Sm Energy Co Stock Price Prediction
| SM Stock | USD 46.03 0.57 1.25% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
55
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.112 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 2.21 | EPS Estimate Current Year 6.8712 | EPS Estimate Next Year 7.4375 | Wall Street Target Price 52.8571 |
Using SM Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of SM Energy Co from the perspective of SM Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
SM Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to SM Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in SM Energy. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding SM Energy can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around SM Energy Co. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of SM Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about SM Energy.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in SM Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying SM Energy because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
SM Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 45.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
SM Energy |
SM Energy After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of SM Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in SM Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of SM Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
SM Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting SM Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on SM Energy's historical news coverage. SM Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 43.41 and 48.47, respectively. We have considered SM Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
SM Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of SM Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
SM Energy Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as SM Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading SM Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with SM Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.03 | 2.53 | 0.09 | 0.01 | 10 Events / Month | 12 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
46.03 | 45.94 | 0.20 |
|
SM Energy Hype Timeline
As of November 25, 2024 SM Energy is listed for 46.03. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.09, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.01. SM Energy is expected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 45.94. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 81.35%. The price decline on the next news is expected to be -0.2%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.03%. The volatility of related hype on SM Energy is about 1234.15%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 46.04. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book ratio of 1.3. Typically companies with comparable Price to Book (P/B) are able to outperform the market in the long run. SM Energy has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.68. The entity recorded earning per share (EPS) of 7.14. The firm last dividend was issued on the 25th of October 2024. SM Energy had 2:1 split on the 1st of April 2005. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next expected press release will be in about 10 days. Check out SM Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.SM Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to SM Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict SM Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how SM Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how SM Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
SM Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine SM Energy price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for SM Energy using various technical indicators. When you analyze SM Energy charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About SM Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of SM Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as SM Energy Co, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of SM Energy based on analysis of SM Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to SM Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to SM Energy's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 6.82E-4 | 0.004608 | 0.0156 | 0.0164 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.35 | 1.27 | 1.94 | 2.62 |
Story Coverage note for SM Energy
The number of cover stories for SM Energy depends on current market conditions and SM Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that SM Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about SM Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
SM Energy Short Properties
SM Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when SM Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of SM Energy Co often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential SM Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. SM Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 119.2 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 616.2 M |
Check out SM Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Headlines Timeline module to stay connected to all market stories and filter out noise. Drill down to analyze hype elasticity.
Is Oil & Gas Exploration & Production space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of SM Energy. If investors know SM Energy will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about SM Energy listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.112 | Dividend Share 0.74 | Earnings Share 7.14 | Revenue Per Share 20.3 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.04) |
The market value of SM Energy is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of SM Energy that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of SM Energy's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is SM Energy's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because SM Energy's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect SM Energy's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between SM Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if SM Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, SM Energy's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.