Dialight Plc Pink Sheet Forecast - Simple Regression

DIALF Stock  USD 4.02  0.00  0.00%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Dialight plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17 and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.18. Dialight Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Dialight Plc's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Dialight Plc price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Dialight Plc Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of December

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Dialight plc on the next trading day is expected to be 3.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.17, mean absolute percentage error of 0.04, and the sum of the absolute errors of 10.18.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dialight Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dialight Plc's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Dialight Plc Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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Dialight Plc Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Dialight Plc's Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dialight Plc's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.49 and 7.26, respectively. We have considered Dialight Plc's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
4.02
3.87
Expected Value
7.26
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dialight Plc pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dialight Plc pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria114.8194
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.1668
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0473
SAESum of the absolute errors10.1754
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Dialight plc historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Dialight Plc

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dialight plc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.884.277.66
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.433.827.21
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Dialight Plc

For every potential investor in Dialight, whether a beginner or expert, Dialight Plc's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dialight Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dialight. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dialight Plc's price trends.

Dialight Plc Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dialight Plc pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dialight Plc could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dialight Plc by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Dialight plc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Dialight Plc's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Dialight Plc's current price.

Dialight Plc Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dialight Plc pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dialight Plc shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dialight Plc pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify Dialight plc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Dialight Plc Risk Indicators

The analysis of Dialight Plc's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dialight Plc's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dialight pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Currently Active Assets on Macroaxis

Other Information on Investing in Dialight Pink Sheet

Dialight Plc financial ratios help investors to determine whether Dialight Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Dialight with respect to the benefits of owning Dialight Plc security.