Dell Technologies Stock Forward View
| DELL Stock | USD 115.39 6.65 5.45% |
Dell Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now the relative strength index (rsi) of Dell Technologies' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dell Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dell Technologies from the perspective of Dell Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dell Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 114.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.06 and the sum of the absolute errors of 186.88. Dell Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 122.77 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dell Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Dell Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dell Technologies Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Dell Technologies on the next trading day is expected to be 114.74 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.06, mean absolute percentage error of 14.25, and the sum of the absolute errors of 186.88.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dell Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dell Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dell Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dell Technologies | Dell Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Dell Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dell Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dell Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 111.85 and 117.64, respectively. We have considered Dell Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dell Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dell Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 120.7675 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 3.0636 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0243 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 186.8768 |
Predictive Modules for Dell Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dell Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dell Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dell Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dell Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dell Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dell Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dell Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dell Technologies' historical news coverage. Dell Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 119.93 and 125.61, respectively. We have considered Dell Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dell Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dell Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dell Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dell Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dell Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dell Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.34 | 2.89 | 0.00 | 0.52 | 0 Events / Month | 2 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
115.39 | 122.77 | 0.60 |
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Dell Technologies Hype Timeline
Dell Technologies is currently traded for 115.39. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is -0.52. Dell is expected to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 122.77 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is insignificant. The price upswing on the next news is projected to be 0.6%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.34%. The volatility of related hype on Dell Technologies is about 189.88%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 114.87. The company reported the previous year's revenue of 95.57 B. Net Income was 4.58 B with profit before overhead, payroll, taxes, and interest of 21.81 B. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dell Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Dell Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dell Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dell Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Dell Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dell Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NTES | NetEase | 0.13 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 4.20 | (3.11) | 12.64 | |
| MSTR | MicroStrategy Incorporated | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.28) | 5.01 | (8.14) | 16.26 | |
| RBLX | Roblox Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.27) | 3.38 | (6.18) | 23.70 | |
| CDNS | Cadence Design Systems | (13.94) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.18) | 2.67 | (3.29) | 12.87 | |
| WDC | Western Digital | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.81 | 0.17 | 8.49 | (7.18) | 26.89 | |
| FI | Fiserv | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | |
| MSI | Motorola Solutions | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.74 | 0.07 | 1.56 | (1.20) | 5.31 | |
| INFY | Infosys Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.01 | 0.01 | 4.32 | (3.08) | 16.01 | |
| STX | Seagate Technology PLC | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.80 | 0.14 | 6.69 | (7.19) | 27.85 | |
| ADI | Analog Devices | (1.41) | 10 per month | 1.07 | 0.25 | 3.44 | (2.35) | 8.10 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dell Technologies
For every potential investor in Dell, whether a beginner or expert, Dell Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dell Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dell. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dell Technologies' price trends.Dell Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dell Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dell Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dell Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dell Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dell Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dell Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dell Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dell Technologies entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 727934.0 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.69) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 117.89 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 117.05 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (5.82) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (6.65) |
Dell Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dell Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dell Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dell stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.21 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.89 | |||
| Variance | 8.36 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dell Technologies
The number of cover stories for Dell Technologies depends on current market conditions and Dell Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dell Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dell Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dell Technologies Short Properties
Dell Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dell Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dell Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dell Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dell Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 724 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 3.6 B |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dell Technologies to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Dell Stock please use our How to buy in Dell Stock guide.You can also try the Sectors module to list of equity sectors categorizing publicly traded companies based on their primary business activities.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dell Technologies. Projected growth potential of Dell fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Dell Technologies assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
The market value of Dell Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dell Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dell Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dell Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dell Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Dell Technologies' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Dell Technologies should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Meanwhile, Dell Technologies' quoted price indicates the marketplace figure where supply meets demand through bilateral consent.