Eastern Bankshares Stock Forward View - Double Exponential Smoothing
| EBC Stock | USD 21.61 0.19 0.89% |
Eastern Stock outlook is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eastern Bankshares stock prices and determine the direction of Eastern Bankshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We suggest always using this module together with an analysis of Eastern Bankshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
At the present time the relative strength index (rsi) of Eastern Bankshares' share price is below 20 suggesting that the stock is significantly oversold. The fundamental principle of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to quantify the velocity at which market participants are driving the price of a financial instrument upwards or downwards. Momentum 0
Sell Peaked
Oversold | Overbought |
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.537 | EPS Estimate Next Quarter 0.4342 | EPS Estimate Current Year 1.9453 | EPS Estimate Next Year 2.2037 | Wall Street Target Price 23.4167 |
Using Eastern Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eastern Bankshares from the perspective of Eastern Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors. We also analyze overall investor sentiment towards Eastern Bankshares using Eastern Bankshares' stock options and short interest. It helps to benchmark the overall future attitude of investors towards Eastern using crowd psychology based on the activity and movement of Eastern Bankshares' stock price.
Eastern Bankshares Short Interest
A significant increase or decrease in Eastern Bankshares' short interest from the previous month could be a good indicator of investor sentiment towards Eastern. Short interest can provide insight into the potential direction of Eastern Bankshares stock and how bullish or bearish investors feel about the market overall.
200 Day MA 17.3086 | Short Percent 0.0366 | Short Ratio 4.1 | Shares Short Prior Month 7.7 M | 50 Day MA 19.7367 |
Eastern Relative Strength Index
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastern Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.54.Eastern Bankshares Hype to Price Pattern
Investor biases related to Eastern Bankshares' public news can be used to forecast risks associated with an investment in Eastern. The trend in average sentiment can be used to explain how an investor holding Eastern can time the market purely based on public headlines and social activities around Eastern Bankshares. Please note that most equities that are difficult to arbitrage are affected by market sentiment the most.
Some investors profit by finding stocks that are overvalued or undervalued based on market sentiment. The correlation of Eastern Bankshares' market sentiment to its price can help taders to make decisions based on the overall investors consensus about Eastern Bankshares.
Eastern Bankshares Implied Volatility | 0.82 |
Eastern Bankshares' implied volatility exposes the market's sentiment of Eastern Bankshares stock's possible movements over time. However, it does not forecast the overall direction of its price. In a nutshell, if Eastern Bankshares' implied volatility is high, the market thinks the stock has potential for high price swings in either direction. On the other hand, the low implied volatility suggests that Eastern Bankshares stock will not fluctuate a lot when Eastern Bankshares' options are near their expiration.
The Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastern Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25 and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.54. Eastern Bankshares after-hype prediction price | USD 21.64 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. Prediction based on Rule 16 of the current Eastern contract
Based on the Rule 16, the options market is currently suggesting that Eastern Bankshares will have an average daily up or down price movement of about 0.0513% per day over the life of the 2026-05-15 option contract. With Eastern Bankshares trading at USD 21.61, that is roughly USD 0.0111 . If you think that the market is fully incorporating Eastern Bankshares' daily price movement you should consider acquiring Eastern Bankshares options at the current volatility level of 0.82%. But if you have an opposite viewpoint you should avoid it and even consider selling them.
Open Interest Against 2026-05-15 Eastern Option Contracts
Although open interest is a measure utilized in the options markets, it could be used to forecast Eastern Bankshares' spot prices because the number of available contracts in the market changes daily, and new contracts can be created or liquidated at will. Since open interest in Eastern Bankshares' options reflects these daily shifts, investors could use the patterns of these changes to develop long and short-term trading strategies for Eastern Bankshares stock based on available contracts left at the end of a trading day.
Please note that to derive more accurate forecasting about market movement from the current Eastern Bankshares' open interest, investors have to compare it to Eastern Bankshares' spot prices. As Ford's stock price increases, high open interest indicates that money is entering the market, and the market is strongly bullish. Conversely, if the price of Eastern Bankshares is decreasing and there is high open interest, that is a sign that the bearish trend will continue, and investors may react by taking short positions in Eastern. So, decreasing or low open interest during a bull market indicates that investors are becoming uncertain of the depth of the bullish trend, and a reversal in sentiment will likely follow.
Eastern Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine Eastern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eastern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eastern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
Eastern Bankshares Double Exponential Smoothing Price Forecast For the 16th of February 2026
Given 90 days horizon, the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasted value of Eastern Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 21.68 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.25, mean absolute percentage error of 0.11, and the sum of the absolute errors of 14.54.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eastern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eastern Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
Eastern Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern
| Backtest Eastern Bankshares | Eastern Bankshares Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
Eastern Bankshares Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting Eastern Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eastern Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 20.00 and 23.36, respectively. We have considered Eastern Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Double Exponential Smoothing forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eastern Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eastern Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | Huge |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | -0.0024 |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.2464 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0125 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 14.54 |
Predictive Modules for Eastern Bankshares
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastern Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Eastern Bankshares After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of Eastern Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eastern Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eastern Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
Eastern Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting Eastern Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eastern Bankshares' historical news coverage. Eastern Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 19.96 and 23.32, respectively. We have considered Eastern Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
Eastern Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eastern Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.
Eastern Bankshares Stock Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eastern Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eastern Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eastern Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.40 | 1.68 | 0.03 | 0.19 | 11 Events / Month | 7 Events / Month | In about 11 days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
21.61 | 21.64 | 0.14 |
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Eastern Bankshares Hype Timeline
On the 15th of February 2026 Eastern Bankshares is traded for 21.61. The entity has historical hype elasticity of 0.03, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.19. Eastern is forecasted to increase in value after the next headline, with the price projected to jump to 21.64 or above. The average volatility of media hype impact on the company the price is over 100%. The price growth on the next news is projected to be 0.14%, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.4%. The volatility of related hype on Eastern Bankshares is about 345.68%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 21.80. The company reported the last year's revenue of 1.06 B. Total Income to common stockholders was 119.56 M with profit before taxes, overhead, and interest of 696.7 M. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 11 days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.Eastern Bankshares Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to Eastern Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eastern Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Eastern Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eastern Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| MTB | MT Bank | 1.84 | 8 per month | 0.69 | 0.19 | 2.65 | (1.25) | 5.19 | |
| FULT | Fulton Financial | (0.78) | 10 per month | 1.13 | 0.17 | 3.01 | (1.77) | 8.73 | |
| SNV | Sinovus Mining | (0.43) | 1 per month | 1.99 | (0.01) | 2.93 | (2.49) | 9.63 | |
| TBBK | The Bancorp | 3.67 | 9 per month | 0.00 | (0.04) | 4.87 | (4.30) | 20.77 | |
| INDB | Independent Bank | 0.55 | 12 per month | 0.99 | 0.15 | 2.97 | (1.58) | 8.01 | |
| ASB | Associated Banc Corp | 0.55 | 10 per month | 1.31 | 0.05 | 3.31 | (2.18) | 8.15 | |
| TFSL | TFS Financial | 0.38 | 8 per month | 1.47 | 0.06 | 2.75 | (2.76) | 8.19 | |
| UCB | United Community Banks | 0.33 | 10 per month | 1.14 | 0.11 | 2.80 | (1.45) | 8.46 | |
| INTR | Inter Co Class | 0.31 | 5 per month | 0.00 | (0.05) | 4.73 | (4.99) | 14.58 | |
| TCBI | Texas Capital Bancshares | (1.56) | 10 per month | 1.35 | 0.12 | 3.42 | (2.12) | 10.21 |
Other Forecasting Options for Eastern Bankshares
For every potential investor in Eastern, whether a beginner or expert, Eastern Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eastern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eastern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eastern Bankshares' price trends.Eastern Bankshares Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eastern Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eastern Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastern Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
Eastern Bankshares Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eastern Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eastern Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eastern Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eastern Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
Eastern Bankshares Risk Indicators
The analysis of Eastern Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eastern Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 1.25 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 0.8605 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 1.7 | |||
| Variance | 2.89 | |||
| Downside Variance | 1.4 | |||
| Semi Variance | 0.7404 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (1.54) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for Eastern Bankshares
The number of cover stories for Eastern Bankshares depends on current market conditions and Eastern Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eastern Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eastern Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
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Eastern Bankshares Short Properties
Eastern Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Eastern Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eastern Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eastern Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastern Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 216.4 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 316.9 M |
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern Bankshares to cross-verify your projections. For information on how to trade Eastern Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastern Stock guide.You can also try the Stock Tickers module to use high-impact, comprehensive, and customizable stock tickers that can be easily integrated to any websites.
Will Regional Banks sector continue expanding? Could Eastern diversify its offerings? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastern Bankshares. Projected growth potential of Eastern fundamentally drives upward valuation adjustments. Accurate valuation requires analyzing both current fundamentals and future growth trajectories. Every Eastern Bankshares data point contributes insight, yet successful analysis hinges on identifying the most consequential variables.
Quarterly Earnings Growth 0.537 | Dividend Share 0.51 | Earnings Share 0.43 | Revenue Per Share | Quarterly Revenue Growth 0.328 |
Eastern Bankshares's market price often diverges from its book value, the accounting figure shown on Eastern's balance sheet. Smart investors calculate Eastern Bankshares' intrinsic value - its true economic worth - which may differ significantly from both market price and book value. Seasoned market participants apply comprehensive analytical frameworks to derive fundamental worth and identify mispriced opportunities. Since Eastern Bankshares' trading price responds to investor sentiment, macroeconomic conditions, and market psychology, it can swing far from fundamental value.
It's important to distinguish between Eastern Bankshares' intrinsic value and market price, which are calculated using different methodologies. Investment decisions regarding Eastern Bankshares should consider multiple factors including financial performance, growth metrics, competitive position, and professional analysis. However, Eastern Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.