Diana Shipping Stock Forecast - Simple Regression
| DSX Stock | USD 2.26 0.09 4.15% |
Diana Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
The value of relative strength index of Diana Shipping's stock price is slightly above 66 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at this time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Diana, making its price go up or down. Momentum 66
Buy Stretched
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.791 | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.4 | Wall Street Target Price 2.9 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.02) |
Using Diana Shipping hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Diana Shipping from the perspective of Diana Shipping response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Diana Shipping using Diana Shipping's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Diana using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Diana Shipping's stock price.
Diana Shipping Short Interest
An investor who is long Diana Shipping may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Diana Shipping and may potentially protect profits, hedge Diana Shipping with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 1.6453 | Short Percent 0.0078 | Short Ratio 2.23 | Shares Short Prior Month 501.3 K | 50 Day MA 1.7498 |
Diana Relative Strength Index
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Diana Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 1.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.55.Diana Shipping Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Diana Shipping's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Diana. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Diana can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Diana Shipping. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Diana Shipping's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Diana Shipping.
Diana Shipping Implied Volatility | 1.49 |
Diana Shipping's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Diana Shipping stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Diana Shipping's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Diana Shipping stock will not fluctuate a lot when Diana Shipping's options are near their expiration.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Diana Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 1.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11 and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.55. Diana Shipping after-hype prediction price | USD 2.26 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diana Shipping to cross-verify your projections. Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 Diana Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Diana Shipping's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Diana Shipping's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Diana Shipping stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Diana Shipping's open interest, investors have to compare it to Diana Shipping's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Diana Shipping is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Diana. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Diana Shipping Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Diana price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Diana using various technical indicators. When you analyze Diana charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Diana Shipping Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 29th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Diana Shipping on the next trading day is expected to be 1.99 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.11, mean absolute percentage error of 0.02, and the sum of the absolute errors of 6.55.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Diana Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Diana Shipping's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Diana Shipping Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Diana Shipping | Diana Shipping Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Diana Shipping Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Diana Shipping's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Diana Shipping's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.02 and 5.34, respectively. We have considered Diana Shipping's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Diana Shipping stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Diana Shipping stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.8152 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1056 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.057 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 6.5481 |
Predictive Modules for Diana Shipping
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Diana Shipping. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Diana Shipping's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Diana Shipping After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Diana Shipping at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Diana Shipping or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Diana Shipping, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Diana Shipping Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Diana Shipping's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Diana Shipping's historical news coverage. Diana Shipping's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.11 and 5.59, respectively. We have considered Diana Shipping's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Diana Shipping is risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Diana Shipping is based on 3 months time horizon.
Diana Shipping Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Diana Shipping is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Diana Shipping backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Diana Shipping, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.51 | 3.35 | 0.90 | 0.01 | 29 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 29 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
2.26 | 2.26 | 0.00 |
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Diana Shipping Hype Timeline
On the 28th of January Diana Shipping is traded for 2.26. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.9, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. Diana is projected not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is about 190.34%. The immediate return on the next news is projected to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.51%. %. The volatility of related hype on Diana Shipping is about 12407.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 2.25. About 42.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 0.52. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Diana Shipping last dividend was issued on the 21st of August 2025. The entity had 117:112 split on the 24th of November 2023. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next projected press release will be in about 29 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Diana Shipping to cross-verify your projections.Diana Shipping Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Diana Shipping's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Diana Shipping's future price movements. Getting to know how Diana Shipping's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Diana Shipping may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| SHIP | Seanergy Maritime Holdings | 0.68 | 17 per month | 1.38 | 0.16 | 4.47 | (2.71) | 8.64 | |
| SMHI | SEACOR Marine Holdings | 0.01 | 15 per month | 2.94 | 0.04 | 6.94 | (4.92) | 17.74 | |
| GENC | Gencor Industries | (0.51) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.78 | (3.95) | 10.79 | |
| FC | Franklin Covey | (0.13) | 8 per month | 2.74 | 0.04 | 5.11 | (3.93) | 15.18 | |
| GASS | StealthGas | (0.27) | 24 per month | 0.91 | 0.14 | 2.36 | (1.89) | 8.25 | |
| ALTG | Alta Equipment Group | 0.05 | 10 per month | 3.51 | 0.01 | 6.44 | (4.75) | 15.40 | |
| PAMT | PAMT P | (0.24) | 6 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 6.06 | (6.15) | 17.24 | |
| RCMT | RCM Technologies | 0.27 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.12) | 3.73 | (2.89) | 12.29 | |
| YDDL | One and One | (0.27) | 15 per month | 5.12 | 0.08 | 13.60 | (8.04) | 42.71 | |
| SPCE | Virgin Galactic Holdings | 0.14 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 6.71 | (7.11) | 27.80 |
Other Forecasting Options for Diana Shipping
For every potential investor in Diana, whether a beginner or expert, Diana Shipping's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Diana Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Diana. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Diana Shipping's price trends.Diana Shipping Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Diana Shipping stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Diana Shipping could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Diana Shipping by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Diana Shipping Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Diana Shipping stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Diana Shipping shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Diana Shipping stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Diana Shipping entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Diana Shipping Risk Indicators
The analysis of Diana Shipping's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Diana Shipping's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting diana stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 2.52 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.98 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 3.25 | |||
| Variance | 10.59 | |||
| Downside Variance | 5.22 | |||
| Semi Variance | 3.94 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (3.40) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Diana Shipping
The number of cover stories for Diana Shipping depends on current market conditions and Diana Shipping's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Diana Shipping is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Diana Shipping's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Diana Shipping Short Properties
Diana Shipping's future price predictability will typically decrease when Diana Shipping's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Diana Shipping often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Diana Shipping's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Diana Shipping's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 118.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 188.2 M |
Additional Tools for Diana Stock Analysis
When running Diana Shipping's price analysis, check to measure Diana Shipping's market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Diana Shipping is operating at the current time. Most of Diana Shipping's value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Diana Shipping's future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Diana Shipping's price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Diana Shipping to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.