Cyberlux Corp Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| CYBL Stock | USD 0.01 0 22.81% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cyberlux Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06. Cyberlux Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Cyberlux Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cyberlux Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cyberlux Corp fundamentals over time.
Cyberlux |
Cyberlux Corp Cash Forecast
To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Cyberlux Corp's financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
Cash | First Reported 2003-03-31 | Previous Quarter 73 K | Current Value 45.1 K | Quarterly Volatility 117.9 K |
Cyberlux Corp Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Cyberlux Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.01 with a mean absolute deviation of 0, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0000021, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.06.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cyberlux Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cyberlux Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cyberlux Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
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Cyberlux Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cyberlux Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cyberlux Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.00007 and 48.24, respectively. We have considered Cyberlux Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cyberlux Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cyberlux Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 106.8747 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.001 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.2112 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0624 |
Predictive Modules for Cyberlux Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cyberlux Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Other Forecasting Options for Cyberlux Corp
For every potential investor in Cyberlux, whether a beginner or expert, Cyberlux Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cyberlux Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cyberlux. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cyberlux Corp's price trends.View Cyberlux Corp Related Equities
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cyberlux Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Cyberlux Corp's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Cyberlux Corp's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Cyberlux Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cyberlux Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cyberlux Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cyberlux Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cyberlux Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 4.2 M | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.7222 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.23 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0061 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0064 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.0016 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.0013 | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 49.29 |
Cyberlux Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cyberlux Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cyberlux Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cyberlux stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 16.36 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 9.24 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 47.15 | |||
| Variance | 2223.07 | |||
| Downside Variance | 129.93 | |||
| Semi Variance | 85.39 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (25.44) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Try AI Portfolio ArchitectCheck out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cyberlux Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Cyberlux Stock please use our How to buy in Cyberlux Stock guide.You can also try the Equity Valuation module to check real value of public entities based on technical and fundamental data.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cyberlux Corp. If investors know Cyberlux will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Cyberlux Corp listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Revenue Per Share 0.003 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 801.318 | Return On Assets 0.1609 |
The market value of Cyberlux Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Cyberlux that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Cyberlux Corp's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Cyberlux Corp's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Cyberlux Corp's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Cyberlux Corp's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Cyberlux Corp's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Cyberlux Corp is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Cyberlux Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.