DoorDash Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DASH Stock  USD 219.79  6.69  2.95%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoorDash Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 219.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 325.94. DoorDash Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DoorDash's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 4th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of DoorDash's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of DoorDash's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DoorDash Class A, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting DoorDash's stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.459
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.6848
EPS Estimate Current Year
2.2508
EPS Estimate Next Year
3.2104
Wall Street Target Price
276.3878
Using DoorDash hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DoorDash Class A from the perspective of DoorDash response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DoorDash using DoorDash's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DoorDash using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DoorDash's stock price.

DoorDash Short Interest

A significant increase or decrease in DoorDash's short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards DoorDash. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of DoorDash stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA
227.2291
Short Percent
0.0333
Short Ratio
2.03
Shares Short Prior Month
13.4 M
50 Day MA
223.3633

DoorDash Class A Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to DoorDash's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DoorDash. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DoorDash can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DoorDash Class A. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DoorDash's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DoorDash.

DoorDash Implied Volatility

    
  0.53  
DoorDash's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DoorDash Class A stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DoorDash's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DoorDash stock will not fluctuate a lot when DoorDash's options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoorDash Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 219.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 325.94.

DoorDash after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 219.46  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DoorDash to cross-verify your projections.
The DoorDash's current Receivables Turnover is estimated to increase to 15.05, while Payables Turnover is projected to decrease to 14.36. . The current Common Stock Shares Outstanding is estimated to decrease to about 378.7 M. The DoorDash's current Net Loss is estimated to increase to about (1.2 B).

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 DoorDash Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast DoorDash's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in DoorDash's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for DoorDash stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current DoorDash's open interest, investors have to compare it to DoorDash's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of DoorDash is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DoorDash. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

DoorDash Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine DoorDash price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DoorDash using various technical indicators. When you analyze DoorDash charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for DoorDash works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

DoorDash Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoorDash Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 219.26 with a mean absolute deviation of 5.52, mean absolute percentage error of 64.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 325.94.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DoorDash Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DoorDash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DoorDash Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DoorDashDoorDash Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

DoorDash Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DoorDash's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DoorDash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 215.93 and 222.59, respectively. We have considered DoorDash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
219.79
215.93
Downside
219.26
Expected Value
222.59
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DoorDash stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DoorDash stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -1.1795
MADMean absolute deviation5.5245
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.025
SAESum of the absolute errors325.9431
When DoorDash Class A prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any DoorDash Class A trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent DoorDash observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for DoorDash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DoorDash Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DoorDash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
216.13219.46222.79
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
197.81240.40243.73
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
189.82219.15248.48
Details
41 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
251.51276.39306.79
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DoorDash

For every potential investor in DoorDash, whether a beginner or expert, DoorDash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DoorDash Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DoorDash. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DoorDash's price trends.

DoorDash Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DoorDash stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DoorDash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DoorDash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DoorDash Class A Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DoorDash's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DoorDash's current price.

DoorDash Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DoorDash stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DoorDash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DoorDash stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DoorDash Class A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DoorDash Risk Indicators

The analysis of DoorDash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DoorDash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting doordash stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether DoorDash Class A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DoorDash's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Doordash Class A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Doordash Class A Stock:
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DoorDash. If investors know DoorDash will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DoorDash listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.459
Earnings Share
1.98
Revenue Per Share
29.859
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.273
Return On Assets
0.0312
The market value of DoorDash Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DoorDash that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DoorDash's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DoorDash's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DoorDash's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DoorDash's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DoorDash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DoorDash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DoorDash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.