Generac Holdings Stock Price Prediction

GNRC Stock  USD 183.52  3.33  1.85%   
The relative strength index (RSI) of Generac Holdings' share price is above 70 at the present time. This usually indicates that the stock is becoming overbought or overvalued. The idea behind Relative Strength Index (RSI) is that it helps to track how fast people are buying or selling Generac, making its price go up or down.

Oversold Vs Overbought

74

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Generac Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Generac Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting Generac Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.948
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
2.4
EPS Estimate Current Year
7.0131
EPS Estimate Next Year
8.3339
Wall Street Target Price
177.1905
Using Generac Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Generac Holdings from the perspective of Generac Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.

Generac Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to Generac Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Generac. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Generac can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Generac Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Generac Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Generac Holdings.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Generac Holdings to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Generac because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.

Generac Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 182.85  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
  
Check out Generac Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Generac Stock refer to our How to Trade Generac Stock guide.
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
134.22136.54201.87
Details
Naive
Forecast
LowNextHigh
176.40178.72181.03
Details
24 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
124.92137.27152.37
Details
Earnings
Estimates (0)
LowProjected EPSHigh
1.681.751.90
Details

Generac Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Generac Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Generac Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Generac Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Generac Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Generac Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Generac Holdings' historical news coverage. Generac Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 180.53 and 185.17, respectively. We have considered Generac Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
183.52
180.53
Downside
182.85
After-hype Price
185.17
Upside
Generac Holdings is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Generac Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.

Generac Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Generac Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Generac Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Generac Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.27 
2.33
  0.67 
  0.04 
9 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 9 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
183.52
182.85
0.37 
93.20  
Notes

Generac Holdings Hype Timeline

Generac Holdings is currently traded for 183.52. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.67, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.04. Generac is projected to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 182.85. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is about 93.2%. The price decrease on the next news is expected to be -0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.27%. The volatility of related hype on Generac Holdings is about 1447.2%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 183.56. About 90.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Generac Holdings was currently reported as 40.5. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.21. Generac Holdings last dividend was issued on the 10th of June 2013. The entity had 1:3 split on the 10th of February 2010. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next projected press release will be in about 9 days.
Check out Generac Holdings Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Generac Stock refer to our How to Trade Generac Stock guide.

Generac Holdings Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Generac Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Generac Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how Generac Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Generac Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
ITWIllinois Tool Works 1.72 9 per month 0.64  0.05  1.53 (1.33) 4.73 
SCRYXSmall Cap Core 0.00 0 per month 0.96  0.01  2.39 (1.69) 7.88 
FRHCFreedom Holding Corp 0.57 8 per month 1.13  0.24  4.02 (2.40) 7.38 
GFLGfl Environmental Holdings(0.41)8 per month 1.36  0.02  2.97 (2.29) 7.37 
RGAGXGrowth Fund Of(0.97)1 per month 0.91  0.02  1.34 (1.66) 4.40 
SVIISpring Valley Acquisition(0.06)2 per month 0.39 (0.17) 0.44 (0.53) 4.77 
GFIGold Fields Ltd(0.18)11 per month 0.00 (0.08) 4.52 (5.41) 14.93 
KNFKnife River 1.35 8 per month 1.88  0.15  4.01 (2.46) 12.96 
MRKMerck Company(0.01)8 per month 0.00 (0.30) 1.68 (2.13) 4.89 
WESWestern Midstream Partners(0.40)10 per month 1.39 (0.04) 1.94 (2.16) 5.82 

Generac Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Generac price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Generac using various technical indicators. When you analyze Generac charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.

About Generac Holdings Predictive Indicators

The successful prediction of Generac Holdings stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Generac Holdings, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Generac Holdings based on analysis of Generac Holdings hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Generac Holdings's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Generac Holdings's related companies.
 2023 2024 (projected)
Dividend Yield5.6E-55.3E-5
Price To Sales Ratio1.971.62

Story Coverage note for Generac Holdings

The number of cover stories for Generac Holdings depends on current market conditions and Generac Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Generac Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Generac Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Generac Holdings Short Properties

Generac Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when Generac Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Generac Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Generac Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Generac Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding62.1 M
Cash And Short Term Investments201 M

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When running Generac Holdings' price analysis, check to measure Generac Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Generac Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of Generac Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Generac Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Generac Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Generac Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.
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