Cyberlux Corp Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| CYBL Stock | USD 0 0.0002 11.11% |
Cyberlux Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Cyberlux Corp's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Cyberlux Corp's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Cyberlux Corp fundamentals over time.
As of now, the relative strength index (RSI) of Cyberlux Corp's share price is approaching 38 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Cyberlux Corp, making its price go up or down. Momentum 38
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.55) |
Using Cyberlux Corp hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Cyberlux Corp from the perspective of Cyberlux Corp response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Cyberlux Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01. Cyberlux Corp after-hype prediction price | USD 0.001706 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cyberlux Corp to cross-verify your projections. Cyberlux Corp Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Cyberlux price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Cyberlux using various technical indicators. When you analyze Cyberlux charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Cyberlux Corp Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Cyberlux Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.0002, mean absolute percentage error of 0.00000006, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.01.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Cyberlux Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Cyberlux Corp's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Cyberlux Corp Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Cyberlux Corp | Cyberlux Corp Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Cyberlux Corp Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Cyberlux Corp's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Cyberlux Corp's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.000016 and 8.17, respectively. We have considered Cyberlux Corp's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Cyberlux Corp stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Cyberlux Corp stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 101.5008 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 2.0E-4 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0966 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.0124 |
Predictive Modules for Cyberlux Corp
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Cyberlux Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Cyberlux Corp After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Cyberlux Corp at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Cyberlux Corp or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Cyberlux Corp, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Cyberlux Corp Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Cyberlux Corp's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Cyberlux Corp's historical news coverage. Cyberlux Corp's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.00 and 8.17, respectively. We have considered Cyberlux Corp's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Cyberlux Corp is out of control at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Cyberlux Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Cyberlux Corp Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Cyberlux Corp is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Cyberlux Corp backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Cyberlux Corp, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.96 | 8.17 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 2 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0 | 0 | 6.63 |
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Cyberlux Corp Hype Timeline
Cyberlux Corp is currently traded for 0. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Cyberlux is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 0.001706 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price upswing on the next news is forecasted to be 6.63%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.96%. The volatility of related hype on Cyberlux Corp is about 204250.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.00. The company has Profit Margin (PM) of (1.22) %, which may suggest that it does not properly executes on its current pricing strategies or is unable to control all of the operational costs. This is way below average. Similarly, it shows Operating Margin (OM) of 0.52 %, which suggests for every 100 dollars of sales, it generated a net operating income of $0.52. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cyberlux Corp to cross-verify your projections.Cyberlux Corp Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Cyberlux Corp's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Cyberlux Corp's future price movements. Getting to know how Cyberlux Corp's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Cyberlux Corp may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SCIA | SCI Engineered Materials | 0.01 | 5 per month | 2.06 | 0.15 | 6.11 | (4.79) | 20.05 | |
| MMTIF | Micromem Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.51 | (0) | 6.67 | (25.00) | 58.33 | |
| LGLOF | Link Global Technologies | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MOOIF | Sensor Technologies Corp | 0.01 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 30.00 | |
| IEHC | Ieh Corp | 0.01 | 6 per month | 3.91 | 0.09 | 10.00 | (6.59) | 25.41 | |
| MLBEF | Webcentral Group Limited | 0.00 | 0 per month | 14.99 | 0.07 | 45.74 | (30.89) | 124.11 | |
| EAGRF | Leaf Mobile | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 0.00 | (4.35) | 32.21 | |
| CCTC | Clean Coal Technologies | 0.01 | 4 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| BGRDF | Tony G Co Investment | 0.00 | 0 per month | 8.24 | 0.09 | 14.63 | (16.67) | 276.75 | |
| TEKCF | Tekcapital plc | 0.00 | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for Cyberlux Corp
For every potential investor in Cyberlux, whether a beginner or expert, Cyberlux Corp's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Cyberlux Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Cyberlux. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Cyberlux Corp's price trends.Cyberlux Corp Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Cyberlux Corp stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Cyberlux Corp could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Cyberlux Corp by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Cyberlux Corp Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Cyberlux Corp stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Cyberlux Corp shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Cyberlux Corp stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Cyberlux Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.89 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.0016 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.0016 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.0001) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.0002) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 38.66 |
Cyberlux Corp Risk Indicators
The analysis of Cyberlux Corp's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Cyberlux Corp's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting cyberlux stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 6.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 8.23 | |||
| Variance | 67.78 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Cyberlux Corp
The number of cover stories for Cyberlux Corp depends on current market conditions and Cyberlux Corp's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Cyberlux Corp is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Cyberlux Corp's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Cyberlux Corp to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Cyberlux Stock please use our How to buy in Cyberlux Stock guide.You can also try the Money Managers module to screen money managers from public funds and ETFs managed around the world.
Is Semiconductors & Semiconductor Equipment space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Cyberlux Corp. Projected growth potential of Cyberlux fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Cyberlux Corp assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.70) | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.55) | Return On Assets | Return On Equity |
Cyberlux Corp's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Cyberlux's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Cyberlux Corp's intrinsic value—its true economic worth—which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Since Cyberlux Corp's trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Cyberlux Corp's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Cyberlux Corp should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Cyberlux Corp's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.