DoubleVerify Holdings Stock Forecast - Simple Exponential Smoothing

DV Stock  USD 10.86  0.58  5.07%   
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoubleVerify Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25. DoubleVerify Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
At this time The relative strength indicator of DoubleVerify Holdings' share price is above 80 suggesting that the stock is significantly overbought by investors. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards.

Momentum 89

 Buy Peaked

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of DoubleVerify Holdings' future price could yield a significant profit. Please, note that this module is not intended to be used solely to calculate an intrinsic value of DoubleVerify Holdings and does not consider all of the tangible or intangible factors available from DoubleVerify Holdings' fundamental data. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with DoubleVerify Holdings, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed. Below are the key fundamental drivers impacting DoubleVerify Holdings' stock price prediction:
Quarterly Earnings Growth
(0.40)
EPS Estimate Next Quarter
0.3359
EPS Estimate Current Year
0.9649
EPS Estimate Next Year
1.0746
Wall Street Target Price
13.9211
Using DoubleVerify Holdings hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of DoubleVerify Holdings from the perspective of DoubleVerify Holdings response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards DoubleVerify Holdings using DoubleVerify Holdings' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards DoubleVerify using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of DoubleVerify Holdings' stock price.

DoubleVerify Holdings Short Interest

An investor who is long DoubleVerify Holdings may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about DoubleVerify Holdings and may potentially protect profits, hedge DoubleVerify Holdings with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA
13.2094
Short Percent
0.0889
Short Ratio
3.64
Shares Short Prior Month
9.5 M
50 Day MA
10.9746

DoubleVerify Holdings Hype to Price Pattern

Investor biases related to DoubleVerify Holdings' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in DoubleVerify. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding DoubleVerify can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around DoubleVerify Holdings. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of DoubleVerify Holdings' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about DoubleVerify Holdings.

DoubleVerify Holdings Implied Volatility

    
  0.9  
DoubleVerify Holdings' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of DoubleVerify Holdings stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if DoubleVerify Holdings' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that DoubleVerify Holdings stock will not fluctuate a lot when DoubleVerify Holdings' options are near their expiration.
The Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoubleVerify Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19 and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25.

DoubleVerify Holdings after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 10.86  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DoubleVerify Holdings to cross-verify your projections.
For more information on how to buy DoubleVerify Stock please use our How to Invest in DoubleVerify Holdings guide.At this time, DoubleVerify Holdings' Payables Turnover is fairly stable compared to the past year. Fixed Asset Turnover is likely to climb to 10.92 in 2026, whereas Receivables Turnover is likely to drop 2.18 in 2026. . Common Stock Shares Outstanding is likely to drop to about 180.8 M in 2026. Net Income Applicable To Common Shares is likely to drop to about 38.8 M in 2026.

Open Interest Against 2026-02-20 DoubleVerify Option Contracts

Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast DoubleVerify Holdings' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in DoubleVerify Holdings' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for DoubleVerify Holdings stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current DoubleVerify Holdings' open interest, investors have to compare it to DoubleVerify Holdings' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of DoubleVerify Holdings is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in DoubleVerify. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.

DoubleVerify Holdings Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine DoubleVerify price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for DoubleVerify using various technical indicators. When you analyze DoubleVerify charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
DoubleVerify Holdings simple exponential smoothing forecast is a very popular model used to produce a smoothed price series. Whereas in simple Moving Average models the past observations for DoubleVerify Holdings are weighted equally, Exponential Smoothing assigns exponentially decreasing weights as DoubleVerify Holdings prices get older.

DoubleVerify Holdings Simple Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 6th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of DoubleVerify Holdings on the next trading day is expected to be 10.87 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.19, mean absolute percentage error of 0.09, and the sum of the absolute errors of 11.25.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DoubleVerify Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DoubleVerify Holdings' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DoubleVerify Holdings Stock Forecast Pattern

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DoubleVerify Holdings Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DoubleVerify Holdings' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DoubleVerify Holdings' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 8.01 and 13.72, respectively. We have considered DoubleVerify Holdings' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
10.86
10.87
Expected Value
13.72
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DoubleVerify Holdings stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DoubleVerify Holdings stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria113.8756
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0107
MADMean absolute deviation0.1874
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0174
SAESum of the absolute errors11.2454
This simple exponential smoothing model begins by setting DoubleVerify Holdings forecast for the second period equal to the observation of the first period. In other words, recent DoubleVerify Holdings observations are given relatively more weight in forecasting than the older observations.

Predictive Modules for DoubleVerify Holdings

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DoubleVerify Holdings. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of DoubleVerify Holdings' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
8.0310.8613.69
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
7.9810.8113.64
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
10.2010.9611.72
Details
20 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
12.6713.9215.45
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DoubleVerify Holdings

For every potential investor in DoubleVerify, whether a beginner or expert, DoubleVerify Holdings' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DoubleVerify Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DoubleVerify. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DoubleVerify Holdings' price trends.

DoubleVerify Holdings Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DoubleVerify Holdings stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DoubleVerify Holdings could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DoubleVerify Holdings by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DoubleVerify Holdings Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DoubleVerify Holdings' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DoubleVerify Holdings' current price.

DoubleVerify Holdings Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DoubleVerify Holdings stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DoubleVerify Holdings shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DoubleVerify Holdings stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DoubleVerify Holdings entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DoubleVerify Holdings Risk Indicators

The analysis of DoubleVerify Holdings' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DoubleVerify Holdings' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting doubleverify stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Thematic Opportunities

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Additional Tools for DoubleVerify Stock Analysis

When running DoubleVerify Holdings' price analysis, check to measure DoubleVerify Holdings' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy DoubleVerify Holdings is operating at the current time. Most of DoubleVerify Holdings' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of DoubleVerify Holdings' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move DoubleVerify Holdings' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of DoubleVerify Holdings to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.