BRP Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DOOODelisted Stock | USD 78.40 0.63 0.81% |
BRP Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of today, The value of RSI of BRP's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling BRP, making its price go up or down. Momentum 58
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Using BRP hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of BRP Inc from the perspective of BRP response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BRP Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 78.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14 and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.39. BRP after-hype prediction price | USD 78.4 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as delisted stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
BRP |
BRP Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine BRP price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for BRP using various technical indicators. When you analyze BRP charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
BRP Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 5th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BRP Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 78.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 1.14, mean absolute percentage error of 2.65, and the sum of the absolute errors of 69.39.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BRP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BRP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
BRP Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest BRP | BRP Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
BRP Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting BRP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BRP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 76.12 and 80.68, respectively. We have considered BRP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BRP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BRP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 119.0862 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.2497 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 1.1375 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0156 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 69.39 |
Predictive Modules for BRP
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRP Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.BRP After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of BRP at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in BRP or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of BRP, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
BRP Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting BRP's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on BRP's historical news coverage. BRP's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 76.14 and 80.66, respectively. We have considered BRP's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
BRP is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of BRP Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
BRP Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as BRP is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading BRP backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Delisted Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with BRP, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 2.28 | 0.72 | 0.52 | 8 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
78.40 | 78.40 | 0.00 |
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BRP Hype Timeline
BRP Inc is currently traded for 78.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.72, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.52. BRP is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 127.37%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. %. The volatility of related hype on BRP is about 175.12%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 78.92. About 93.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 2.04. BRP Inc last dividend was issued on the 31st of December 2025. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRP to cross-verify your projections.BRP Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to BRP's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict BRP's future price movements. Getting to know how BRP's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how BRP may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| THO | Thor Industries | 4.81 | 9 per month | 1.96 | 0.08 | 4.33 | (2.29) | 14.53 | |
| BC | Brunswick | (0.61) | 10 per month | 1.58 | 0.14 | 4.33 | (2.82) | 14.76 | |
| ATAT | Atour Lifestyle Holdings | (0.71) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.02) | 5.36 | (3.98) | 11.35 | |
| ABG | Asbury Automotive Group | 5.23 | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 3.65 | (2.74) | 10.40 | |
| REYN | Reynolds Consumer Products | (0.02) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 2.08 | (2.29) | 6.81 | |
| MTH | Meritage | (0.71) | 7 per month | 1.63 | 0.05 | 3.68 | (2.86) | 13.79 | |
| SEE | Sealed Air | 0.04 | 10 per month | 0.31 | 0.13 | 2.13 | (0.97) | 19.98 | |
| FTDR | Frontdoor | 0.09 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.07) | 3.10 | (2.80) | 17.53 | |
| GOLF | Acushnet Holdings Corp | 3.02 | 10 per month | 0.87 | 0.21 | 3.42 | (1.93) | 6.55 | |
| PII | Polaris Industries | 1.88 | 8 per month | 1.75 | (0.01) | 4.43 | (2.60) | 10.57 |
Other Forecasting Options for BRP
For every potential investor in BRP, whether a beginner or expert, BRP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BRP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BRP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BRP's price trends.BRP Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BRP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BRP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BRP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
BRP Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BRP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BRP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BRP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BRP Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
BRP Risk Indicators
The analysis of BRP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BRP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.63 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.47 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.22 | |||
| Variance | 4.94 | |||
| Downside Variance | 2.58 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.16 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (2.05) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for BRP
The number of cover stories for BRP depends on current market conditions and BRP's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that BRP is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about BRP's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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BRP Short Properties
BRP's future price predictability will typically decrease when BRP's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of BRP Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential BRP's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. BRP's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 73.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 260.8 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRP to cross-verify your projections. You can also try the Commodity Channel module to use Commodity Channel Index to analyze current equity momentum.
Other Consideration for investing in BRP Stock
If you are still planning to invest in BRP Inc check if it may still be traded through OTC markets such as Pink Sheets or OTC Bulletin Board. You may also purchase it directly from the company, but this is not always possible and may require contacting the company directly. Please note that delisted stocks are often considered to be more risky investments, as they are no longer subject to the same regulatory and reporting requirements as listed stocks. Therefore, it is essential to carefully research the BRP's history and understand the potential risks before investing.
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