Dakota Gold Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DC Stock | USD 7.00 0.71 11.29% |
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dakota Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.32. Dakota Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Dakota Gold stock prices and determine the direction of Dakota Gold Corp's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dakota Gold's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The relative strength momentum indicator of Dakota Gold's share price is above 70 at the present time suggesting that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Dakota, making its price go up or down. Momentum 70
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.02) | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Year (0.07) | Wall Street Target Price 10.8 |
Using Dakota Gold hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dakota Gold Corp from the perspective of Dakota Gold response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dakota Gold using Dakota Gold's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dakota using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dakota Gold's stock price.
Dakota Gold Implied Volatility | 1.01 |
Dakota Gold's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dakota Gold Corp stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dakota Gold's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dakota Gold stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dakota Gold's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dakota Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.32. Dakota Gold after-hype prediction price | USD 7.0 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dakota Gold to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Dakota Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dakota Gold's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dakota Gold's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dakota Gold stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dakota Gold's open interest, investors have to compare it to Dakota Gold's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dakota Gold is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dakota. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Dakota Gold Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dakota price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dakota using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dakota charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dakota Gold Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dakota Gold Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 7.00 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.32.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dakota Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dakota Gold's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dakota Gold Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dakota Gold | Dakota Gold Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dakota Gold Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dakota Gold's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dakota Gold's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2.95 and 11.05, respectively. We have considered Dakota Gold's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dakota Gold stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dakota Gold stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 114.9927 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0459 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1364 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0263 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.32 |
Predictive Modules for Dakota Gold
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dakota Gold Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dakota Gold's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dakota Gold After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dakota Gold at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dakota Gold or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dakota Gold, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dakota Gold Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dakota Gold's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dakota Gold's historical news coverage. Dakota Gold's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.92 and 11.08, respectively. We have considered Dakota Gold's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dakota Gold is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dakota Gold Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dakota Gold Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dakota Gold is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dakota Gold backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dakota Gold, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
1.01 | 4.05 | 0.31 | 0.56 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
7.00 | 7.00 | 0.00 |
|
Dakota Gold Hype Timeline
As of January 23, 2026 Dakota Gold Corp is listed for 7.00. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.31, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.56. Dakota is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 1.01%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dakota Gold is about 729.73%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 7.56. About 13.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.27. Dakota Gold Corp had not issued any dividends in recent years. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dakota Gold to cross-verify your projections.Dakota Gold Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dakota Gold's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dakota Gold's future price movements. Getting to know how Dakota Gold's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dakota Gold may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NFGC | New Found Gold | (0.07) | 6 per month | 4.35 | 0.11 | 7.77 | (8.41) | 28.90 | |
| ODV | Osisko Development Corp | 0.12 | 8 per month | 4.16 | 0.03 | 6.65 | (6.34) | 15.32 | |
| IDR | Idaho Strategic Resources | 3.43 | 8 per month | 4.76 | 0.05 | 9.81 | (8.14) | 28.96 | |
| NVAWW | Nova Minerals Limited | 0.00 | 7 per month | 11.30 | 0.20 | 41.70 | (22.30) | 193.57 | |
| RYAM | Rayonier Advanced Materials | 0.31 | 10 per month | 2.63 | 0.06 | 6.38 | (3.72) | 28.05 | |
| CMCL | Caledonia Mining | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 5.89 | (8.55) | 29.10 | |
| ASTL | Algoma Steel Group | (0.20) | 9 per month | 3.48 | 0.05 | 7.21 | (6.12) | 20.68 | |
| NB | NioCorp Developments Ltd | 1.83 | 11 per month | 6.70 | (0.01) | 12.26 | (11.50) | 34.01 | |
| HYMC | Hycroft Mining Holding | 0.04 | 18 per month | 4.18 | 0.32 | 18.67 | (8.03) | 61.30 | |
| THM | International Tower Hill | (0.04) | 9 per month | 4.16 | 0.06 | 10.38 | (7.61) | 23.81 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dakota Gold
For every potential investor in Dakota, whether a beginner or expert, Dakota Gold's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dakota Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dakota. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dakota Gold's price trends.Dakota Gold Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dakota Gold stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dakota Gold could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dakota Gold by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dakota Gold Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dakota Gold stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dakota Gold shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dakota Gold stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dakota Gold Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Dakota Gold Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dakota Gold's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dakota Gold's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dakota stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.79 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.24 | |||
| Variance | 18.01 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.09 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.51 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.22) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dakota Gold
The number of cover stories for Dakota Gold depends on current market conditions and Dakota Gold's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dakota Gold is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dakota Gold's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Dakota Gold Short Properties
Dakota Gold's future price predictability will typically decrease when Dakota Gold's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dakota Gold Corp often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dakota Gold's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dakota Gold's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 90.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 9.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dakota Gold to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Diagnostics module to use generated alerts and portfolio events aggregator to diagnose current holdings.
Is Diversified Metals & Mining space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dakota Gold. If investors know Dakota will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dakota Gold listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Dakota Gold Corp is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dakota that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dakota Gold's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dakota Gold's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dakota Gold's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dakota Gold's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dakota Gold's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dakota Gold is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dakota Gold's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.