Fuelcell Energy Stock Price Patterns
| FCEL Stock | USD 8.19 0.80 8.90% |
Momentum 43
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using FuelCell Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of FuelCell Energy from the perspective of FuelCell Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in FuelCell Energy to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying FuelCell because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
FuelCell Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 8.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out FuelCell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of FuelCell Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
FuelCell Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of FuelCell Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in FuelCell Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of FuelCell Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
FuelCell Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting FuelCell Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on FuelCell Energy's historical news coverage. FuelCell Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 2.62 and 15.36, respectively. We have considered FuelCell Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
FuelCell Energy is relatively risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of FuelCell Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
FuelCell Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as FuelCell Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading FuelCell Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with FuelCell Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.33 | 6.37 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 1 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | Very soon |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.19 | 8.99 | 0.00 |
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FuelCell Energy Hype Timeline
FuelCell Energy is currently traded for 8.19. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. FuelCell is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.33%. %. The volatility of related hype on FuelCell Energy is about 25480.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.18. About 25.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.69. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. FuelCell Energy recorded a loss per share of 7.42. The entity last dividend was issued on the 9th of May 2019. The firm had 1:30 split on the 11th of November 2024. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be very soon. Check out FuelCell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.FuelCell Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to FuelCell Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict FuelCell Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how FuelCell Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how FuelCell Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SKYX | SKYX Platforms Corp | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.94 | 0.14 | 11.11 | (6.67) | 32.00 | |
| MVST | Microvast Holdings | (0.08) | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.25) | 6.02 | (8.87) | 18.37 | |
| DFLI | Chardan NexTech Acquisition | 0.10 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 13.98 | (17.43) | 58.61 | |
| BLNK | Blink Charging Co | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 10.45 | (8.33) | 29.81 | |
| NVX | Novonix Ltd ADR | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 7.92 | (10.26) | 33.61 | |
| NEOV | NeoVolta Common Stock | (0.27) | 6 per month | 6.08 | 0.04 | 11.55 | (9.51) | 50.89 | |
| RGP | Resources Connection | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 4.68 | (4.06) | 20.76 | |
| POWW | Ammo Inc | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.97 | 0.02 | 5.59 | (4.71) | 14.96 | |
| VWAV | VisionWave Holdings Common | 0.00 | 0 per month | 6.38 | 0 | 12.94 | (10.76) | 30.64 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.00 | 0 per month | 3.51 | 0.06 | 6.44 | (4.73) | 15.40 |
FuelCell Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine FuelCell price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for FuelCell using various technical indicators. When you analyze FuelCell charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About FuelCell Energy Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of FuelCell Energy stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as FuelCell Energy, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of FuelCell Energy based on analysis of FuelCell Energy hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to FuelCell Energy's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to FuelCell Energy's related companies.
Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!
The Portfolio Prophet is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.
Try AI Portfolio ProphetCheck out FuelCell Energy Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy FuelCell Stock please use our How to buy in FuelCell Stock guide.You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of FuelCell Energy. Market participants price FuelCell higher when confident in its future expansion prospects. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive FuelCell Energy assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate FuelCell Energy using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating FuelCell Energy's intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause FuelCell Energy's market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between FuelCell Energy's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if FuelCell Energy is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. Conversely, FuelCell Energy's market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.