DoorDash Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DASH Stock  USD 205.32  4.79  2.28%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoorDash Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 205.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 292.37. DoorDash Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DoorDash's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 17th of January 2026 the relative strength indicator of DoorDash's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 0

 Sell Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of DoorDash's future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DoorDash Class A, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using DoorDash hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DoorDash Class A from the perspective of DoorDash response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoorDash Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 205.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.87 and the sum of the absolute errors of 292.37.

DoorDash after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 204.07  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DoorDash to cross-verify your projections.

DoorDash Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine DoorDash price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DoorDash using various technical indicators. When you analyze DoorDash charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
DoorDash simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for DoorDash Class A are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as DoorDash Class A prices get older.

DoorDash Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of January 2026

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoorDash Class A on the next trading day is expected to be 205.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.87, mean absolute percentage error of 59.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 292.37.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DoorDash Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DoorDash's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DoorDash Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DoorDashDoorDash Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

DoorDash Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DoorDash's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DoorDash's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 201.95 and 208.69, respectively. We have considered DoorDash's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
205.32
201.95
Downside
205.32
Expected Value
208.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DoorDash stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DoorDash stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.3504
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.7832
MADMean absolute deviation4.8728
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0226
SAESum of the absolute errors292.37
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting DoorDash Class A forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent DoorDash observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for DoorDash

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DoorDash Class A. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DoorDash's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
200.70204.07207.44
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
184.79233.97237.34
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DoorDash

For every potential investor in DoorDash, whether a beginner or expert, DoorDash's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DoorDash Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DoorDash. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DoorDash's price trends.

DoorDash Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DoorDash stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DoorDash could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DoorDash by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DoorDash Class A Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DoorDash's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DoorDash's current price.

DoorDash Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DoorDash stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DoorDash shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DoorDash stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DoorDash Class A entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DoorDash Risk Indicators

The analysis of DoorDash's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DoorDash's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting doordash stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether DoorDash Class A offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of DoorDash's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Doordash Class A Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Doordash Class A Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DoorDash to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Analyst Advice module to analyst recommendations and target price estimates broken down by several categories.
Is Hotels, Restaurants & Leisure space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DoorDash. If investors know DoorDash will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DoorDash listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of DoorDash Class A is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DoorDash that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DoorDash's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DoorDash's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DoorDash's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DoorDash's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DoorDash's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DoorDash is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DoorDash's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.