Hcb Financial Corp Stock Price Prediction
| HCBN Stock | USD 39.50 0.10 0.25% |
Momentum 74
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Using HCB Financial hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of HCB Financial Corp from the perspective of HCB Financial response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in HCB Financial to buy its pink sheet at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying HCB because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell pink sheets at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
HCB Financial after-hype prediction price | USD 38.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
HCB |
HCB Financial After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of HCB Financial at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in HCB Financial or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of HCB Financial, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
HCB Financial Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting HCB Financial's pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on HCB Financial's historical news coverage. HCB Financial's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.79 and 43.45, respectively. We have considered HCB Financial's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
HCB Financial is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of HCB Financial Corp is based on 3 months time horizon.
HCB Financial Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as HCB Financial is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading HCB Financial backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with HCB Financial, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 0.47 | 1.24 | 0.25 | 2 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.50 | 38.26 | 3.14 |
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HCB Financial Hype Timeline
HCB Financial Corp is currently traded for 39.50. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -1.24, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.25. HCB is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 38.26. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 1.52%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -3.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.04%. The volatility of related hype on HCB Financial is about 7.56%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.25. The company last dividend was issued on the 29th of December 2022. HCB Financial Corp had 11:10 split on the 11th of October 2007. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out HCB Financial Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.HCB Financial Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to HCB Financial's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict HCB Financial's future price movements. Getting to know how HCB Financial's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how HCB Financial may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ALBY | Community Capital Bancshares | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.23) | 0.85 | (0.85) | 4.47 | |
| OSBK | Oconee Financial | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.61 | 0.00 | 5.23 | |
| STBI | Sturgis Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.80 | 0.08 | 2.17 | (2.03) | 11.85 | |
| EXCH | Exchange Bankshares | (61.81) | 2 per month | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 16.50 | |
| WDFN | Woodlands Financial Services | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.72 | 0.03 | 1.50 | (1.66) | 9.15 | |
| ANDC | Andover Bancorp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.99 | 0.01 | 2.16 | (2.32) | 8.04 | |
| WSSH | West Shore Bank | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.17 | 1.86 | (0.43) | 6.26 | |
| OAKV | Oak View National | (0.17) | 6 per month | 0.84 | (0.0005) | 2.18 | (1.13) | 6.83 | |
| CIZN | Citizens Holding | (0.02) | 2 per month | 0.97 | 0.17 | 2.53 | (1.76) | 9.52 | |
| MFBP | MF Bancorp | (0.17) | 8 per month | 1.04 | (0.02) | 2.28 | (2.34) | 5.87 |
HCB Financial Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine HCB price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for HCB using various technical indicators. When you analyze HCB charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About HCB Financial Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of HCB Financial stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as HCB Financial Corp, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of HCB Financial based on analysis of HCB Financial hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to HCB Financial's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to HCB Financial's related companies.
Pair Trading with HCB Financial
One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if HCB Financial position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in HCB Financial will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.Moving together with HCB Pink Sheet
Moving against HCB Pink Sheet
| 0.76 | HDB | HDFC Bank Limited Sell-off Trend | PairCorr |
| 0.42 | IBN | ICICI Bank Limited Earnings Call Today | PairCorr |
The ability to find closely correlated positions to HCB Financial could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace HCB Financial when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back HCB Financial - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling HCB Financial Corp to buy it.
The correlation of HCB Financial is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as HCB Financial moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if HCB Financial Corp moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for HCB Financial can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.Other Information on Investing in HCB Pink Sheet
HCB Financial financial ratios help investors to determine whether HCB Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in HCB with respect to the benefits of owning HCB Financial security.