
  0.49  
Kadant's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Kadant Inc stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Kadant's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Kadant stock will not fluctuate a lot when Kadant's options are near their expiration.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Kadant to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Kadant because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Kadant after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 375.6  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Kadant contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Kadant Inc will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0306% per day over the life of the 2025-04-17 option contract. With Kadant trading at USD 376.21, that is roughly USD 0.12 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Kadant's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Kadant Inc options at the current volatility level of 0.49%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
  
Check out Kadant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
372.29374.29376.29
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
371.92373.92375.92
Details
4 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
310.92341.67379.25
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.512.522.53
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Kadant. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Kadant's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Kadant's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Kadant Inc.

Kadant After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Kadant at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Kadant or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Kadant, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Kadant Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Kadant's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Kadant's historical news coverage. Kadant's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 373.60 and 377.60, respectively. We have considered Kadant's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
376.21
373.60
Downside
375.60
After-hype Price
377.60
Upside
Kadant is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Kadant Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.

Kadant Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Kadant is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Kadant backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Kadant, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.17 
2.00
  0.61 
  0.13 
13 Events / Month
9 Events / Month
In about 13 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
376.21
375.60
0.16 
56.18  
Notes

Kadant Hype Timeline

On the 30th of January Kadant Inc is traded for 376.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.61, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.13. Kadant is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 375.6. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 56.18%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.16%, whereas the daily expected return is now at 0.17%. The volatility of related hype on Kadant is about 256.66%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 376.08. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 9.77. Kadant Inc last dividend was issued on the 10th of January 2025. The entity had 1:5 split on the 12th of July 2001. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 13 days.
Check out Kadant Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.

Kadant Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Kadant's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Kadant's future price movements. Getting to know how Kadant's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Kadant may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
LXFRLuxfer Holdings PLC(0.75)8 per month 1.79  0.06  3.55 (3.00) 18.90 
GHMGraham(0.28)7 per month 2.31  0.16  7.07 (4.10) 25.97 
EPACEnerpac Tool Group(1.82)8 per month 1.69 (0.03) 2.35 (2.90) 13.10 
OFLXOmega Flex(0.72)8 per month 0.00 (0.14) 3.54 (3.06) 13.58 
MIDDMiddleby Corp(1.68)9 per month 1.53  0.11  3.06 (1.78) 15.86 
NPOEnpro Industries(0.62)8 per month 1.51  0.12  2.56 (2.11) 17.55 
ITTITT Inc(1.77)10 per month 1.53 (0.03) 2.52 (2.71) 9.57 
FELEFranklin Electric Co(1.66)7 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.20 (2.14) 13.66 
HURCHurco Companies(0.04)5 per month 2.19 (0.0009) 4.27 (3.42) 14.38 
GRCGorman Rupp 0.32 8 per month 1.78 (0.01) 2.35 (2.56) 14.03 
CRCrane Company(0.31)10 per month 1.47  0.05  4.19 (2.88) 9.48 
IEXIDEX Corporation(1.03)9 per month 1.19  0.02  2.22 (1.71) 11.99 
GGGGraco Inc 0.23 8 per month 1.34 (0.06) 1.64 (2.13) 8.14 

Kadant Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Kadant price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Kadant using various technical indicators. When you analyze Kadant charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Kadant Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Kadant stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Kadant Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Kadant based on analysis of Kadant hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Kadant's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Kadant's related companies.
 2016 2022 2024 2025 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.01210.0057970.0066670.009951
Price To Sales Ratio1.612.292.631.95

Story Coverage note for Kadant

The number of cover stories for Kadant depends on current market conditions and Kadant's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Kadant is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Kadant's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Kadant Short Properties

Kadant's future price predictability will typically decrease when Kadant's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Kadant Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Kadant's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Kadant's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding11.7 M
Cash And Short Term Investments103.8 M

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When running Kadant's price analysis, check to measure Kadant's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Kadant is operating at the current time. Most of Kadant's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Kadant's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Kadant's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Kadant to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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