Digital Realty Preferred Stock Forecast - Triple Exponential Smoothing

DLR-PJ Preferred Stock  USD 23.31  0.10  0.43%   
The Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Digital Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 23.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.03. Digital Preferred Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
Triple exponential smoothing for Digital Realty - also known as the Winters method - is a refinement of the popular double exponential smoothing model with the addition of periodicity (seasonality) component. Simple exponential smoothing technique works best with data where there are no trend or seasonality components to the data. When Digital Realty prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any trend in Digital Realty price movement. However, neither of these exponential smoothing models address any seasonality of Digital Realty Trust.

Digital Realty Triple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 30th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Digital Realty Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 23.29 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.14, mean absolute percentage error of 0.03, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.03.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Digital Preferred Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Digital Realty's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Digital Realty Preferred Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Digital RealtyDigital Realty Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Digital Realty Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Digital Realty's Preferred Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Digital Realty's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 22.62 and 23.96, respectively. We have considered Digital Realty's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
23.31
23.29
Expected Value
23.96
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Triple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Digital Realty preferred stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Digital Realty preferred stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.0216
MADMean absolute deviation0.1362
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0057
SAESum of the absolute errors8.0338
As with simple exponential smoothing, in triple exponential smoothing models past Digital Realty observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older Digital Realty Trust observations.

Predictive Modules for Digital Realty

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Digital Realty Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the preferred stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the preferred stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
22.6423.3123.98
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
22.8423.5124.18
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
22.8623.4424.01
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Digital Realty

For every potential investor in Digital, whether a beginner or expert, Digital Realty's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Digital Preferred Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Digital. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Digital Realty's price trends.

Digital Realty Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Digital Realty preferred stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Digital Realty could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Digital Realty by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Digital Realty Trust Technical and Predictive Analytics

The preferred stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Digital Realty's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Digital Realty's current price.

Digital Realty Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Digital Realty preferred stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Digital Realty shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Digital Realty preferred stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Digital Realty Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Digital Realty Risk Indicators

The analysis of Digital Realty's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Digital Realty's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting digital preferred stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Building efficient market-beating portfolios requires time, education, and a lot of computing power!

The Portfolio Architect is an AI-driven system that provides multiple benefits to our users by leveraging cutting-edge machine learning algorithms, statistical analysis, and predictive modeling to automate the process of asset selection and portfolio construction, saving time and reducing human error for individual and institutional investors.

Try AI Portfolio Architect

Other Information on Investing in Digital Preferred Stock

Digital Realty financial ratios help investors to determine whether Digital Preferred Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Digital with respect to the benefits of owning Digital Realty security.