Delek Logistics Stock Forward View - Simple Regression
| DKL Stock | USD 50.17 0.48 0.97% |
Delek Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of RSI of Delek Logistics' stock price is about 61 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of now. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Delek, making its price go up or down. Momentum 61
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Delek Logistics hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Delek Logistics Partners from the perspective of Delek Logistics response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Delek Logistics Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 48.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94 and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.35. Delek Logistics after-hype prediction price | USD 50.17 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delek Logistics to cross-verify your projections. Delek Logistics Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Delek price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Delek using various technical indicators. When you analyze Delek charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Delek Logistics Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Delek Logistics Partners on the next trading day is expected to be 48.66 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.94, mean absolute percentage error of 1.39, and the sum of the absolute errors of 57.35.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Delek Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Delek Logistics' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Delek Logistics Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Delek Logistics | Delek Logistics Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Delek Logistics Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Delek Logistics' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Delek Logistics' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 47.04 and 50.27, respectively. We have considered Delek Logistics' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Delek Logistics stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Delek Logistics stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 118.4365 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.9402 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0204 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 57.3505 |
Predictive Modules for Delek Logistics
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Delek Logistics Partners. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Delek Logistics After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Delek Logistics at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Delek Logistics or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Delek Logistics, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Delek Logistics Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Delek Logistics' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Delek Logistics' historical news coverage. Delek Logistics' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 48.56 and 51.78, respectively. We have considered Delek Logistics' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Delek Logistics is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Delek Logistics Partners is based on 3 months time horizon.
Delek Logistics Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Delek Logistics is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Delek Logistics backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Delek Logistics, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 1.61 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0 Events / Month | 1 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
50.17 | 50.17 | 0.00 |
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Delek Logistics Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Delek Logistics Partners is traded for 50.17. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.02. Delek is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Delek Logistics is about 1872.09%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 50.19. About 65.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.77. Delek Logistics Partners last dividend was issued on the 5th of February 2026. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delek Logistics to cross-verify your projections.Delek Logistics Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Delek Logistics' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Delek Logistics' future price movements. Getting to know how Delek Logistics' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Delek Logistics may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| DK | Delek Energy | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.19) | 4.15 | (3.81) | 12.71 | |
| INSW | International Seaways | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.26 | 0.15 | 3.52 | (2.42) | 14.71 | |
| KNTK | Kinetik Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.68 | 0.04 | 3.15 | (3.31) | 9.74 | |
| TRMD | Torm PLC Class | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.24 | 0.12 | 4.36 | (2.24) | 10.37 | |
| DHT | DHT Holdings | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.32 | 0.09 | 3.00 | (2.35) | 12.28 | |
| OII | Oceaneering International | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.70 | 0.17 | 5.31 | (3.12) | 12.51 | |
| TNK | Teekay Tankers | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.67 | 0.06 | 2.86 | (2.68) | 12.96 | |
| TDW | Tidewater | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.67 | 0.12 | 5.06 | (5.04) | 15.89 | |
| GEL | Genesis Energy LP | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.74 | 0.03 | 3.00 | (2.86) | 8.30 | |
| PTEN | Patterson UTI Energy | 0.86 | 6 per month | 2.15 | 0.15 | 5.55 | (3.22) | 10.85 |
Other Forecasting Options for Delek Logistics
For every potential investor in Delek, whether a beginner or expert, Delek Logistics' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Delek Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Delek. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Delek Logistics' price trends.Delek Logistics Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Delek Logistics stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Delek Logistics could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Delek Logistics by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Delek Logistics Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Delek Logistics stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Delek Logistics shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Delek Logistics stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Delek Logistics Partners entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Delek Logistics Risk Indicators
The analysis of Delek Logistics' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Delek Logistics' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting delek stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.23 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.37 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.61 | |||
| Variance | 2.6 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.61 | |||
| Semi Variance | 1.89 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.36) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Delek Logistics
The number of cover stories for Delek Logistics depends on current market conditions and Delek Logistics' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Delek Logistics is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Delek Logistics' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Delek Logistics Short Properties
Delek Logistics' future price predictability will typically decrease when Delek Logistics' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Delek Logistics Partners often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Delek Logistics' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Delek Logistics' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 47.5 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 5.4 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Delek Logistics to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Competition Analyzer module to analyze and compare many basic indicators for a group of related or unrelated entities.
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Delek Logistics. Projected growth potential of Delek fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. Comprehensive Delek Logistics assessment requires weighing all these inputs, though not all factors influence outcomes equally.
Investors evaluate Delek Logistics Partners using market value (trading price) and book value (balance sheet equity), each telling a different story. Calculating Delek Logistics' intrinsic value—the estimated true worth—helps identify when the stock trades at a discount or premium to fair value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. External factors like market trends, sector rotation, and investor psychology can cause Delek Logistics' market price to deviate significantly from intrinsic value.
It's important to distinguish between Delek Logistics' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Delek Logistics should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. Conversely, Delek Logistics' market price signifies the transaction level at which participants voluntarily complete trades.