Caesars Entertainment Stock Forward View - Simple Moving Average

CZR Stock  USD 22.31  1.72  8.35%   
Caesars Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Caesars Entertainment's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we suggest always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Caesars Entertainment's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Caesars Entertainment fundamentals over time.
As of today, the relative strength indicator of Caesars Entertainment's share price is approaching 49 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its support level. The main point of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Caesars Entertainment, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 49

 Impartial

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Caesars Entertainment's future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Caesars Entertainment and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Caesars Entertainment's fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Caesars Entertainment, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Caesars Entertainment's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.417
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.1835
EPS Estimate Current Year
(1.08)
EPS Estimate Next Year
0.335
Wall Street Target Price
32.1053
Using Caesars Entertainment hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Caesars Entertainment from the perspective of Caesars Entertainment response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Caesars Entertainment using Caesars Entertainment's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Caesars using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Caesars Entertainment's stock price.

Caesars Entertainment Short Interest

An investor who is long Caesars Entertainment may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Caesars Entertainment and may potentially protect profits, hedge Caesars Entertainment with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
25.383
Short Percent
0.1988
Short Ratio
7.48
Shares Short Prior Month
32 M
50 Day MA
23.2722

Caesars Relative Strength Index

The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caesars Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 22.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.96.

Caesars Entertainment Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Caesars Entertainment's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Caesars. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Caesars can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Caesars Entertainment. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Caesars Entertainment's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Caesars Entertainment.

Caesars Entertainment Implied Volatility

    
  0.76  
Caesars Entertainment's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Caesars Entertainment stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Caesars Entertainment's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Caesars Entertainment stock will not fluctuate a lot when Caesars Entertainment's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caesars Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 22.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.96.

Caesars Entertainment after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.66  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Caesars Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Caesars Stock, please use our How to Invest in Caesars Entertainment guide.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Caesars contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Caesars Entertainment will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0475% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Caesars Entertainment trading at USD 22.31, that is roughly USD 0.0106 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Caesars Entertainment's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Caesars Entertainment options at the current volatility level of 0.76%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Caesars Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Caesars Entertainment's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Caesars Entertainment's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Caesars Entertainment stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Caesars Entertainment's open interest, investors have to compare it to Caesars Entertainment's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Caesars Entertainment is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Caesars. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Caesars Entertainment Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Caesars price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Caesars using various technical indicators. When you analyze Caesars charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
A two period moving average forecast for Caesars Entertainment is based on an daily price series in which the stock price on a given day is replaced by the mean of that price and the preceding price. This model is best suited to price patterns experiencing average volatility.

Caesars Entertainment Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 5th of February

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Caesars Entertainment on the next trading day is expected to be 22.31 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.48, and the sum of the absolute errors of 30.96.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Caesars Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Caesars Entertainment's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Caesars Entertainment Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Caesars Entertainment  Caesars Entertainment Price Prediction  Research Analysis  

Caesars Entertainment Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Caesars Entertainment's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Caesars Entertainment's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 19.65 and 24.97, respectively. We have considered Caesars Entertainment's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
22.31
22.31
Expected Value
24.97
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Caesars Entertainment stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Caesars Entertainment stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.7012
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0689
MADMean absolute deviation0.5248
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.023
SAESum of the absolute errors30.965
The simple moving average model is conceptually a linear regression of the current value of Caesars Entertainment price series against current and previous (unobserved) value of Caesars Entertainment. In time series analysis, the simple moving-average model is a very common approach for modeling univariate price series models including forecasting prices into the future

Predictive Modules for Caesars Entertainment

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Caesars Entertainment. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.0020.6623.32
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.5025.5928.25
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
19.9923.0526.11
Details
15 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
29.2232.1135.64
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Caesars Entertainment. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Caesars Entertainment's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Caesars Entertainment's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Caesars Entertainment.

Caesars Entertainment After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Caesars Entertainment at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Caesars Entertainment or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Caesars Entertainment, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Caesars Entertainment Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Caesars Entertainment's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Caesars Entertainment's historical news coverage. Caesars Entertainment's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.00 and 23.32, respectively. We have considered Caesars Entertainment's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
22.31
20.66
After-hype Price
23.32
Upside
Caesars Entertainment is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Caesars Entertainment is based on 3 months time horizon.

Caesars Entertainment Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Caesars Entertainment is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Caesars Entertainment backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Caesars Entertainment, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.15 
2.66
  0.10 
  0.07 
7 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 7 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
22.31
20.66
0.49 
415.62  
Notes

Caesars Entertainment Hype Timeline

On the 4th of February Caesars Entertainment is traded for 22.31. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Caesars is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 20.66 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price gain on the next news is projected to be 0.49%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.15%. The volatility of related hype on Caesars Entertainment is about 546.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 22.24. The company reported the last year's revenue of 11.24 B. Reported Net Loss for the year was (278 M) with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 5.71 B. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Caesars Entertainment to cross-verify your projections.
To learn how to invest in Caesars Stock, please use our How to Invest in Caesars Entertainment guide.

Caesars Entertainment Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Caesars Entertainment's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Caesars Entertainment's future price movements. Getting to know how Caesars Entertainment's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Caesars Entertainment may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
BCBrunswick(0.61)10 per month 1.58  0.14  4.33 (2.82) 14.76 
RSIRush Street Interactive 0.82 8 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.17 (3.90) 9.77 
BRSLBrightstar Lottery PLC(0.63)9 per month 0.00 (0.20) 2.42 (2.06) 7.30 
BBBYBed Bath Beyond 0.04 7 per month 0.00 (0.11) 5.75 (6.04) 19.64 
WHRWhirlpool(0.74)8 per month 2.24  0.08  5.81 (4.39) 11.82 
CHHChoice Hotels International(2.08)10 per month 1.87  0.04  4.35 (3.41) 10.14 
KBHKB Home(1.11)9 per month 0.00 (0.05) 4.30 (2.48) 15.09 
SLGNSilgan Holdings 0.54 9 per month 0.00 (0.03) 2.44 (2.84) 13.57 
RRRRed Rock Resorts(0.64)8 per month 1.55  0.14  3.88 (2.57) 10.59 
HGVHilton Grand Vacations(0.46)6 per month 2.18  0  3.09 (3.07) 9.78 

Other Forecasting Options for Caesars Entertainment

For every potential investor in Caesars, whether a beginner or expert, Caesars Entertainment's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Caesars Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Caesars. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Caesars Entertainment's price trends.

Caesars Entertainment Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Caesars Entertainment stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Caesars Entertainment could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Caesars Entertainment by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Caesars Entertainment Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Caesars Entertainment stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Caesars Entertainment shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Caesars Entertainment stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Caesars Entertainment entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Caesars Entertainment Risk Indicators

The analysis of Caesars Entertainment's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Caesars Entertainment's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting caesars stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Caesars Entertainment

The number of cover stories for Caesars Entertainment depends on current market conditions and Caesars Entertainment's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Caesars Entertainment is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Caesars Entertainment's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Caesars Entertainment Short Properties

Caesars Entertainment's future price predictability will typically decrease when Caesars Entertainment's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Caesars Entertainment often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Caesars Entertainment's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Caesars Entertainment's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding215 M
Cash And Short Term Investments866 M

Additional Tools for Caesars Stock Analysis

When running Caesars Entertainment's price analysis, check to measure Caesars Entertainment's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Caesars Entertainment is operating at the current time. Most of Caesars Entertainment's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Caesars Entertainment's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Caesars Entertainment's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Caesars Entertainment to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.