Leonardo DRS Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DRS Stock | 40.40 0.66 1.61% |
Leonardo Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time, The relative strength indicator of Leonardo DRS's share price is at 58 suggesting that the stock is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling Leonardo DRS, making its price go up or down. Momentum 40
Sell Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.238 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3906 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.0931 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.2563 | Wall Street Target Price 48.1 |
Using Leonardo DRS hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Leonardo DRS Common from the perspective of Leonardo DRS response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Leonardo DRS using Leonardo DRS's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Leonardo using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Leonardo DRS's stock price.
Leonardo DRS Short Interest
An investor who is long Leonardo DRS may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Leonardo DRS and may potentially protect profits, hedge Leonardo DRS with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 40.5901 | Short Percent 0.0408 | Short Ratio 2.73 | Shares Short Prior Month 3.1 M | 50 Day MA 36.4662 |
Leonardo Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Leonardo DRS Common on the next trading day is expected to be 40.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.31.Leonardo DRS Common Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Leonardo DRS's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Leonardo. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Leonardo can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Leonardo DRS Common. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Leonardo DRS's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Leonardo DRS.
Leonardo DRS Implied Volatility | 0.47 |
Leonardo DRS's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Leonardo DRS Common stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Leonardo DRS's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Leonardo DRS stock will not fluctuate a lot when Leonardo DRS's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Leonardo DRS Common on the next trading day is expected to be 40.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49 and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.31. Leonardo DRS after-hype prediction price | USD 40.35 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leonardo DRS to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Leonardo contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Leonardo DRS Common will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0294% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Leonardo DRS trading at USD 40.4, that is roughly USD 0.0119 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Leonardo DRS's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Leonardo DRS Common options at the current volatility level of 0.47%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Leonardo Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Leonardo DRS's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Leonardo DRS's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Leonardo DRS stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Leonardo DRS's open interest, investors have to compare it to Leonardo DRS's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Leonardo DRS is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Leonardo. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Leonardo DRS Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Leonardo price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Leonardo using various technical indicators. When you analyze Leonardo charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Leonardo DRS Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 3rd of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Leonardo DRS Common on the next trading day is expected to be 40.40 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.49, mean absolute percentage error of 0.46, and the sum of the absolute errors of 29.31.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Leonardo Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Leonardo DRS's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Leonardo DRS Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Leonardo DRS | Leonardo DRS Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Leonardo DRS Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Leonardo DRS's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Leonardo DRS's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 38.57 and 42.23, respectively. We have considered Leonardo DRS's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Leonardo DRS stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Leonardo DRS stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.4991 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0788 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.4885 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0132 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 29.31 |
Predictive Modules for Leonardo DRS
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Leonardo DRS Common. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Leonardo DRS After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Leonardo DRS at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Leonardo DRS or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Leonardo DRS, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Leonardo DRS Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Leonardo DRS's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Leonardo DRS's historical news coverage. Leonardo DRS's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 38.52 and 42.18, respectively. We have considered Leonardo DRS's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Leonardo DRS is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Leonardo DRS Common is based on 3 months time horizon.
Leonardo DRS Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Leonardo DRS is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Leonardo DRS backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Leonardo DRS, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.20 | 1.83 | 0.05 | 0.00 | 8 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 8 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.40 | 40.35 | 0.12 |
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Leonardo DRS Hype Timeline
On the 2nd of February Leonardo DRS Common is traded for 40.40. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.05, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Leonardo is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 40.35. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.12%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.2%. The volatility of related hype on Leonardo DRS is about 9150.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 40.40. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Leonardo DRS was currently reported as 9.95. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2025. Leonardo DRS Common had 1:2 split on the 14th of September 2016. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 8 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Leonardo DRS to cross-verify your projections.Leonardo DRS Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Leonardo DRS's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Leonardo DRS's future price movements. Getting to know how Leonardo DRS's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Leonardo DRS may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SARO | StandardAero | (2.40) | 9 per month | 1.79 | 0.04 | 3.06 | (3.65) | 8.19 | |
| CAE | CAE Inc | 0.16 | 10 per month | 1.52 | 0.08 | 3.17 | (2.27) | 9.61 | |
| UHAL | U Haul Holding | (1.09) | 6 per month | 1.49 | 0 | 2.78 | (2.56) | 9.39 | |
| DCI | Donaldson | (0.47) | 9 per month | 0.80 | 0.18 | 2.27 | (1.74) | 9.29 | |
| ERJ | Embraer SA ADR | (0.31) | 9 per month | 2.08 | 0.05 | 4.08 | (3.91) | 9.21 | |
| GNRC | Generac Holdings | 5.13 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 4.15 | (5.41) | 10.93 | |
| AIT | Applied Industrial Technologies | (1.89) | 10 per month | 1.75 | (0.02) | 2.64 | (2.10) | 9.70 | |
| RRX | Regal Beloit | (0.34) | 5 per month | 2.12 | 0.06 | 4.12 | (3.75) | 11.58 | |
| PSN | Parsons Corp | 1.39 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 3.68 | (3.89) | 25.78 |
Other Forecasting Options for Leonardo DRS
For every potential investor in Leonardo, whether a beginner or expert, Leonardo DRS's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Leonardo Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Leonardo. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Leonardo DRS's price trends.Leonardo DRS Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Leonardo DRS stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Leonardo DRS could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Leonardo DRS by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Leonardo DRS Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Leonardo DRS stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Leonardo DRS shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Leonardo DRS stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Leonardo DRS Common entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Leonardo DRS Risk Indicators
The analysis of Leonardo DRS's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Leonardo DRS's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting leonardo stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.45 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.81 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.05 | |||
| Variance | 4.19 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.49 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.28 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.67) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Leonardo DRS
The number of cover stories for Leonardo DRS depends on current market conditions and Leonardo DRS's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Leonardo DRS is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Leonardo DRS's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Leonardo DRS Short Properties
Leonardo DRS's future price predictability will typically decrease when Leonardo DRS's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Leonardo DRS Common often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Leonardo DRS's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Leonardo DRS's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 267.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 598 M |
Additional Tools for Leonardo Stock Analysis
When running Leonardo DRS's price analysis, check to measure Leonardo DRS's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Leonardo DRS is operating at the current time. Most of Leonardo DRS's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Leonardo DRS's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Leonardo DRS's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Leonardo DRS to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.