Tucows Inc Stock Price Prediction
| TCX Stock | USD 16.16 0.11 0.68% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
34
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.902 | Wall Street Target Price 150.01 | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.061 |
Using Tucows hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Tucows Inc from the perspective of Tucows response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Tucows to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Tucows because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Tucows after-hype prediction price | USD 16.1 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Tucows |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Tucows' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Tucows After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Tucows at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Tucows or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Tucows, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Tucows Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Tucows' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Tucows' historical news coverage. Tucows' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 13.27 and 18.93, respectively. We have considered Tucows' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Tucows is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Tucows Inc is based on 3 months time horizon.
Tucows Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Tucows is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Tucows backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Tucows, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.43 | 2.83 | 0.06 | 0.57 | 10 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 10 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
16.16 | 16.10 | 0.37 |
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Tucows Hype Timeline
On the 25th of November Tucows Inc is traded for 16.16. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.06, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.57. Tucows is forecasted to decline in value after the next headline, with the price expected to drop to 16.1. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company price is over 100%. The price depreciation on the next news is expected to be -0.37%, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at -0.43%. The volatility of related hype on Tucows is about 214.39%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 16.73. About 77.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.15. Tucows Inc recorded a loss per share of 8.29. The entity had not issued any dividends in recent years. The firm had 1:4 split on the 31st of December 2013. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 10 days. Check out Tucows Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Tucows Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Tucows' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Tucows' future price movements. Getting to know how Tucows' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Tucows may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| ZS | Zscaler | 9.04 | 11 per month | 3.78 | 0.01 | 3.73 | (3.37) | 20.36 | |
| NET | Cloudflare | (0.66) | 10 per month | 1.75 | 0.11 | 5.47 | (3.44) | 13.45 | |
| CRWD | Crowdstrike Holdings | 3.00 | 8 per month | 1.74 | 0.16 | 4.04 | (3.03) | 11.54 | |
| PATH | Uipath Inc | 0.22 | 12 per month | 2.48 | 0.06 | 4.52 | (3.82) | 12.04 | |
| CHKP | Check Point Software | (0.33) | 12 per month | 0.00 | (0.08) | 2.75 | (1.86) | 17.62 | |
| RPD | Rapid7 Inc | 0.33 | 9 per month | 1.65 | 0.05 | 4.23 | (2.74) | 10.83 | |
| TENB | Tenable Holdings | (0.95) | 8 per month | 1.50 | (0.05) | 2.52 | (2.39) | 9.94 | |
| BAND | Bandwidth | (0.09) | 8 per month | 2.03 | 0.09 | 6.68 | (3.88) | 13.02 |
Tucows Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Tucows price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Tucows using various technical indicators. When you analyze Tucows charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Tucows Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Tucows stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Tucows Inc, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Tucows based on analysis of Tucows hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Tucows's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Tucows's related companies. | 2021 | 2022 | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Days Sales Outstanding | 22.58 | 29.59 | 25.41 | 35.83 | PTB Ratio | 7.77 | 3.78 | 29.7 | 31.19 |
Story Coverage note for Tucows
The number of cover stories for Tucows depends on current market conditions and Tucows' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Tucows is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Tucows' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Tucows Short Properties
Tucows' future price predictability will typically decrease when Tucows' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Tucows Inc often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Tucows' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Tucows' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 10.9 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 92.7 M |
Additional Tools for Tucows Stock Analysis
When running Tucows' price analysis, check to measure Tucows' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy Tucows is operating at the current time. Most of Tucows' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of Tucows' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move Tucows' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of Tucows to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.