Delek Logistics Stock Forward View

DKL Stock  USD 51.44  1.23  2.45%   
Delek Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Delek Logistics' naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Delek Logistics' systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Delek Logistics fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Delek Logistics' stock price is about 67 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Delek, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 67

 Buy Stretched

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Delek Logistics' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of Delek Logistics and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from Delek Logistics' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Delek Logistics Partners, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Delek Logistics' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.197
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
1.0642
EPS Estimate Current Year
3.84
EPS Estimate Next Year
5.53
Wall Street Target Price
44.25
Using Delek Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delek Logistics Partners from the perspective of Delek Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Delek Logistics using Delek Logistics' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Delek using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Delek Logistics' stock price.

Delek Logistics Short Interest

An investor who is long Delek Logistics may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Delek Logistics and may potentially protect profits, hedge Delek Logistics with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
43.8176
Short Percent
0.0314
Short Ratio
9.87
Shares Short Prior Month
565.9 K
50 Day MA
46.171

Delek Relative Strength Index

The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Delek Logistics Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 51.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.69.

Delek Logistics Partners Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Delek Logistics' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Delek. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Delek can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Delek Logistics Partners. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Delek Logistics' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Delek Logistics.

Delek Logistics Implied Volatility

    
  0.48  
Delek Logistics' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Delek Logistics Partners stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Delek Logistics' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Delek Logistics stock will not fluctuate a lot when Delek Logistics' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Delek Logistics Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 51.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55 and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.69.

Delek Logistics after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 51.31  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delek Logistics to cross-verify your projections.

Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Delek contract

Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Delek Logistics Partners will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.03% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With Delek Logistics trading at USD 51.44, that is roughly USD 0.0154 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Delek Logistics' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Delek Logistics Partners options at the current volatility level of 0.48%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.

Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Delek Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Delek Logistics' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Delek Logistics' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Delek Logistics stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Delek Logistics' open interest, investors have to compare it to Delek Logistics' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Delek Logistics is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Delek. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

Delek Logistics Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Delek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

Delek Logistics Cash Forecast

To forecast cash or other financial indicators, analysts must employ diverse statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. This approach allows them to detect underlying patterns in the Delek Logistics' financial statements, predicting their influence on future market prices.
 
Cash  
First Reported
2011-12-31
Previous Quarter
1.4 M
Current Value
6.9 M
Quarterly Volatility
6.1 M
 
Yuan Drop
 
Covid
 
Interest Hikes
A naive forecasting model for Delek Logistics is a special case of the moving average forecasting where the number of periods used for smoothing is one. Therefore, the forecast of Delek Logistics Partners value for a given trading day is simply the observed value for the previous period. Due to the simplistic nature of the naive forecasting model, it can only be used to forecast up to one period.

Delek Logistics Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Delek Logistics Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 51.28 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.55, mean absolute percentage error of 0.47, and the sum of the absolute errors of 33.69.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Delek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Delek Logistics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Delek Logistics Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Delek Logistics  Delek Logistics Price Prediction  Buy or Sell Advice  

Delek Logistics Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Delek Logistics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Delek Logistics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 49.74 and 52.82, respectively. We have considered Delek Logistics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.44
51.28
Expected Value
52.82
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delek Logistics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delek Logistics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria117.3601
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.5523
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0119
SAESum of the absolute errors33.6918
This model is not at all useful as a medium-long range forecasting tool of Delek Logistics Partners. This model is simplistic and is included partly for completeness and partly because of its simplicity. It is unlikely that you'll want to use this model directly to predict Delek Logistics. Instead, consider using either the moving average model or the more general weighted moving average model with a higher (i.e., greater than 1) number of periods, and possibly a different set of weights.

Predictive Modules for Delek Logistics

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delek Logistics Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.7751.3152.85
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
49.6951.2352.77
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
43.8847.7151.54
Details
3 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
40.2744.2549.12
Details

Delek Logistics After-Hype Price Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Delek Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delek Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delek Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Delek Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Delek Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delek Logistics' historical news coverage. Delek Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 49.77 and 52.85, respectively. We have considered Delek Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
51.44
51.31
After-hype Price
52.85
Upside
Delek Logistics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delek Logistics Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.

Delek Logistics Stock Price Outlook Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delek Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delek Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delek Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.54
  0.13 
  0.15 
11 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 11 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
51.44
51.31
0.25 
366.67  
Notes

Delek Logistics Hype Timeline

On the 30th of January Delek Logistics Partners is traded for 51.44. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.13, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.15. Delek is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 51.31. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.25%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. The volatility of related hype on Delek Logistics is about 308.62%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 51.59. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. Delek Logistics Partners last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delek Logistics to cross-verify your projections.

Delek Logistics Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Delek Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delek Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Delek Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delek Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
DKDelek Energy(1.31)8 per month 0.00 (0.16) 4.15 (3.81) 12.71 
INSWInternational Seaways 3.86 9 per month 1.31  0.14  3.52 (2.42) 14.71 
KNTKKinetik Holdings(0.87)8 per month 2.74  0  3.18 (3.31) 12.65 
TRMDTorm PLC Class(0.02)8 per month 1.29  0.10  4.36 (2.28) 10.37 
DHTDHT Holdings 0.27 10 per month 1.35  0.08  3.00 (2.35) 12.28 
OIIOceaneering International 0.27 10 per month 1.90  0.14  5.31 (3.35) 12.51 
TNKTeekay Tankers 3.50 9 per month 1.71  0.05  2.94 (2.68) 12.96 
TDWTidewater(0.19)8 per month 2.58  0.11  5.06 (5.04) 15.89 
GELGenesis Energy LP(0.48)10 per month 1.65  0.06  3.56 (2.69) 8.17 
PTENPatterson UTI Energy(0.04)8 per month 2.53  0.04  5.55 (4.64) 10.85 

Other Forecasting Options for Delek Logistics

For every potential investor in Delek, whether a beginner or expert, Delek Logistics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delek Logistics' price trends.

Delek Logistics Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Delek Logistics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Delek Logistics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delek Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Delek Logistics Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Delek Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Delek Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Delek Logistics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Delek Logistics Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Delek Logistics Risk Indicators

The analysis of Delek Logistics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Delek Logistics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting delek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Delek Logistics

The number of cover stories for Delek Logistics depends on current market conditions and Delek Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delek Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delek Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Delek Logistics Short Properties

Delek Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Delek Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Delek Logistics Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Delek Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding47.5 M
Cash And Short Term Investments5.4 M
When determining whether Delek Logistics Partners is a strong investment it is important to analyze Delek Logistics' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact Delek Logistics' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding Delek Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delek Logistics to cross-verify your projections.
You can also try the Crypto Correlations module to use cryptocurrency correlation module to diversify your cryptocurrency portfolio across multiple coins.
Is Oil & Gas Storage & Transportation space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delek Logistics. Projected growth potential of Delek fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Delek Logistics assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.197
Dividend Share
4.45
Earnings Share
3.08
Revenue Per Share
18.289
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.221
Investors evaluate Delek Logistics Partners using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Delek Logistics' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Delek Logistics' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Delek Logistics' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Delek Logistics should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Delek Logistics' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.