BRP Stock Forecast - Double Exponential Smoothing

DOOO Stock  USD 51.99  1.59  2.97%   
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BRP Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 52.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85 and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.11. BRP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Although BRP's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of BRP's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of BRP fundamentals over time.
  
At this time, BRP's Inventory Turnover is very stable compared to the past year. As of the 22nd of January 2025, Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to grow to 6.12, while Payables Turnover is likely to drop 5.02. . As of the 22nd of January 2025, Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to grow to about 81.1 M. Also, Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to grow to about 958.6 M.

Open Interest Against 2025-04-17 BRP Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast BRP's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in BRP's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for BRP stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current BRP's open interest, investors have to compare it to BRP's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of BRP is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in BRP. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Double exponential smoothing - also known as Holt exponential smoothing is a refinement of the popular simple exponential smoothing model with an additional trending component. Double exponential smoothing model for BRP works best with periods where there are trends or seasonality.

BRP Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 23rd of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of BRP Inc on the next trading day is expected to be 52.20 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.85, mean absolute percentage error of 1.19, and the sum of the absolute errors of 50.11.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict BRP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that BRP's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

BRP Stock Forecast Pattern

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BRP Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting BRP's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. BRP's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 50.06 and 54.34, respectively. We have considered BRP's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
51.99
52.20
Expected Value
54.34
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of BRP stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent BRP stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information CriteriaHuge
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors -0.1806
MADMean absolute deviation0.8493
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0168
SAESum of the absolute errors50.111
When BRP Inc prices exhibit either an increasing or decreasing trend over time, simple exponential smoothing forecasts tend to lag behind observations. Double exponential smoothing is designed to address this type of data series by taking into account any BRP Inc trend in the prices. So in double exponential smoothing past observations are given exponentially smaller weights as the observations get older. In other words, recent BRP observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for BRP

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as BRP Inc. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
49.8451.9954.14
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
48.5850.7352.88
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
58.3564.1271.17
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
0.991.131.19
Details

Other Forecasting Options for BRP

For every potential investor in BRP, whether a beginner or expert, BRP's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. BRP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in BRP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying BRP's price trends.

BRP Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with BRP stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of BRP could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing BRP by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

BRP Inc Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of BRP's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of BRP's current price.

BRP Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how BRP stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading BRP shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying BRP stock market strength indicators, traders can identify BRP Inc entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

BRP Risk Indicators

The analysis of BRP's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in BRP's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting brp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
When determining whether BRP Inc offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of BRP's financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Brp Inc Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Brp Inc Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of BRP to cross-verify your projections.
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Is Leisure Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of BRP. If investors know BRP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about BRP listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.98)
Earnings Share
2.06
Revenue Per Share
120.205
Quarterly Revenue Growth
(0.34)
Return On Assets
0.0804
The market value of BRP Inc is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of BRP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of BRP's value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is BRP's true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because BRP's market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect BRP's underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between BRP's value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if BRP is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, BRP's price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.