IMGP DBi Etf Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

DBMF Etf  USD 27.25  0.12  0.44%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iMGP DBi Managed on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17. IMGP Etf Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of IMGP DBi's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for IMGP DBi - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When IMGP DBi prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in IMGP DBi price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of iMGP DBi Managed.

IMGP DBi Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of iMGP DBi Managed on the next trading day is expected to be 27.25 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.10, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.17.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict IMGP Etf prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that IMGP DBi's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

IMGP DBi Etf Forecast Pattern

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IMGP DBi Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting IMGP DBi's Etf value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. IMGP DBi's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 26.80 and 27.69, respectively. We have considered IMGP DBi's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
27.25
27.25
Expected Value
27.69
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of IMGP DBi etf data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent IMGP DBi etf, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0151
MADMean absolute deviation0.1045
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0038
SAESum of the absolute errors6.1682
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past IMGP DBi observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older iMGP DBi Managed observations.

Predictive Modules for IMGP DBi

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as iMGP DBi Managed. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the etf market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the etf market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
26.6927.1327.57
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
26.8027.2427.68
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
26.8127.1127.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for IMGP DBi

For every potential investor in IMGP, whether a beginner or expert, IMGP DBi's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. IMGP Etf price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in IMGP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying IMGP DBi's price trends.

IMGP DBi Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with IMGP DBi etf to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of IMGP DBi could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing IMGP DBi by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

iMGP DBi Managed Technical and Predictive Analytics

The etf market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of IMGP DBi's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of IMGP DBi's current price.

IMGP DBi Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how IMGP DBi etf reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading IMGP DBi shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying IMGP DBi etf market strength indicators, traders can identify iMGP DBi Managed entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

IMGP DBi Risk Indicators

The analysis of IMGP DBi's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in IMGP DBi's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting imgp etf prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

When determining whether iMGP DBi Managed is a strong investment it is important to analyze IMGP DBi's competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact IMGP DBi's future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding IMGP Etf, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of IMGP DBi to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
The market value of iMGP DBi Managed is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of IMGP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of IMGP DBi's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is IMGP DBi's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because IMGP DBi's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect IMGP DBi's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between IMGP DBi's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if IMGP DBi is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, IMGP DBi's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.