Kb Home Stock Price Prediction
| KBH Stock | USD 77.79 0.18 0.23% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
49
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.133 | EPS Estimate Current Year 8.4335 | EPS Estimate Next Year 9.1366 | Wall Street Target Price 85.2308 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter 2.05 |
Using KB Home hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of KB Home from the perspective of KB Home response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
KB Home Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to KB Home's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in KBH. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding KBH can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around KB Home. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of KB Home's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about KB Home.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in KB Home to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying KBH because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
KB Home after-hype prediction price | USD 77.57 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
KBH |
KB Home After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of KB Home at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in KB Home or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of KB Home, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
KB Home Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting KB Home's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on KB Home's historical news coverage. KB Home's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 75.62 and 79.52, respectively. We have considered KB Home's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
KB Home is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of KB Home is based on 3 months time horizon.
KB Home Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as KB Home is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading KB Home backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with KB Home, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.11 | 1.96 | 0.19 | 0.20 | 12 Events / Month | 9 Events / Month | In about 12 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
77.79 | 77.57 | 0.28 |
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KB Home Hype Timeline
On the 22nd of November KB Home is traded for 77.79. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.19, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.2. KBH is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 77.57. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 115.29%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.28%, whereas the daily expected return is now at -0.11%. The volatility of related hype on KB Home is about 106.46%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 77.59. About 12.0% of the company outstanding shares are owned by corporate insiders. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.43. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. KB Home has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.63. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.79. The firm last dividend was issued on the 14th of November 2024. KB Home had 2:1 split on the 29th of April 2005. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 12 days. Check out KB Home Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.KB Home Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to KB Home's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict KB Home's future price movements. Getting to know how KB Home's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how KB Home may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DHI | DR Horton | (3.44) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 2.35 | (3.16) | 11.06 | |
| PHM | PulteGroup | (0.07) | 11 per month | 1.97 | (0.02) | 2.94 | (3.21) | 11.82 | |
| TOL | Toll Brothers | 2.77 | 8 per month | 1.46 | 0.06 | 3.91 | (2.91) | 9.47 | |
| NVR | NVR Inc | (22.08) | 11 per month | 1.33 | (0.04) | 2.09 | (1.93) | 6.47 | |
| LEN | Lennar | 1.74 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 2.50 | (3.91) | 8.84 | |
| HOV | Hovnanian Enterprises | 8.19 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 4.74 | (5.89) | 23.00 | |
| TMHC | Taylor Morn Home | (0.20) | 11 per month | 1.67 | 0.04 | 3.10 | (2.82) | 9.89 | |
| MHO | MI Homes | 0.01 | 7 per month | 2.38 | 0.00 | 3.78 | (4.24) | 11.78 | |
| CCS | Century Communities | (3.98) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.75 | (3.86) | 13.05 | |
| BZH | Beazer Homes USA | (1.35) | 9 per month | 2.10 | 0.03 | 4.20 | (3.93) | 12.19 |
KB Home Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine KBH price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for KBH using various technical indicators. When you analyze KBH charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About KB Home Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of KB Home stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as KB Home, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of KB Home based on analysis of KB Home hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to KB Home's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to KB Home's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.0192 | 0.0135 | 0.0155 | 0.031 | Price To Sales Ratio | 0.39 | 0.66 | 0.59 | 0.37 |
Story Coverage note for KB Home
The number of cover stories for KB Home depends on current market conditions and KB Home's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that KB Home is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about KB Home's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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KB Home Short Properties
KB Home's future price predictability will typically decrease when KB Home's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of KB Home often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential KB Home's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. KB Home's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 83.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 727.3 M |
Complementary Tools for KBH Stock analysis
When running KB Home's price analysis, check to measure KB Home's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy KB Home is operating at the current time. Most of KB Home's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of KB Home's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move KB Home's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of KB Home to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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