Eastern Bankshares Stock Forecast - Simple Regression

EBC Stock  USD 20.27  1.11  5.79%   
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Eastern Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 19.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.44. Eastern Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. Investors can use this forecasting interface to forecast Eastern Bankshares stock prices and determine the direction of Eastern Bankshares's future trends based on various well-known forecasting models. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Eastern Bankshares' historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
The value of RSI of Eastern Bankshares' stock price is about 63 suggesting that the stock is rather overbought by investors at the present time. The main point of the Relative Strength Index (RSI) is to track how fast people are buying or selling Eastern, making its price go up or down.

Momentum 63

 Buy Extended

 
Oversold
 
Overbought
The successful prediction of Eastern Bankshares' future price could yield a significant profit. We analyze noise-free headlines and recent hype associated with Eastern Bankshares, which may create opportunities for some arbitrage if properly timed.
Using Eastern Bankshares hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of Eastern Bankshares from the perspective of Eastern Bankshares response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Simple Regression forecasted value of Eastern Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 19.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42 and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.44.

Eastern Bankshares after-hype prediction price

    
  USD 20.27  
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as stock price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Eastern Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastern Stock guide.

Eastern Bankshares Additional Predictive Modules

Most predictive techniques to examine Eastern price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for Eastern using various technical indicators. When you analyze Eastern charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.
Simple Regression model is a single variable regression model that attempts to put a straight line through Eastern Bankshares price points. This line is defined by its gradient or slope, and the point at which it intercepts the x-axis. Mathematically, assuming the independent variable is X and the dependent variable is Y, then this line can be represented as: Y = intercept + slope * X.

Eastern Bankshares Simple Regression Price Forecast For the 24th of January

Given 90 days horizon, the Simple Regression forecasted value of Eastern Bankshares on the next trading day is expected to be 19.90 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.42, mean absolute percentage error of 0.27, and the sum of the absolute errors of 25.44.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Eastern Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Eastern Bankshares' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Eastern Bankshares Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Eastern BanksharesEastern Bankshares Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Eastern Bankshares Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Eastern Bankshares' Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Eastern Bankshares' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 18.16 and 21.65, respectively. We have considered Eastern Bankshares' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
20.27
19.90
Expected Value
21.65
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Simple Regression forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Eastern Bankshares stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Eastern Bankshares stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria116.7829
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors None
MADMean absolute deviation0.4171
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0225
SAESum of the absolute errors25.4419
In general, regression methods applied to historical equity returns or prices series is an area of active research. In recent decades, new methods have been developed for robust regression of price series such as Eastern Bankshares historical returns. These new methods are regression involving correlated responses such as growth curves and different regression methods accommodating various types of missing data.

Predictive Modules for Eastern Bankshares

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Eastern Bankshares. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
18.5020.2722.04
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
18.9420.7122.48
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
18.1819.1220.06
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as Eastern Bankshares. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against Eastern Bankshares' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, Eastern Bankshares' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in Eastern Bankshares.

Eastern Bankshares After-Hype Price Prediction Density Analysis

As far as predicting the price of Eastern Bankshares at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in Eastern Bankshares or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Stock prices, such as prices of Eastern Bankshares, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
   Next price density   
       Expected price to next headline  

Eastern Bankshares Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility

In the context of predicting Eastern Bankshares' stock value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on Eastern Bankshares' historical news coverage. Eastern Bankshares' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 18.50 and 22.04, respectively. We have considered Eastern Bankshares' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models outperform traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
20.27
20.27
After-hype Price
22.04
Upside
Eastern Bankshares is very steady at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of Eastern Bankshares is based on 3 months time horizon.

Eastern Bankshares Stock Price Prediction Analysis

Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as Eastern Bankshares is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading Eastern Bankshares backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Stock price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with Eastern Bankshares, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
Expected ReturnPeriod VolatilityHype ElasticityRelated ElasticityNews DensityRelated DensityExpected Hype
  0.30 
1.75
  0.10 
  0.06 
25 Events / Month
7 Events / Month
In about 25 days
Latest traded priceExpected after-news pricePotential return on next major newsAverage after-hype volatility
20.27
20.27
0.00 
500.00  
Notes

Eastern Bankshares Hype Timeline

On the 23rd of January Eastern Bankshares is traded for 20.27. The entity has historical hype elasticity of -0.1, and average elasticity to hype of competition of 0.06. Eastern is forecasted not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is over 100%. The immediate return on the next news is forecasted to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on Eastern Bankshares is about 845.41%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 20.33. About 72.0% of the company shares are held by institutions such as insurance companies. The company has price-to-book (P/B) ratio of 1.13. Some equities with similar Price to Book (P/B) outperform the market in the long run. Eastern Bankshares last dividend was issued on the 3rd of December 2025. Considering the 90-day investment horizon the next forecasted press release will be in about 25 days.
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Eastern Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastern Stock guide.

Eastern Bankshares Related Hype Analysis

Having access to credible news sources related to Eastern Bankshares' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict Eastern Bankshares' future price movements. Getting to know how Eastern Bankshares' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how Eastern Bankshares may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
Hype
Elasticity
News
Density
Semi
Deviation
Information
Ratio
Potential
Upside
Value
At Risk
Maximum
Drawdown
MTBMT Bank 0.30 14 per month 0.66  0.16  2.65 (1.19) 5.45 
FULTFulton Financial(0.24)12 per month 1.05  0.11  3.01 (1.65) 6.64 
SNVSynovus Financial Corp 0.31 4 per month 1.99 (0.03) 2.93 (2.49) 9.63 
TBBKThe Bancorp(0.24)15 per month 0.00 (0.09) 3.46 (2.96) 15.79 
INDBIndependent Bank(0.24)6 per month 0.93  0.11  2.97 (1.38) 6.27 
ASBAssociated Banc Corp 0.59 9 per month 0.99  0.07  3.48 (1.49) 8.56 
TFSLTFS Financial 0.16 9 per month 1.17  0.08  2.45 (2.23) 7.15 
UCBUnited Community Banks 2.06 7 per month 0.87  0.11  2.80 (1.30) 6.05 
INTRInter Co Class(0.35)30 per month 3.00 (0.02) 4.38 (3.98) 14.58 
TCBITexas Capital Bancshares(0.28)10 per month 1.00  0.18  3.41 (1.82) 7.09 

Other Forecasting Options for Eastern Bankshares

For every potential investor in Eastern, whether a beginner or expert, Eastern Bankshares' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Eastern Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Eastern. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Eastern Bankshares' price trends.

Eastern Bankshares Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Eastern Bankshares stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Eastern Bankshares could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Eastern Bankshares by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Eastern Bankshares Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Eastern Bankshares stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Eastern Bankshares shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Eastern Bankshares stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Eastern Bankshares entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Eastern Bankshares Risk Indicators

The analysis of Eastern Bankshares' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Eastern Bankshares' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eastern stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Story Coverage note for Eastern Bankshares

The number of cover stories for Eastern Bankshares depends on current market conditions and Eastern Bankshares' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that Eastern Bankshares is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about Eastern Bankshares' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.

Eastern Bankshares Short Properties

Eastern Bankshares' future price predictability will typically decrease when Eastern Bankshares' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of Eastern Bankshares often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential Eastern Bankshares' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. Eastern Bankshares' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
Common Stock Shares Outstanding182.2 M
Cash And Short Term InvestmentsB
When determining whether Eastern Bankshares offers a strong return on investment in its stock, a comprehensive analysis is essential. The process typically begins with a thorough review of Eastern Bankshares' financial statements, including income statements, balance sheets, and cash flow statements, to assess its financial health. Key financial ratios are used to gauge profitability, efficiency, and growth potential of Eastern Bankshares Stock. Outlined below are crucial reports that will aid in making a well-informed decision on Eastern Bankshares Stock:
Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of Eastern Bankshares to cross-verify your projections.
For information on how to trade Eastern Stock refer to our How to Trade Eastern Stock guide.
You can also try the Bond Analysis module to evaluate and analyze corporate bonds as a potential investment for your portfolios..
Is Stock space expected to grow? Or is there an opportunity to expand the business' product line in the future? Factors like these will boost the valuation of Eastern Bankshares. If investors know Eastern will grow in the future, the company's valuation will be higher. The financial industry is built on trying to define current growth potential and future valuation accurately. All the valuation information about Eastern Bankshares listed above have to be considered, but the key to understanding future value is determining which factors weigh more heavily than others.
The market value of Eastern Bankshares is measured differently than its book value, which is the value of Eastern that is recorded on the company's balance sheet. Investors also form their own opinion of Eastern Bankshares' value that differs from its market value or its book value, called intrinsic value, which is Eastern Bankshares' true underlying value. Investors use various methods to calculate intrinsic value and buy a stock when its market value falls below its intrinsic value. Because Eastern Bankshares' market value can be influenced by many factors that don't directly affect Eastern Bankshares' underlying business (such as a pandemic or basic market pessimism), market value can vary widely from intrinsic value.
Please note, there is a significant difference between Eastern Bankshares' value and its price as these two are different measures arrived at by different means. Investors typically determine if Eastern Bankshares is a good investment by looking at such factors as earnings, sales, fundamental and technical indicators, competition as well as analyst projections. However, Eastern Bankshares' price is the amount at which it trades on the open market and represents the number that a seller and buyer find agreeable to each party.