Aquafil SpA OTC Stock Forecast - 4 Period Moving Average

ECNLF Stock  USD 1.30  0.51  28.18%   
The 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aquafil SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09 and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.23. Aquafil OTC Stock Forecast is based on your current time horizon. We recommend always using this module together with an analysis of Aquafil SpA's historical fundamentals, such as revenue growth or operating cash flow patterns.
  
A four-period moving average forecast model for Aquafil SpA is based on an artificially constructed daily price series in which the value for a given day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for four preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited to forecast equities with high volatility.

Aquafil SpA 4 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 23rd of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 4 Period Moving Average forecasted value of Aquafil SpA on the next trading day is expected to be 1.30 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.09, mean absolute percentage error of 0.06, and the sum of the absolute errors of 5.23.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict Aquafil OTC Stock prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that Aquafil SpA's next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

Aquafil SpA OTC Stock Forecast Pattern

Backtest Aquafil SpAAquafil SpA Price PredictionBuy or Sell Advice 

Aquafil SpA Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting Aquafil SpA's OTC Stock value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. Aquafil SpA's downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 7.19, respectively. We have considered Aquafil SpA's daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
1.30
1.30
Expected Value
7.19
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 4 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of Aquafil SpA otc stock data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent Aquafil SpA otc stock, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria107.8755
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 0.0917
MADMean absolute deviation0.0917
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0499
SAESum of the absolute errors5.225
The four period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and troughs in a set of daily price observations of Aquafil SpA. However, it also has several disadvantages. In particular this model does not produce an actual prediction equation for Aquafil SpA and therefore, it cannot be a useful forecasting tool for medium or long range price predictions

Predictive Modules for Aquafil SpA

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as Aquafil SpA. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the otc stock market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the otc stock market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
0.071.307.23
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
0.081.567.49
Details

Other Forecasting Options for Aquafil SpA

For every potential investor in Aquafil, whether a beginner or expert, Aquafil SpA's price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. Aquafil OTC Stock price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in Aquafil. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying Aquafil SpA's price trends.

Aquafil SpA Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with Aquafil SpA otc stock to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of Aquafil SpA could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing Aquafil SpA by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

Aquafil SpA Technical and Predictive Analytics

The otc stock market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of Aquafil SpA's price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of Aquafil SpA's current price.

Aquafil SpA Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how Aquafil SpA otc stock reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading Aquafil SpA shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying Aquafil SpA otc stock market strength indicators, traders can identify Aquafil SpA entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

Aquafil SpA Risk Indicators

The analysis of Aquafil SpA's basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in Aquafil SpA's investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting aquafil otc stock prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

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Other Information on Investing in Aquafil OTC Stock

Aquafil SpA financial ratios help investors to determine whether Aquafil OTC Stock is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in Aquafil with respect to the benefits of owning Aquafil SpA security.