DHI Stock Forward View - Simple Regression

DHX Stock

USD 3.69 0.05 1.37%

This Simple Regression projection for DHI is fitted to the equity's recent daily closes. Low error metrics relative to the price level indicate the model fits recent trading behavior well. Older observations carry less weight in the current projection as the price series extends. The Simple Regression model projects DHI at 3.06 for the next trading day, below the most recent closing price. This forecast is one analytical input among many and should be assessed in the context of broader analysis.

Simple regression fits a straight line through DHI price points using a single independent variable (time). The line is defined by Y = intercept + slope * X, where the slope captures the average rate of price change and the intercept represents the baseline price level.

Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 14th of May 2026

Over a 90-day horizon, the Simple Regression model forecasts DHI at 3.06 for the next trading day, with a mean absolute deviation of 0.20 , mean absolute percentage error of 0.07 , and sum of absolute errors of 12.50 .

This indicates moderate forecast accuracy — the model captures the general trend but not all short-term variation in DHI's price. This output is intended for short-term analytical reference.

Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest DHI

DHI Price Prediction

Research Analysis

Forecasted Value

The next-day forecast range for DHI defines statistically derived downside and upside boundaries based on model performance. The current forecast range spans downside near 0.04 and upside near 8.65. The wide range indicates elevated uncertainty in short-term projections.

Market Value

3.69

0.04

Downside

3.06

Expected Value

8.65

Upside

Target Odds

Above Odds

Below Odds

Model Predictive Factors

The table below summarizes the Simple Regression model's error metrics for DHI stock. Lower MAD and MAPE values indicate tighter forecast accuracy. AIC measures relative model quality — lower values indicate less information loss and a better-fitting model. A large Bias suggests systematic over- or under-prediction.

AIC	Akaike Information Criteria	115.532
Bias	Arithmetic mean of the errors	None
MAD	Mean absolute deviation	0.2048
MAPE	Mean absolute percentage error	0.0733
SAE	Sum of the absolute errors	12.4952

A positive slope indicates an upward price trend over the selected period; a negative slope indicates a downward trend. The R-squared value measures how well the linear model fits DHI Group price history - values near 1.0 indicate a strong linear trend, while low values suggest that price movement is not well explained by a simple time-based trend.

Other Forecasting Options for DHI

Fibonacci retracement levels applied to DHI Stock price swings identify potential support and resistance zones. Extreme price moves in DHI occur more frequently than standard risk models assume. Support and resistance levels derived from DHI's historical data identify zones where buying or selling pressure has stalled moves.

DHI Related Equities

These stocks are related to DHI within the Communication Services space and can be used for peer review, pricing, or spreading risk. Key comparison metrics include price-to-earnings, profit margin, and revenue growth across DHI's peer group. When DHI breaks from its peer group on a key metric, it often signals a firm-level change worth exploring.

Bridger Aerospace Group CBAK Energy Technology Flux Power Holdings Dragonfly Energy Holdings Mastech Holdings Safe Pro Group Ocean Power Technologies Fuel Tech Optex Systems Holdings Hurco Companies American Airlines Group Alcoa Corp Apple Inc Best Buy Co Citigroup

Risk & Return

Correlation

DHI Market Strength Events

Rate of Change and Momentum readings for DHI measure the velocity of recent price moves rather than direction alone. These indicators add context to how recent sessions in DHI have behaved. These indicators are most informative when viewed alongside DHI's volume profile and volatility measures.

	Accumulation Distribution	0.0136
	Daily Balance Of Power	1.0
	Rate Of Daily Change	1.01
	Day Median Price	3.67
	Day Typical Price	3.67
	Market Facilitation Index	0.05
	Price Action Indicator	0.05
	Period Momentum Indicator	0.05
	Relative Strength Index	62.97

DHI Risk Indicators

Standard deviation and variance for DHI measure total price dispersion, while semi-deviation isolates only the downside moves. Higher variance relative to sector peers signals that DHI's price path has been less predictable over the measured period. Analyzing DHI's risk indicators helps explain how recent moves compare with its broader trading range.

	Mean Deviation	4.86
	Semi Deviation	4.34
	Standard Deviation	6.95
	Variance	48.27
	Downside Variance	25.61
	Semi Variance	18.81
	Expected Short fall	-5.79

Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

DHI Short Properties

Short sentiment tied to DHI Group matters because heavier bearish pressure can change how quickly future price expectations become unstable. When applied, these measures clarify when hedging or timing discipline may matter more than conviction alone.

	Common Stock Shares Outstanding	44.77 million
	Cash And Short Term Investments	2.91 million

	Naive Prediction
	Simple Exponential Smoothing
	Double Exponential Smoothing
	Triple Exponential Smoothing
	Simple Regression
	Polynomial Regression
	Simple Moving Average
	4 Period Moving Average
	8 Period Moving Average
	20 Period Moving Average