DoubleVerify Holdings Stock Forecast - Naive Prediction
| DV Stock | USD 10.99 0.08 0.73% |
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DoubleVerify Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 11.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.92. DoubleVerify Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time the relative strength indicator of DoubleVerify Holdings' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.40) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.3359 | EPS Estimate Current Year 0.9649 | EPS Estimate Next Year 1.0746 | Wall Street Target Price 13.7778 |
Using DoubleVerify Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DoubleVerify Holdings from the perspective of DoubleVerify Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DoubleVerify Holdings using DoubleVerify Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DoubleVerify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DoubleVerify Holdings' stock price.
DoubleVerify Holdings Short Interest
An investor who is long DoubleVerify Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about DoubleVerify Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge DoubleVerify Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 13.0203 | Short Percent 0.0888 | Short Ratio 3.9 | Shares Short Prior Month 8.7 M | 50 Day MA 10.8424 |
DoubleVerify Holdings Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to DoubleVerify Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DoubleVerify. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DoubleVerify can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DoubleVerify Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
DoubleVerify Holdings Implied Volatility | 1.22 |
DoubleVerify Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DoubleVerify Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DoubleVerify Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DoubleVerify Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when DoubleVerify Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of DoubleVerify Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 11.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15 and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.92. DoubleVerify Holdings after-hype prediction price | USD 10.99 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
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Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current DoubleVerify contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that DoubleVerify Holdings will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0763% per day over the life of the 2026-03-20 option contract. With DoubleVerify Holdings trading at USD 10.99, that is roughly USD 0.00838 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating DoubleVerify Holdings' daily price movement you should consider acquiring DoubleVerify Holdings options at the current volatility level of 1.22%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-03-20 DoubleVerify Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast DoubleVerify Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in DoubleVerify Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for DoubleVerify Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current DoubleVerify Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to DoubleVerify Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of DoubleVerify Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DoubleVerify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
DoubleVerify Holdings Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine DoubleVerify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DoubleVerify using various technical indicators. When you analyze DoubleVerify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
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Forecasting cash, or other financial indicators, requires analysts to apply different statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms to find hidden patterns within the DoubleVerify Holdings' financial statements to predict how it will affect future prices.
Cash | First Reported 2019-12-31 | Previous Quarter 211.8 M | Current Value 200.7 M | Quarterly Volatility 110.8 M |
DoubleVerify Holdings Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 26th of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of DoubleVerify Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 11.14 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.15, mean absolute percentage error of 0.05, and the sum of the absolute errors of 8.92.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DoubleVerify Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DoubleVerify Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
DoubleVerify Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest DoubleVerify Holdings | DoubleVerify Holdings Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
DoubleVerify Holdings Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting DoubleVerify Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DoubleVerify Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.28 and 13.99, respectively. We have considered DoubleVerify Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DoubleVerify Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DoubleVerify Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 115.0988 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.1463 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0137 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 8.9216 |
Predictive Modules for DoubleVerify Holdings
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DoubleVerify Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DoubleVerify Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
DoubleVerify Holdings After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of DoubleVerify Holdings at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in DoubleVerify Holdings or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of DoubleVerify Holdings, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
DoubleVerify Holdings Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting DoubleVerify Holdings' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on DoubleVerify Holdings' historical news coverage. DoubleVerify Holdings' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 8.11 and 13.87, respectively. We have considered DoubleVerify Holdings' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
DoubleVerify Holdings is somewhat reliable at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of DoubleVerify Holdings is based on 3 months time horizon.
DoubleVerify Holdings Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as DoubleVerify Holdings is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading DoubleVerify Holdings backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with DoubleVerify Holdings, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.08 | 2.86 | 0.02 | 0.01 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
10.99 | 10.99 | 0.00 |
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DoubleVerify Holdings Hype Timeline
As of January 25, 2026 DoubleVerify Holdings is listed for 10.99. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.02, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.01. DoubleVerify is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at -0.08%. %. The volatility of related hype on DoubleVerify Holdings is about 2979.17%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 10.98. About 99.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.65. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. DoubleVerify Holdings has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 0.69. The entity last dividend was issued on the 30th of November 2016. The firm had 2:1 split on the June 22, 1998. Allowing for the 90-day total investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DoubleVerify Holdings to cross-verify your projections.DoubleVerify Holdings Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to DoubleVerify Holdings' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict DoubleVerify Holdings' future price movements. Getting to know how DoubleVerify Holdings' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how DoubleVerify Holdings may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| PRGS | Progress Software | (0.35) | 13 per month | 0.00 | (0.06) | 3.20 | (3.74) | 10.50 | |
| CXM | Sprinklr | 0.17 | 10 per month | 0.00 | (0.15) | 2.65 | (3.99) | 10.05 | |
| PLUS | ePlus inc | (0.66) | 9 per month | 1.23 | 0.09 | 3.71 | (2.17) | 19.34 | |
| IE | Ivanhoe Electric | (0.1) | 10 per month | 4.07 | 0.06 | 7.52 | (6.25) | 20.69 | |
| ADEA | ADEIA P | 0.25 | 11 per month | 3.88 | 0.05 | 4.89 | (3.51) | 32.90 | |
| PRCH | Porch Group | 0.45 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.17) | 4.27 | (6.15) | 42.64 | |
| JAMF | Jamf Holding | 0.02 | 13 per month | 0.00 | 0.15 | 1.69 | (0.15) | 15.40 | |
| EVTC | Evertec | (0.06) | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 2.94 | (3.16) | 9.49 | |
| LSPD | Lightspeed Commerce | (0.34) | 11 per month | 2.49 | (0.02) | 2.99 | (4.61) | 21.78 | |
| VECO | Veeco Instruments | (0.34) | 9 per month | 2.28 | 0.04 | 4.73 | (4.03) | 13.14 |
Other Forecasting Options for DoubleVerify Holdings
For every potential investor in DoubleVerify, whether a beginner or expert, DoubleVerify Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DoubleVerify Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DoubleVerify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DoubleVerify Holdings' price trends.DoubleVerify Holdings Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DoubleVerify Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DoubleVerify Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DoubleVerify Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
DoubleVerify Holdings Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DoubleVerify Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DoubleVerify Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DoubleVerify Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DoubleVerify Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
DoubleVerify Holdings Risk Indicators
The analysis of DoubleVerify Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DoubleVerify Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting doubleverify stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.67 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 2.95 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.82 | |||
| Variance | 7.98 | |||
| Downside Variance | 10.53 | |||
| Semi Variance | 8.72 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.84) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for DoubleVerify Holdings
The number of cover stories for DoubleVerify Holdings depends on current market conditions and DoubleVerify Holdings' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that DoubleVerify Holdings is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about DoubleVerify Holdings' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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DoubleVerify Holdings Short Properties
DoubleVerify Holdings' future price predictability will typically decrease when DoubleVerify Holdings' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of DoubleVerify Holdings often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential DoubleVerify Holdings' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. DoubleVerify Holdings' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 175.1 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 310.6 M |
Additional Tools for DoubleVerify Stock Analysis
When running DoubleVerify Holdings' price analysis, check to measure DoubleVerify Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DoubleVerify Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of DoubleVerify Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DoubleVerify Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DoubleVerify Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DoubleVerify Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.