DHT Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DHT Stock | USD 13.40 0.08 0.60% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DHT Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 13.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.49. DHT Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The value of relative strength index of DHT Holdings' share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling DHT Holdings, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.278 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3905 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.997 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.4567 | Wall Street Target Price 15.46 |
Using DHT Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DHT Holdings from the perspective of DHT Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DHT Holdings using DHT Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DHT using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DHT Holdings' stock price.
DHT Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long DHT Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about DHT Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge DHT Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 11.847 | Short Percent 0.036 | Short Ratio 2.78 | Shares Short Prior Month 2.2 M | 50 Day MA 12.8912 |
DHT Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DHT Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DHT. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DHT can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DHT Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
DHT Holdings Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
DHT Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DHT Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DHT Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DHT Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when DHT Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DHT Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 13.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.49. DHT Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 13.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DHT Holdings to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DHT contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DHT Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With DHT Holdings trading at USD 13.4, that is roughly USD 0.004774 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating DHT Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring DHT Holdings options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 DHT Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast DHT Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in DHT Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for DHT Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current DHT Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to DHT Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of DHT Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DHT. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
DHT Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DHT price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DHT using various technical indicators. When you analyze DHT charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Volume Indicators |
Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the DHT Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2005-12-31 | Previous Quarter 82.7 M | Current Value 81.2 M | Quarterly Volatility 41.7 M |
DHT Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 24th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DHT Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 13.32 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.07, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.49.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DHT Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DHT Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DHT Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DHT Holdings | DHT Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
DHT Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DHT Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DHT Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 11.44 and 15.21, respectively. We have considered DHT Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DHT Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DHT Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2296 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1854 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0145 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 11.4931 |
Predictive Modules for DHT Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DHT Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.DHT Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DHT Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DHT Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DHT Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DHT Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DHT Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DHT Holdings' historical news coverage. DHT Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 11.52 and 15.28, respectively. We have considered DHT Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DHT Holdings is not too volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DHT Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
DHT Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DHT Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DHT Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DHT Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.13 | 1.88 | 0.01 | 0.04 | 10 Events / Month | 8 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
13.40 | 13.40 | 0.00 |
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DHT Holdings Hype Timeline
On the 23rd of January DHT Holdings is traded for 13.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.04. DHT is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.13%. %. The volatility of related hype on DHT Holdings is about 669.04%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 13.36. About 16.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.97. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DHT Holdings last dividend was issued on the 12th of November 2025. The entity had 1:12 split on the 17th of July 2012. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DHT Holdings to cross-verify your projections.DHT Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DHT Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DHT Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how DHT Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DHT Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | 0.41 | 7 per month | 1.72 | 0.05 | 3.67 | (2.82) | 12.96 | |
| TRMD | Torm PLC Class | (0.06) | 9 per month | 1.45 | 0.04 | 4.13 | (2.56) | 10.37 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | (0.84) | 7 per month | 1.43 | 0.11 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 12.86 | |
| DKL | Delek Logistics Partners | (0.20) | 9 per month | 1.27 | 0.06 | 2.18 | (1.69) | 10.05 | |
| GEL | Genesis Energy LP | (0.11) | 25 per month | 1.63 | 0.04 | 3.56 | (2.69) | 8.17 | |
| NOG | Northern Oil Gas | 0.17 | 5 per month | 2.35 | 0.03 | 5.26 | (3.89) | 10.76 | |
| CSAN | Cosan SA ADR | (0.23) | 9 per month | 3.22 | (0.03) | 5.52 | (6.29) | 18.30 | |
| SM | SM Energy Co | (0.91) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.85 | (4.49) | 12.18 | |
| SDRL | Seadrill Limited | 0.08 | 10 per month | 2.12 | 0.11 | 4.85 | (3.76) | 14.86 | |
| BTE | Baytex Energy Corp | (1.12) | 3 per month | 2.12 | 0.16 | 5.49 | (3.03) | 18.04 |
Other Forecasting Options for DHT Holdings
For every potential investor in DHT, whether a beginner or expert, DHT Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DHT Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DHT. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DHT Holdings' price trends.DHT Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DHT Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DHT Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DHT Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DHT Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DHT Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DHT Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DHT Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DHT Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DHT Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of DHT Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DHT Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dht stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.3 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.4 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.9 | |||
| Variance | 3.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.01 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.96 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DHT Holdings
The number of cover stories for DHT Holdings depends on current market conditions and DHT Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DHT Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DHT Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DHT Holdings Short Properties
DHT Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when DHT Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DHT Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DHT Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DHT Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 161.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 78.1 M |
Additional Tools for DHT Stock Analysis
When running DHT Holdings' price analysis, check to measure DHT Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DHT Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of DHT Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DHT Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DHT Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DHT Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.