Delcath Systems Stock Forecast - Simple Moving Average
| DCTH Stock | USD 10.21 0.34 3.22% |
Delcath Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Delcath Systems' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 28th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Delcath Systems' share price is at 50 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Delcath Systems, making its price go up or down. Momentum 50
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter (0.01) | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.082 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.262 | Wall Street Target Price 22.3333 |
Using Delcath Systems hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delcath Systems from the perspective of Delcath Systems response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Delcath Systems using Delcath Systems' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Delcath using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Delcath Systems' stock price.
Delcath Systems Implied Volatility | 1.31 |
Delcath Systems' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Delcath Systems stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Delcath Systems' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Delcath Systems stock will not fluctuate a lot when Delcath Systems' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Delcath Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 10.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21 and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.49. Delcath Systems after-hype prediction price | USD 10.21 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delcath Systems to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Delcath contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Delcath Systems will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0819% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Delcath Systems trading at USD 10.21, that is roughly USD 0.008359 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Delcath Systems' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Delcath Systems options at the current volatility level of 1.31%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Delcath Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Delcath Systems' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Delcath Systems' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Delcath Systems stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Delcath Systems' open interest, investors have to compare it to Delcath Systems' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Delcath Systems is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Delcath. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Delcath Systems Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Delcath price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delcath using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delcath charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Delcath Systems Simple Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Moving Average forecasted value of Delcath Systems on the next trading day is expected to be 10.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.21, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 12.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Delcath Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Delcath Systems' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Delcath Systems Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Delcath Systems | Delcath Systems Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Delcath Systems Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Delcath Systems' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Delcath Systems' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 7.51 and 12.91, respectively. We have considered Delcath Systems' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delcath Systems stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delcath Systems stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 113.671 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0176 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2082 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0215 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 12.495 |
Predictive Modules for Delcath Systems
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delcath Systems. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Delcath Systems' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Delcath Systems After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Delcath Systems at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delcath Systems or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delcath Systems, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Delcath Systems Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Delcath Systems' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delcath Systems' historical news coverage. Delcath Systems' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 7.50 and 12.92, respectively. We have considered Delcath Systems' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Delcath Systems is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delcath Systems is based on 3 months time horizon.
Delcath Systems Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delcath Systems is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delcath Systems backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delcath Systems, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.17 | 2.70 | 0.01 | 0.77 | 7 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
10.21 | 10.21 | 0.00 |
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Delcath Systems Hype Timeline
Delcath Systems is currently traded for 10.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.77. Delcath is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.17%. %. The volatility of related hype on Delcath Systems is about 59.91%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 9.44. About 52.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The book value of Delcath Systems was currently reported as 3.25. The company last dividend was issued on the 24th of December 2019. Delcath Systems had 1:700 split on the 24th of December 2019. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delcath Systems to cross-verify your projections.Delcath Systems Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Delcath Systems' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delcath Systems' future price movements. Getting to know how Delcath Systems' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delcath Systems may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| BWAY | Brainsway | (0.07) | 21 per month | 2.42 | 0.19 | 7.25 | (4.04) | 15.24 | |
| TCMD | Tactile Systems Technology | 0.25 | 8 per month | 1.03 | 0.19 | 7.40 | (2.75) | 46.16 | |
| NPCE | Neuropace | (0.07) | 13 per month | 2.16 | 0.11 | 6.30 | (4.61) | 43.20 | |
| RXST | Rxsight | (0.09) | 25 per month | 3.59 | 0.03 | 7.97 | (5.79) | 23.38 | |
| CERS | Cerus | (0.01) | 6 per month | 3.40 | 0.16 | 10.19 | (5.56) | 30.94 | |
| SMLR | Semler Scientific | (45.10) | 9 per month | 4.88 | 0.12 | 18.45 | (10.61) | 1,710 | |
| MASS | 908 Devices | (0.31) | 3 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 6.91 | (6.56) | 21.48 | |
| AGL | agilon health | (0.08) | 16 per month | 5.05 | (0.01) | 10.00 | (8.33) | 30.19 | |
| SENS | Senseonics Holdings Common | 0.10 | 9 per month | 4.08 | 0.02 | 6.74 | (6.56) | 18.36 | |
| NAKA | Kindly MD | 0.31 | 25 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 11.43 | (10.20) | 33.09 |
Other Forecasting Options for Delcath Systems
For every potential investor in Delcath, whether a beginner or expert, Delcath Systems' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delcath Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delcath. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delcath Systems' price trends.Delcath Systems Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Delcath Systems stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Delcath Systems could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delcath Systems by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Delcath Systems Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Delcath Systems stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Delcath Systems shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Delcath Systems stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Delcath Systems entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 22193.43 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.60) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.97 | |||
| Day Median Price | 10.35 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 10.3 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.30) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.34) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 50.57 |
Delcath Systems Risk Indicators
The analysis of Delcath Systems' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Delcath Systems' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting delcath stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.97 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.29 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.69 | |||
| Variance | 7.22 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.76 | |||
| Semi Variance | 5.27 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.26) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Delcath Systems
The number of cover stories for Delcath Systems depends on current market conditions and Delcath Systems' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delcath Systems is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delcath Systems' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Delcath Systems Short Properties
Delcath Systems' future price predictability will typically decrease when Delcath Systems' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Delcath Systems often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Delcath Systems' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delcath Systems' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 28.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 53.2 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delcath Systems to cross-verify your projections. For more detail on how to invest in Delcath Stock please use our How to Invest in Delcath Systems guide.You can also try the Piotroski F Score module to get Piotroski F Score based on the binary analysis strategy of nine different fundamentals.
Is Health Care Equipment & Supplies space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delcath Systems. If investors know Delcath will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Delcath Systems listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.67) | Earnings Share 0.03 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.836 | Return On Assets |
The market value of Delcath Systems is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Delcath that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Delcath Systems' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Delcath Systems' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Delcath Systems' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Delcath Systems' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Delcath Systems' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Delcath Systems is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Delcath Systems' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.