Devon Energy Stock Forward View
| DVN Stock | USD 40.21 0.27 0.68% |
Devon Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Although Devon Energy's naive historical forecasting may sometimes provide an important future outlook for the firm, we recommend always cross-verifying it against solid analysis of Devon Energy's systematic risk associated with finding meaningful patterns of Devon Energy fundamentals over time.
The value of relative strength index of Devon Energy's stock price is about 63 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors as of today. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Devon, making its price go up or down. Momentum 63
Buy Extended
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.9215 | EPS Estimate Current Year 3.9946 | EPS Estimate Next Year 3.6645 | Wall Street Target Price 44.7586 |
Using Devon Energy hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Devon Energy from the perspective of Devon Energy response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Devon Energy using Devon Energy's stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Devon using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Devon Energy's stock price.
Devon Energy Short Interest
An investor who is long Devon Energy may also wish to track short interest. As short interest increases, investors should be becoming more worried about Devon Energy and may potentially protect profits, hedge Devon Energy with its derivative instruments, or be ready for some potential downside.
200 Day MA 34.0743 | Short Percent 0.0403 | Short Ratio 2.39 | Shares Short Prior Month 18.5 M | 50 Day MA 36.817 |
Devon Relative Strength Index
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Devon Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 41.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.14.Devon Energy Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Devon Energy's public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Devon. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Devon can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Devon Energy. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Devon Energy's market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Devon Energy.
Devon Energy Implied Volatility | 0.57 |
Devon Energy's implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Devon Energy stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Devon Energy's implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Devon Energy stock will not fluctuate a lot when Devon Energy's options are near their expiration.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of Devon Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 41.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51 and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.14.
Devon Energy after-hype prediction price | USD 39.94 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Devon Energy to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Devon contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Devon Energy will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0356% per day over the life of the 2026-04-17 option contract. With Devon Energy trading at USD 40.21, that is roughly USD 0.0143 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Devon Energy's daily price movement you should consider acquiring Devon Energy options at the current volatility level of 0.57%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-04-17 Devon Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Devon Energy's spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Devon Energy's options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Devon Energy stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Devon Energy's open interest, investors have to compare it to Devon Energy's spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Devon Energy is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Devon. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Devon Energy Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Devon price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Devon using various technical indicators. When you analyze Devon charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Devon Energy Cash Forecast
Forecasting financial indicators like cash flow involves analysts applying various statistical methods, techniques, and algorithms. These tools reveal hidden trends within the Devon Energy's financial statements to estimate their effects on upcoming price movements.
Cash | First Reported 1987-12-31 | Previous Quarter 1.8 B | Current Value 1.3 B | Quarterly Volatility 1.4 B |
Devon Energy Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 31st of January
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of Devon Energy on the next trading day is expected to be 41.16 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.51, mean absolute percentage error of 0.43, and the sum of the absolute errors of 31.14.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Devon Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Devon Energy's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Devon Energy Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Devon Energy | Devon Energy Price Prediction | Buy or Sell Advice |
Devon Energy Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Devon Energy's Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Devon Energy's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 39.06 and 43.26, respectively. We have considered Devon Energy's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Devon Energy stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Devon Energy stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 117.2615 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.5105 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0142 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 31.1433 |
Predictive Modules for Devon Energy
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Devon Energy. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Devon Energy's price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Devon Energy After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Devon Energy at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Devon Energy or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Devon Energy, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Devon Energy Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Devon Energy's stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Devon Energy's historical news coverage. Devon Energy's after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 37.84 and 42.04, respectively. We have considered Devon Energy's daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Devon Energy is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Devon Energy is based on 3 months time horizon.
Devon Energy Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Devon Energy is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Devon Energy backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Devon Energy, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.37 | 2.10 | 0.21 | 0.81 | 11 Events / Month | 6 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
40.21 | 39.94 | 0.00 |
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Devon Energy Hype Timeline
On the 30th of January Devon Energy is traded for 40.21. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.21, and average elasticity to hype of competition of -0.81. Devon is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.37%. %. The volatility of related hype on Devon Energy is about 96.07%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 39.40. About 79.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.63. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Devon Energy last dividend was issued on the 15th of December 2025. The entity had 2:1 split on the 16th of November 2004. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next anticipated press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Devon Energy to cross-verify your projections.Devon Energy Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Devon Energy's direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Devon Energy's future price movements. Getting to know how Devon Energy's peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Devon Energy may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| CTRA | Coterra Energy | 0.03 | 10 per month | 1.59 | 0.14 | 2.45 | (2.90) | 9.69 | |
| TPL | Texas Pacific Land | (12.41) | 10 per month | 2.27 | 0.06 | 5.79 | (3.90) | 16.39 | |
| EC | Ecopetrol SA ADR | 0.12 | 11 per month | 1.72 | 0.23 | 3.15 | (3.07) | 10.93 | |
| VG | Venture Global | 0.01 | 7 per month | 4.26 | 0 | 6.78 | (7.80) | 17.61 | |
| TS | Tenaris SA ADR | (0.32) | 10 per month | 1.25 | 0.19 | 3.69 | (2.22) | 9.87 | |
| PBA | Pembina Pipeline Corp | (1.17) | 8 per month | 1.23 | 0.1 | 1.99 | (1.63) | 6.67 | |
| EXEEL | Expand Energy | (6.63) | 6 per month | 1.84 | 0.01 | 4.93 | (3.34) | 13.68 | |
| EXE | Expand Energy | (1.85) | 10 per month | 1.67 | 0.03 | 4.39 | (3.08) | 10.14 | |
| EXEEZ | Expand Energy | 0.00 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 0.00 | 0.00 | 8.55 | |
| HAL | Halliburton | 0.36 | 9 per month | 1.64 | 0.14 | 4.05 | (3.16) | 11.25 |
Other Forecasting Options for Devon Energy
For every potential investor in Devon, whether a beginner or expert, Devon Energy's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Devon Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Devon. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Devon Energy's price trends.Devon Energy Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Devon Energy stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Devon Energy could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Devon Energy by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Devon Energy Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Devon Energy stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Devon Energy shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Devon Energy stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Devon Energy entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Devon Energy Risk Indicators
The analysis of Devon Energy's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Devon Energy's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting devon stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.58 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 1.6 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 2.07 | |||
| Variance | 4.26 | |||
| Downside Variance | 3.66 | |||
| Semi Variance | 2.55 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.78) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Devon Energy
The number of cover stories for Devon Energy depends on current market conditions and Devon Energy's risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Devon Energy is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Devon Energy's long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Devon Energy Short Properties
Devon Energy's future price predictability will typically decrease when Devon Energy's long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Devon Energy often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Devon Energy's investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Devon Energy's indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 623 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 846 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Devon Energy to cross-verify your projections. To learn how to invest in Devon Stock, please use our How to Invest in Devon Energy guide.You can also try the Companies Directory module to evaluate performance of over 100,000 Stocks, Funds, and ETFs against different fundamentals.
Will Oil & Gas Exploration & Production sector continue expanding? Could Devon diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Devon Energy. Projected growth potential of Devon fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Devon Energy data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.16) | Dividend Share 0.94 | Earnings Share 4.24 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.071 |
Understanding Devon Energy requires distinguishing between market price and book value, where the latter reflects Devon's accounting equity. The concept of intrinsic value—what Devon Energy's is actually worth based on fundamentals—guides informed investors toward better entry and exit points. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Market sentiment, economic cycles, and investor behavior can push Devon Energy's price substantially above or below its fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Devon Energy's intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Devon Energy should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. In contrast, Devon Energy's trading price reflects the actual exchange value where willing buyers and sellers reach mutual agreement.