Deepak Nitrite Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

DEEPAKNTR   2,727  21.25  0.79%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Deepak Nitrite Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2,707 with a mean absolute deviation of 49.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,991. Deepak Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although Deepak Nitrite's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Deepak Nitrite's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Deepak Nitrite fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, Deepak Nitrite's Non Current Assets Total are very stable compared to the past year. As of the 30th of November 2024, Non Currrent Assets Other is likely to grow to about 3.6 B, while Total Current Liabilities is likely to drop about 5.3 B.
Deepak Nitrite polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Deepak Nitrite Limited as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

Deepak Nitrite Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 1st of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Deepak Nitrite Limited on the next trading day is expected to be 2,707 with a mean absolute deviation of 49.03, mean absolute percentage error of 4,447, and the sum of the absolute errors of 2,991.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Deepak Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Deepak Nitrite's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Deepak Nitrite Stock Forecast Pattern

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Deepak Nitrite Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Deepak Nitrite's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Deepak Nitrite's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 2,705 and 2,709, respectively. We have considered Deepak Nitrite's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
2,727
2,707
Expected Value
2,709
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Deepak Nitrite stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Deepak Nitrite stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria126.5105
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation49.0274
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0176
SAESum of the absolute errors2990.6729
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the Deepak Nitrite historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for Deepak Nitrite

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Deepak Nitrite. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
2,7222,7243,000
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
2,2962,2983,000
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
2,5842,6822,781
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
14.6015.6217.75
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Deepak Nitrite. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Deepak Nitrite's peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Deepak Nitrite's competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Deepak Nitrite.

Other Forecasting Options for Deepak Nitrite

For every potential investor in Deepak, whether a beginner or expert, Deepak Nitrite's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Deepak Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Deepak. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Deepak Nitrite's price trends.

Deepak Nitrite Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Deepak Nitrite stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Deepak Nitrite could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Deepak Nitrite by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Deepak Nitrite Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Deepak Nitrite's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Deepak Nitrite's current price.

Deepak Nitrite Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Deepak Nitrite stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Deepak Nitrite shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Deepak Nitrite stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Deepak Nitrite Limited entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Deepak Nitrite Risk Indicators

The analysis of Deepak Nitrite's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Deepak Nitrite's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting deepak stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Other Information on Investing in Deepak Stock

Deepak Nitrite financial ratios help investors to determine whether Deepak Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Deepak with respect to the benefits of owning Deepak Nitrite security.