Gibraltar Industries Stock Price Prediction
| ROCK Stock | USD 69.72 0.80 1.16% |
Oversold Vs Overbought
63
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.96 | EPS Estimate Current Year 4.15 | EPS Estimate Next Year 4.7433 | Wall Street Target Price 87 |
Using Gibraltar Industries hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Gibraltar Industries from the perspective of Gibraltar Industries response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
Gibraltar Industries Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Gibraltar Industries' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Gibraltar. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Gibraltar can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Gibraltar Industries. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Gibraltar Industries' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Gibraltar Industries.
The fear of missing out, i.e., FOMO, can cause potential investors in Gibraltar Industries to buy its stock at a price that has no basis in reality. In that case, they are not buying Gibraltar because the equity is a good investment, but because they need to do something to avoid the feeling of missing out. On the other hand, investors will often sell stocks at prices well below their value during bear markets because they need to stop feeling the pain of losing money.
Gibraltar Industries after-hype prediction price | USD 68.92 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Gibraltar |
Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of Gibraltar Industries' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
Gibraltar Industries After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Gibraltar Industries at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Gibraltar Industries or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Gibraltar Industries, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Gibraltar Industries Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Gibraltar Industries' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Gibraltar Industries' historical news coverage. Gibraltar Industries' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 67.12 and 70.72, respectively. We have considered Gibraltar Industries' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Gibraltar Industries is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Gibraltar Industries is based on 3 months time horizon.
Gibraltar Industries Stock Price Prediction Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Gibraltar Industries is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Gibraltar Industries backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Gibraltar Industries, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.04 | 1.81 | 0.01 | 0.00 | 7 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 7 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | ||
69.72 | 68.92 | 0.00 |
|
Gibraltar Industries Hype Timeline
Gibraltar Industries is at this time traded for 69.72. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.01, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.0. Gibraltar is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is at this time at 0.04%. %. The volatility of related hype on Gibraltar Industries is about 1683.72%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 69.72. About 99.0% of the company shares are owned by institutional investors. The book value of Gibraltar Industries was at this time reported as 33.05. The company has Price/Earnings To Growth (PEG) ratio of 1.02. Gibraltar Industries last dividend was issued on the 30th of December 2008. The entity had 3:2 split on the 1st of November 2004. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next forecasted press release will be in about 7 days. Check out Gibraltar Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections.Gibraltar Industries Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Gibraltar Industries' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Gibraltar Industries' future price movements. Getting to know how Gibraltar Industries' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Gibraltar Industries may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| NX | Quanex Building Products | (0.14) | 11 per month | 2.56 | 0.02 | 4.43 | (2.75) | 32.55 | |
| JELD | Jeld Wen Holding | 0.37 | 7 per month | 0.00 | (0.09) | 3.93 | (5.43) | 37.15 | |
| PPIH | Perma Pipe International Holdings | 0.80 | 6 per month | 2.26 | 0.19 | 9.82 | (4.43) | 35.55 | |
| TILE | Interface | 0.23 | 10 per month | 1.28 | 0.13 | 3.44 | (2.83) | 34.53 | |
| JBI | Janus International Group | 0.1 | 8 per month | 0.00 | (0.14) | 3.00 | (4.22) | 33.52 | |
| AWI | Armstrong World Industries | (0.67) | 7 per month | 0.56 | 0.23 | 2.35 | (1.38) | 5.22 | |
| APOG | Apogee Enterprises | (0.20) | 8 per month | 1.57 | 0.10 | 3.73 | (2.93) | 28.75 | |
| BECN | Beacon Roofing Supply | 0.37 | 9 per month | 1.54 | 0.13 | 3.74 | (2.18) | 11.44 |
Gibraltar Industries Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Gibraltar price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Gibraltar using various technical indicators. When you analyze Gibraltar charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
About Gibraltar Industries Predictive Indicators
The successful prediction of Gibraltar Industries stock price could yield a significant profit to investors. But is it possible? The efficient-market hypothesis suggests that all published stock prices of traded companies, such as Gibraltar Industries, already reflect all publicly available information. This academic statement is a fundamental principle of many financial and investing theories used today. However, the typical investor usually disagrees with a 'textbook' version of this hypothesis and continually tries to find mispriced stocks to increase returns. We use internally-developed statistical techniques to arrive at the intrinsic value of Gibraltar Industries based on analysis of Gibraltar Industries hews, social hype, general headline patterns, and widely used predictive technical indicators.
We also calculate exposure to Gibraltar Industries's market risk, different technical and fundamental indicators, relevant financial multiples and ratios, and then comparing them to Gibraltar Industries's related companies. | 2023 | 2024 (projected) | Dividend Yield | 0.003637 | 0.003455 | Price To Sales Ratio | 1.76 | 1.84 |
Story Coverage note for Gibraltar Industries
The number of cover stories for Gibraltar Industries depends on current market conditions and Gibraltar Industries' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Gibraltar Industries is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Gibraltar Industries' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Contributor Headline
Latest Perspective From Macroaxis
Gibraltar Industries Short Properties
Gibraltar Industries' future price predictability will typically decrease when Gibraltar Industries' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Gibraltar Industries often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Gibraltar Industries' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Gibraltar Industries' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 30.8 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 99.4 M |
Check out Gibraltar Industries Basic Forecasting Models to cross-verify your projections. For more information on how to buy Gibraltar Stock please use our How to buy in Gibraltar Stock guide.You can also try the Correlation Analysis module to reduce portfolio risk simply by holding instruments which are not perfectly correlated.
Is Building Products space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Gibraltar Industries. If investors know Gibraltar will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Gibraltar Industries listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
Quarterly Earnings Growth (0.13) | Earnings Share 3.59 | Revenue Per Share 43.686 | Quarterly Revenue Growth (0.08) | Return On Assets 0.075 |
The market value of Gibraltar Industries is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Gibraltar that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Gibraltar Industries' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Gibraltar Industries' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Gibraltar Industries' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Gibraltar Industries' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Gibraltar Industries' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Gibraltar Industries is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Gibraltar Industries' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.