Duos Technologies Stock Forward View - Simple Exponential Smoothing
| DUOT Stock | USD 8.78 0.50 5.39% |
Duos Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of Duos Technologies' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.01 | EPS Estimate Current Year (0.42) | EPS Estimate Next Year 0.12 | Wall Street Target Price 14 | EPS Estimate Current Quarter (0.12) |
Using Duos Technologies hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Duos Technologies Group from the perspective of Duos Technologies response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Duos Technologies using Duos Technologies' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Duos using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Duos Technologies' stock price.
Duos Technologies Short Interest
An investor who is long Duos Technologies may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Duos Technologies and may potentially protect profits, hedge Duos Technologies with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 8.3495 | Short Percent 0.0656 | Short Ratio 4.29 | Shares Short Prior Month 1.1 M | 50 Day MA 10.112 |
Duos Relative Strength Index
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Duos Technologies Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.98.Duos Technologies Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Duos Technologies' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Duos. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Duos can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Duos Technologies Group. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Duos Technologies' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Duos Technologies.
Duos Technologies Implied Volatility | 1.27 |
Duos Technologies' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Duos Technologies Group stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Duos Technologies' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Duos Technologies stock will not fluctuate a lot when Duos Technologies' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Duos Technologies Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39 and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.98. Duos Technologies after-hype prediction price | USD 8.78 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duos Technologies to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Duos contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Duos Technologies Group will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0794% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Duos Technologies trading at USD 8.78, that is roughly USD 0.006969 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Duos Technologies' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Duos Technologies Group options at the current volatility level of 1.27%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Duos Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Duos Technologies' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Duos Technologies' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Duos Technologies stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Duos Technologies' open interest, investors have to compare it to Duos Technologies' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Duos Technologies is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Duos. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Duos Technologies Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Duos price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Duos using various technical indicators. When you analyze Duos charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Duos Technologies Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 14th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Duos Technologies Group on the next trading day is expected to be 8.78 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.39, mean absolute percentage error of 0.26, and the sum of the absolute errors of 23.98.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Duos Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Duos Technologies' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Duos Technologies Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Duos Technologies | Duos Technologies Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Duos Technologies Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Duos Technologies' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Duos Technologies' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 3.64 and 13.92, respectively. We have considered Duos Technologies' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Duos Technologies stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Duos Technologies stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 116.7474 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | 3.0E-4 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.3931 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0397 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 23.98 |
Predictive Modules for Duos Technologies
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Duos Technologies. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Duos Technologies After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Duos Technologies at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Duos Technologies or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Duos Technologies, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Duos Technologies Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Duos Technologies' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Duos Technologies' historical news coverage. Duos Technologies' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 3.59 and 13.97, respectively. We have considered Duos Technologies' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Duos Technologies is slightly risky at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Duos Technologies is based on 3 months time horizon.
Duos Technologies Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Duos Technologies is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Duos Technologies backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Duos Technologies, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.26 | 5.14 | 0.03 | 0.02 | 9 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 9 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
8.78 | 8.78 | 0.00 |
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Duos Technologies Hype Timeline
Duos Technologies is currently traded for 8.78. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.02. Duos is estimated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is estimated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.26%. %. The volatility of related hype on Duos Technologies is about 6763.16%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 8.80. About 19.0% of the company shares are held by company insiders. The book value of Duos Technologies was currently reported as 2.44. The company recorded a loss per share of 0.9. Duos Technologies last dividend was issued on the 17th of January 2020. The entity had 1:14 split on the 17th of January 2020. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next estimated press release will be in about 9 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Duos Technologies to cross-verify your projections.Duos Technologies Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Duos Technologies' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Duos Technologies' future price movements. Getting to know how Duos Technologies' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Duos Technologies may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| EB | Eventbrite Class A | (0.01) | 11 per month | 0.00 | 0.13 | 4.18 | (2.23) | 79.53 | |
| IMMR | Immersion | 0.09 | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.26 | (3.90) | 22.47 | |
| ONTF | ON24 Inc | (0.01) | 10 per month | 0.48 | 0.15 | 4.60 | (2.15) | 39.29 | |
| WALD | Waldencast Acquisition Corp | 0.01 | 11 per month | 4.47 | 0.01 | 11.56 | (8.06) | 33.33 | |
| MRT | Marti Technologies | 0.04 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.10) | 2.79 | (4.02) | 20.93 | |
| ASUR | Asure Software | 0.30 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.91 | (4.26) | 14.35 | |
| PERF | Perfect Corp | (0.06) | 11 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.91 | (4.42) | 20.12 | |
| SVCO | Silvaco Group Common | 0.15 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 5.99 | (7.38) | 15.65 | |
| EGHT | 8x8 Common Stock | (0.05) | 7 per month | 2.43 | 0.08 | 5.66 | (4.37) | 51.02 | |
| TCX | Tucows Inc | 0.30 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 5.31 | (5.34) | 16.74 |
Other Forecasting Options for Duos Technologies
For every potential investor in Duos, whether a beginner or expert, Duos Technologies' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Duos Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Duos. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Duos Technologies' price trends.Duos Technologies Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Duos Technologies stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Duos Technologies could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Duos Technologies by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Duos Technologies Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Duos Technologies stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Duos Technologies shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Duos Technologies stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Duos Technologies Group entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Accumulation Distribution | 19796.04 | |||
| Daily Balance Of Power | (0.62) | |||
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 8.9 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 8.86 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.37) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.50) |
Duos Technologies Risk Indicators
The analysis of Duos Technologies' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Duos Technologies' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting duos stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.92 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 5.11 | |||
| Variance | 26.12 |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Duos Technologies
The number of cover stories for Duos Technologies depends on current market conditions and Duos Technologies' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Duos Technologies is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Duos Technologies' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Duos Technologies Short Properties
Duos Technologies' future price predictability will typically decrease when Duos Technologies' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Duos Technologies Group often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Duos Technologies' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Duos Technologies' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 7.7 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 6.3 M |
Additional Tools for Duos Stock Analysis
When running Duos Technologies' price analysis, check to measure Duos Technologies' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Duos Technologies is operating at the current time. Most of Duos Technologies' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Duos Technologies' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Duos Technologies' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Duos Technologies to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.