Dream Finders Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DFH Stock | USD 19.20 0.15 0.78% |
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dream Finders Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 19.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.86. Dream Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dream Finders' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
As of 24th of January 2026 the relative strength index (rsi) of Dream Finders' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.7829 | EPS Estimate Current Year 2.2085 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.8044 | Wall Street Target Price 22 |
Using Dream Finders hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dream Finders Homes from the perspective of Dream Finders response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Dream Finders using Dream Finders' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Dream using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Dream Finders' stock price.
Dream Finders Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Dream Finders' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Dream. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Dream Finders stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 23.1888 | Short Percent 0.3164 | Short Ratio 11.01 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.9 M | 50 Day MA 18.7232 |
Dream Finders Homes Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Dream Finders' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Dream. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Dream can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Dream Finders Homes. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Dream Finders Implied Volatility | 0.59 |
Dream Finders' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Dream Finders Homes stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Dream Finders' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Dream Finders stock will not fluctuate a lot when Dream Finders' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dream Finders Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 19.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45 and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.86. Dream Finders after-hype prediction price | USD 19.2 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dream Finders to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Dream contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Dream Finders Homes will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0369% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Dream Finders trading at USD 19.2, that is roughly USD 0.00708 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Dream Finders' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Dream Finders Homes options at the current volatility level of 0.59%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Dream Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Dream Finders' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Dream Finders' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Dream Finders stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Dream Finders' open interest, investors have to compare it to Dream Finders' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Dream Finders is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Dream. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Dream Finders Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dream price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dream using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dream charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dream Finders Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 25th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dream Finders Homes on the next trading day is expected to be 19.21 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.45, mean absolute percentage error of 0.38, and the sum of the absolute errors of 26.86.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dream Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dream Finders' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dream Finders Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dream Finders | Dream Finders Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Dream Finders Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dream Finders' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dream Finders' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 16.02 and 22.41, respectively. We have considered Dream Finders' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dream Finders stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dream Finders stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0844 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4477 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0235 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 26.8646 |
Predictive Modules for Dream Finders
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dream Finders Homes. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Dream Finders After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dream Finders at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dream Finders or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dream Finders, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dream Finders Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dream Finders' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dream Finders' historical news coverage. Dream Finders' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 16.00 and 22.40, respectively. We have considered Dream Finders' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dream Finders is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dream Finders Homes is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dream Finders Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dream Finders is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dream Finders backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dream Finders, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 3.20 | 0.12 | 0.07 | 3 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 3 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
19.20 | 19.20 | 0.00 |
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Dream Finders Hype Timeline
On the 24th of January Dream Finders Homes is traded for 19.20. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.12, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.07. Dream is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dream Finders is about 1264.82%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 19.13. About 18.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.34. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Dream Finders Homes has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.11. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 3 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dream Finders to cross-verify your projections.Dream Finders Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dream Finders' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dream Finders' future price movements. Getting to know how Dream Finders' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dream Finders may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CCS | Century Communities | 0.89 | 12 per month | 1.97 | 0.03 | 6.84 | (3.74) | 13.29 | |
| KSS | Kohls | 0.11 | 3 per month | 3.22 | 0.05 | 5.38 | (5.71) | 49.53 | |
| GRBK | Green Brick Partners | 0.99 | 9 per month | 1.50 | 0.02 | 4.56 | (3.08) | 10.63 | |
| LGIH | LGI Homes | (0.47) | 10 per month | 2.62 | 0.04 | 9.13 | (5.06) | 17.70 | |
| MCW | Mister Car Wash | (0.47) | 6 per month | 1.73 | 0.07 | 4.13 | (2.93) | 13.47 | |
| WEN | The Wendys Co | (3.83) | 14 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.56 | (3.13) | 11.11 | |
| PSNY | Polestar Automotive Holding | 0.11 | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 12.04 | (14.88) | 34.99 | |
| OI | O I Glass | 0.11 | 22 per month | 1.77 | 0.12 | 4.16 | (3.38) | 18.50 | |
| WWW | Wolverine World Wide | 0.11 | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.13) | 5.02 | (6.28) | 27.04 | |
| GT | Goodyear Tire Rubber | (0.08) | 9 per month | 1.36 | 0.18 | 6.02 | (2.47) | 11.63 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dream Finders
For every potential investor in Dream, whether a beginner or expert, Dream Finders' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dream Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dream. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dream Finders' price trends.Dream Finders Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dream Finders stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dream Finders could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dream Finders by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dream Finders Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dream Finders stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dream Finders shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dream Finders stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dream Finders Homes entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 5932.08 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.29) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.99 | |||
| Day Median Price | 19.13 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 19.15 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.15) |
Dream Finders Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dream Finders' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dream Finders' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dream stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.11 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.1 | |||
| Variance | 9.61 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dream Finders
The number of cover stories for Dream Finders depends on current market conditions and Dream Finders' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dream Finders is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dream Finders' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Dream Finders Short Properties
Dream Finders' future price predictability will typically decrease when Dream Finders' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Dream Finders Homes often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Dream Finders' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Dream Finders' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 100.3 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 274.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dream Finders to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Portfolio Anywhere module to track or share privately all of your investments from the convenience of any device.
Is Household Durables space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Dream Finders. If investors know Dream will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Dream Finders listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.33) | Earnings Share 2.84 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) | Return On Assets |
The market value of Dream Finders Homes is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Dream that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Dream Finders' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Dream Finders' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Dream Finders' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Dream Finders' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Dream Finders' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Dream Finders is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Dream Finders' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.