Denali Bancorporation Pink Sheet Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DENI Stock | USD 16.35 0.06 0.37% |
Denali Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Denali Bancorporation's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 27th of January 2026, The relative strength index (RSI) of Denali Bancorporation's share price is at 56 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Denali Bancorporation, making its price go up or down. Momentum 56
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Denali Bancorporation hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Denali Bancorporation from the perspective of Denali Bancorporation response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Denali Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 16.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.31. Denali Bancorporation after-hype prediction price | USD 16.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Denali |
Denali Bancorporation Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Denali price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Denali using various technical indicators. When you analyze Denali charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Denali Bancorporation Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 28th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Denali Bancorporation on the next trading day is expected to be 16.73 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.13, and the sum of the absolute errors of 15.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Denali Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Denali Bancorporation's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Denali Bancorporation Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Denali Bancorporation | Denali Bancorporation Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Denali Bancorporation Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Denali Bancorporation's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Denali Bancorporation's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 13.88 and 19.58, respectively. We have considered Denali Bancorporation's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Denali Bancorporation pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Denali Bancorporation pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.9177 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2469 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0161 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 15.3099 |
Predictive Modules for Denali Bancorporation
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Denali Bancorporation. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Denali Bancorporation After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Denali Bancorporation at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Denali Bancorporation or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of Denali Bancorporation, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Denali Bancorporation Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Denali Bancorporation's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Denali Bancorporation's historical news coverage. Denali Bancorporation's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.52 and 19.18, respectively. We have considered Denali Bancorporation's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Denali Bancorporation is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Denali Bancorporation is based on 3 months time horizon.
Denali Bancorporation Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Denali Bancorporation is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Denali Bancorporation backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Denali Bancorporation, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.25 | 2.85 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
16.35 | 16.35 | 0.00 |
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Denali Bancorporation Hype Timeline
Denali Bancorporation is currently traded for 16.35. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Denali is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.25%. %. The volatility of related hype on Denali Bancorporation is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.35. The company last dividend was issued on the 9th of January 2023. Denali Bancorporation had 3:1 split on the 21st of June 2001. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Denali Bancorporation to cross-verify your projections.Denali Bancorporation Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Denali Bancorporation's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Denali Bancorporation's future price movements. Getting to know how Denali Bancorporation's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Denali Bancorporation may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| STBI | Sturgis Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.93 | (0.02) | 2.07 | (2.03) | 4.92 | |
| LUMB | Lumbee Guaranty Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 11.37 | |
| WSSH | West Shore Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1.86 | (0.43) | 6.26 | |
| CZNL | Citizens National | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 0.60 | 0.00 | 7.59 | |
| HLFN | Home Loan Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.18 | 2.35 | (0.83) | 8.23 | |
| HCBN | HCB Financial Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.12 | 1.30 | (0.16) | 4.33 | |
| MBKL | MBT Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.04 | 0.04 | 5.73 | (3.38) | 22.40 | |
| GVYB | Golden Valley Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 1.90 | 0.00 | 9.99 | |
| BAOB | Baraboo Bancorporation | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.05 | 0.11 | 2.45 | (1.78) | 11.56 | |
| INFT | Infinity Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 0.00 | (0.64) | 10.54 |
Other Forecasting Options for Denali Bancorporation
For every potential investor in Denali, whether a beginner or expert, Denali Bancorporation's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Denali Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Denali. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Denali Bancorporation's price trends.Denali Bancorporation Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Denali Bancorporation pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Denali Bancorporation could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Denali Bancorporation by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Denali Bancorporation Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Denali Bancorporation pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Denali Bancorporation shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Denali Bancorporation pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Denali Bancorporation entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Denali Bancorporation Risk Indicators
The analysis of Denali Bancorporation's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Denali Bancorporation's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting denali pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.72 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.71 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.96 | |||
| Variance | 8.73 | |||
| Downside Variance | 13.67 | |||
| Semi Variance | 7.32 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.23) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Denali Bancorporation
The number of cover stories for Denali Bancorporation depends on current market conditions and Denali Bancorporation's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Denali Bancorporation is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Denali Bancorporation's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Denali Bancorporation Short Properties
Denali Bancorporation's future price predictability will typically decrease when Denali Bancorporation's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Denali Bancorporation often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Denali Bancorporation's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Denali Bancorporation's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Dividend Yield | 0.0528 | |
| Forward Annual Dividend Rate | 0.75 | |
| Shares Float | 1.5 M |
Other Information on Investing in Denali Pink Sheet
Denali Bancorporation financial ratios help investors to determine whether Denali Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Denali with respect to the benefits of owning Denali Bancorporation security.