DXP Enterprises Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

DXPE Stock  USD 71.33  2.21  3.20%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of DXP Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 65.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.43 and the sum of the absolute errors of 270.13. DXP Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast DXP Enterprises stock prices and determine the direction of DXP Enterprises's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of DXP Enterprises' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through DXP Enterprises price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

DXP Enterprises Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 26th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of DXP Enterprises on the next trading day is expected to be 65.50 with a mean absolute deviation of 4.43, mean absolute percentage error of 31.61, and the sum of the absolute errors of 270.13.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict DXP Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that DXP Enterprises' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

DXP Enterprises Stock Forecast Pattern

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DXP Enterprises Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting DXP Enterprises' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. DXP Enterprises' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 61.96 and 69.04, respectively. We have considered DXP Enterprises' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
71.33
65.50
Expected Value
69.04
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of DXP Enterprises stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent DXP Enterprises stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria121.5638
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation4.4283
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0791
SAESum of the absolute errors270.126
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as DXP Enterprises historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for DXP Enterprises

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as DXP Enterprises. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
68.1971.7075.21
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
62.7766.2878.46
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
68.5170.5972.68
Details
1 Analysts
Consensus
LowTargetHigh
50.0555.0061.05
Details

Other Forecasting Options for DXP Enterprises

For every potential investor in DXP, whether a beginner or expert, DXP Enterprises' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. DXP Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in DXP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying DXP Enterprises' price trends.

DXP Enterprises Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with DXP Enterprises stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of DXP Enterprises could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing DXP Enterprises by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

DXP Enterprises Technical and Predictive Analytics

The stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of DXP Enterprises' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of DXP Enterprises' current price.

DXP Enterprises Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how DXP Enterprises stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading DXP Enterprises shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying DXP Enterprises stock market strength indicators, traders can identify DXP Enterprises entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

DXP Enterprises Risk Indicators

The analysis of DXP Enterprises' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in DXP Enterprises' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting dxp stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.
When determining whether DXP Enterprises is a strong investment it is important to analyze DXP Enterprises' competitive position within its industry, examining market share, product or service uniqueness, and competitive advantages. Beyond financials and market position, potential investors should also consider broader economic conditions, industry trends, and any regulatory or geopolitical factors that may impact DXP Enterprises' future performance. For an informed investment choice regarding DXP Stock, refer to the following important reports:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of DXP Enterprises to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade DXP Stock refer to our How to Trade DXP Stock guide.
You can also try the Alpha Finder module to use alpha and beta coefficients to find investment opportunities after accounting for the risk.
Is Trading Companies & Distributors space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of DXP Enterprises. If investors know DXP will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about DXP Enterprises listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth
0.365
Earnings Share
3.88
Revenue Per Share
108.784
Quarterly Revenue Growth
0.128
Return On Assets
0.0751
The market value of DXP Enterprises is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of DXP that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of DXP Enterprises' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is DXP Enterprises' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because DXP Enterprises' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect DXP Enterprises' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between DXP Enterprises' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if DXP Enterprises is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, DXP Enterprises' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.