Defiance Silver OTC Stock Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average
| DNCVF Stock | USD 0.15 0.01 6.25% |
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance Silver Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03 and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.22. Defiance OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Defiance Silver's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
Defiance |
Defiance Silver 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November
Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Defiance Silver Corp on the next trading day is expected to be 0.19 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.03, mean absolute percentage error of 0, and the sum of the absolute errors of 1.22.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Defiance OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Defiance Silver's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Defiance Silver OTC Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Defiance Silver | Defiance Silver Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Defiance Silver Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Defiance Silver's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Defiance Silver's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0 and 6.83, respectively. We have considered Defiance Silver's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Defiance Silver otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Defiance Silver otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 74.7887 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 0.0073 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.0298 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.1598 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 1.221 |
Predictive Modules for Defiance Silver
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Defiance Silver Corp. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Defiance Silver's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Other Forecasting Options for Defiance Silver
For every potential investor in Defiance, whether a beginner or expert, Defiance Silver's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Defiance OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Defiance. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Defiance Silver's price trends.Defiance Silver Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Defiance Silver otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Defiance Silver could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Defiance Silver by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Defiance Silver Corp Technical and Predictive Analytics
The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Defiance Silver's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Defiance Silver's current price.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Defiance Silver Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Defiance Silver otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Defiance Silver shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Defiance Silver otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Defiance Silver Corp entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Daily Balance Of Power | (9,223,372,036,855) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.94 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.15 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.15 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.01) |
Defiance Silver Risk Indicators
The analysis of Defiance Silver's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Defiance Silver's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting defiance otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 5.42 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 5.43 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 7.46 | |||
| Variance | 55.7 | |||
| Downside Variance | 52.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 29.44 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (9.50) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
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Other Information on Investing in Defiance OTC Stock
Defiance Silver financial ratios help investors to determine whether Defiance OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Defiance with respect to the benefits of owning Defiance Silver security.