Dell Technologies Stock Price Prediction

DELL Stock  USD 144.21  5.29  3.81%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Dell Technologies' the stock price is about 64 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Dell, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

64

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Dell Technologies' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Dell Technologies and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Dell Technologies' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Dell Technologies, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Dell Technologies' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.857
EPS Estimate Current Year
6.66
EPS Estimate Next Year
7.15
Wall Street Target Price
146.2179
EPS Estimate Current Quarter
1.71
Using Dell Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dell Technologies from the perspective of Dell Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Dell Technologies Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Dell Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dell. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dell can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dell Technologies. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Dell Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Dell Technologies.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Dell Technologies to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Dell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Dell Technologies after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 143.5  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Dell Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Dell Stock please use our How to buy in Dell Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
90.7093.28158.63
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
137.20139.78142.37
Details
25 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
67.4074.0782.22
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
2.002.052.12
Details

Dell Technologies After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Dell Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dell Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dell Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Dell Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Dell Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dell Technologies' historical news coverage. Dell Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 140.92 and 146.08, respectively. We have considered Dell Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
144.21
140.92
Downside
143.50
After-hype Price
146.08
Upside
Dell Technologies is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dell Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.

Dell Technologies Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dell Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dell Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dell Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.44 
2.60
  0.73 
  0.15 
8 Events / Month
11 Events / Month
In about 8 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
144.21
143.50
0.49 
157.58  
Notes

Dell Technologies Hype Timeline

Dell Technologies is currently traded for 144.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.73, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.15. Dell is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 143.5. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 157.58%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.49%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.44%. The volatility of related hype on Dell Technologies is about 750.52%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 144.06. About 76.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.78. Dell Technologies recorded earning per share (EPS) of 5.44. The entity last dividend was issued on the 22nd of October 2024. The firm had 1973:1000 split on the 2nd of November 2021. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next expected press release will be in about 8 days.
Check out Dell Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Dell Stock please use our How to buy in Dell Stock guide.

Dell Technologies Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Dell Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dell Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Dell Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dell Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
NNDMNano Dimension(0.06)10 per month 0.00 (0.06) 2.93 (3.69) 15.19 
NTAPNetApp Inc 1.01 12 per month 0.00 (0.11) 2.28 (2.91) 10.78 
SMCISuper Micro Computer 0.78 9 per month 0.00 (0.07) 15.12 (12.18) 48.46 
PSTGPure Storage(0.81)9 per month 0.00 (0.10) 2.97 (6.29) 16.80 
STXSeagate Technology PLC(0.27)9 per month 0.00 (0.08) 2.78 (2.81) 12.18 
HPQHP Inc(0.34)10 per month 1.62  0.01  2.14 (2.63) 6.13 
WDCWestern Digital 1.78 9 per month 1.90 (0.02) 4.06 (2.94) 11.83 
ANETArista Networks(9.43)9 per month 2.52  0.05  4.44 (4.30) 12.04 
DDD3D Systems 0.04 9 per month 4.79  0.07  11.73 (6.21) 31.04 
SSYSStratasys(0.19)6 per month 3.00  0.06  9.26 (4.95) 25.45 
IONQIONQ Inc 2.88 10 per month 4.05  0.31  16.30 (6.53) 47.83 
CRCTCricut Inc(0.38)9 per month 0.00 (0.09) 4.30 (5.75) 20.08 
DMDesktop Metal 0.19 7 per month 2.31 (0.01) 3.69 (3.95) 21.58 
QBTSD Wave Quantum(0.05)11 per month 4.21  0.19  15.58 (6.93) 41.50 

Dell Technologies Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Dell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dell using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Dell Technologies Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Dell Technologies stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Dell Technologies, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Dell Technologies based on analysis of Dell Technologies hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Dell Technologies's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Dell Technologies's related companies.
 2010 2019 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield0.110.01760.0311
Price To Sales Ratio0.220.690.21

Story Coverage note for Dell Technologies

The number of cover stories for Dell Technologies depends on current market conditions and Dell Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dell Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dell Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Dell Technologies Short Properties

Dell Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dell Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dell Technologies often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dell Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dell Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding736 M
Cash And Short Term Investments7.4 B
When determining whether Dell Technologies is a strong investment it is important to analyze Dell Technologies' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Dell Technologies' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Dell Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Dell Technologies Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy Dell Stock please use our How to buy in Dell Stock guide.
You can also try the Global Correlations module to find global opportunities by holding instruments from different markets.
Is Technology Hardware, Storage & Peripherals space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dell Technologies. If investors know Dell will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dell Technologies listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.857
Dividend Share
1.63
Earnings Share
5.44
Revenue Per Share
129.078
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.091
The market value of Dell Technologies is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dell that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dell Technologies' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dell Technologies' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dell Technologies' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dell Technologies' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dell Technologies' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dell Technologies is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dell Technologies' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.