DKINMAKK Stock Forecast - Polynomial Regression

DKINMAKK  DKK 372.50  4.30  1.14%   
The Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Investeringsforeningen Danske Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 378.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00 and the sum of the absolute errors of 182.89. DKINMAKK Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
DKINMAKK polinomial regression implements a single variable polynomial regression model using the daily prices as the independent variable. The coefficients of the regression for Investeringsforeningen Danske Invest as well as the accuracy indicators are determined from the period prices.

DKINMAKK Polynomial Regression Price Forecast For the 12th of December 2024

Given 90 days horizon, the Polynomial Regression forecasted value of Investeringsforeningen Danske Invest on the next trading day is expected to be 378.71 with a mean absolute deviation of 3.00, mean absolute percentage error of 14.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 182.89.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DKINMAKK Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DKINMAKK's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DKINMAKK Stock Forecast Pattern

DKINMAKK Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DKINMAKK's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DKINMAKK's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 377.89 and 379.54, respectively. We have considered DKINMAKK's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
372.50
377.89
Downside
378.71
Expected Value
379.54
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Polynomial Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DKINMAKK stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DKINMAKK stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria120.7508
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation2.9982
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0081
SAESum of the absolute errors182.8876
A single variable polynomial regression model attempts to put a curve through the DKINMAKK historical price points. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, this line can be indicated as: Y = a0 + a1*X + a2*X2 + a3*X3 + ... + am*Xm

Predictive Modules for DKINMAKK

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Investeringsforeningen. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
371.67372.50373.33
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
368.29369.12409.75
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
363.91371.16378.41
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DKINMAKK

For every potential investor in DKINMAKK, whether a beginner or expert, DKINMAKK's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DKINMAKK Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DKINMAKK. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DKINMAKK's price trends.

DKINMAKK Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DKINMAKK stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DKINMAKK could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DKINMAKK by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Investeringsforeningen Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DKINMAKK's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DKINMAKK's current price.

DKINMAKK Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DKINMAKK stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DKINMAKK shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DKINMAKK stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Investeringsforeningen Danske Invest entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DKINMAKK Risk Indicators

The analysis of DKINMAKK's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DKINMAKK's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dkinmakk stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Pair Trading with DKINMAKK

One of the main advantages of trading using pair correlations is that every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if DKINMAKK position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Pair trading also minimizes risk from directional movements in the market. For example, if an entire industry or sector drops because of unexpected headlines, the short position in DKINMAKK will appreciate offsetting losses from the drop in the long position's value.

Moving together with DKINMAKK Stock

  0.75DSV DSV Panalpina ASPairCorr

Moving against DKINMAKK Stock

  0.69NOVO-B Novo Nordisk ASPairCorr
  0.68GMAB Genmab ASPairCorr
  0.53VWS Vestas Wind SystemsPairCorr
  0.49COLO-B Coloplast ASPairCorr
  0.49ESG Ennogie Solar GroupPairCorr
The ability to find closely correlated positions to DKINMAKK could be a great tool in your tax-loss harvesting strategies, allowing investors a quick way to find a similar-enough asset to replace DKINMAKK when you sell it. If you don't do this, your portfolio allocation will be skewed against your target asset allocation. So, investors can't just sell and buy back DKINMAKK - that would be a violation of the tax code under the "wash sale" rule, and this is why you need to find a similar enough asset and use the proceeds from selling Investeringsforeningen Danske Invest to buy it.
The correlation of DKINMAKK is a statistical measure of how it moves in relation to other instruments. This measure is expressed in what is known as the correlation coefficient, which ranges between -1 and +1. A perfect positive correlation (i.e., a correlation coefficient of +1) implies that as DKINMAKK moves, either up or down, the other security will move in the same direction. Alternatively, perfect negative correlation means that if Investeringsforeningen moves in either direction, the perfectly negatively correlated security will move in the opposite direction. If the correlation is 0, the equities are not correlated; they are entirely random. A correlation greater than 0.8 is generally described as strong, whereas a correlation less than 0.5 is generally considered weak.
Correlation analysis and pair trading evaluation for DKINMAKK can also be used as hedging techniques within a particular sector or industry or even over random equities to generate a better risk-adjusted return on your portfolios.
Pair CorrelationCorrelation Matching

Other Information on Investing in DKINMAKK Stock

DKINMAKK financial ratios help investors to determine whether DKINMAKK Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in DKINMAKK with respect to the benefits of owning DKINMAKK security.