Dino Polska Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| DNP Stock | 39.82 0.32 0.81% |
Dino Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today the value of rsi of Dino Polska's share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Using Dino Polska hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Dino Polska SA from the perspective of Dino Polska response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dino Polska SA on the next trading day is expected to be 39.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.36. Dino Polska after-hype prediction price | PLN 39.82 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Dino |
Dino Polska Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Dino price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Dino using various technical indicators. When you analyze Dino charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Dino Polska Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 18th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Dino Polska SA on the next trading day is expected to be 39.72 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.52, mean absolute percentage error of 0.49, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.36.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Dino Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Dino Polska's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Dino Polska Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Dino Polska | Dino Polska Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Dino Polska Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Dino Polska's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Dino Polska's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 37.94 and 41.49, respectively. We have considered Dino Polska's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Dino Polska stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Dino Polska stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0532 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5227 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0131 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.3595 |
Predictive Modules for Dino Polska
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Dino Polska SA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Dino Polska's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Dino Polska After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Dino Polska at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Dino Polska or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Dino Polska, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Dino Polska Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Dino Polska's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Dino Polska's historical news coverage. Dino Polska's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.04 and 41.60, respectively. We have considered Dino Polska's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Dino Polska is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Dino Polska SA is based on 3 months time horizon.
Dino Polska Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Dino Polska is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Dino Polska backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Dino Polska, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.07 | 1.78 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
39.82 | 39.82 | 0.00 |
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Dino Polska Hype Timeline
Dino Polska SA is currently traded for 39.82on Warsaw Stock Exchange of Poland. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. Dino is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.07%. %. The volatility of related hype on Dino Polska is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.82. About 51.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company recorded earning per share (EPS) of 10.28. Dino Polska SA had not issued any dividends in recent years. The entity had 1:10 split on the 31st of July 2025. Assuming the 90 days trading horizon the next projected press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Dino Polska to cross-verify your projections.Dino Polska Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Dino Polska's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Dino Polska's future price movements. Getting to know how Dino Polska's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Dino Polska may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EXA | Examobile SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.93 | 0.04 | 6.33 | (5.94) | 20.44 | |
| MIL | Bank Millennium SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.59 | 0.05 | 3.52 | (2.81) | 10.08 | |
| SPL | Santander Bank Polska | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.47 | 0.11 | 2.91 | (2.36) | 9.54 | |
| TGS | True Games Syndicate | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.03) | 7.14 | (3.57) | 30.95 | |
| MLK | Mlk Foods Public | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.28 | 0.01 | 4.55 | (4.52) | 18.00 | |
| ALR | Alior Bank SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.09 | 0.10 | 3.25 | (2.06) | 8.91 | |
| UFG | UF Games SA | 0.00 | 0 per month | 1.75 | (0.03) | 4.04 | (3.88) | 11.64 |
Other Forecasting Options for Dino Polska
For every potential investor in Dino, whether a beginner or expert, Dino Polska's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Dino Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Dino. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Dino Polska's price trends.Dino Polska Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Dino Polska stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Dino Polska could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Dino Polska by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Dino Polska Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Dino Polska stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Dino Polska shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Dino Polska stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Dino Polska SA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 33057.35 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | 0.4103 | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 1.01 | |||
| Day Median Price | 39.53 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 39.63 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | 0.45 | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | 0.32 |
Dino Polska Risk Indicators
The analysis of Dino Polska's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Dino Polska's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dino stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.49 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Variance | 4.27 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Dino Polska
The number of cover stories for Dino Polska depends on current market conditions and Dino Polska's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Dino Polska is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Dino Polska's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Additional Tools for Dino Stock Analysis
When running Dino Polska's price analysis, check to measure Dino Polska's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Dino Polska is operating at the current time. Most of Dino Polska's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Dino Polska's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Dino Polska's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Dino Polska to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.