ECA Marcellus Pink Sheet Forward View
| ECTM Stock | USD 0.59 0.03 4.84% |
ECA Pink Sheet outlook is based on your current time horizon.
As of now, The relative strength index (RSI) of ECA Marcellus' share price is at 55 suggesting that the pink sheet is in nutural position, most likellhy at or near its resistance level. The main idea of RSI analysis is to track how fast people are buying or selling ECA Marcellus, making its price go up or down. Momentum 55
Impartial
Oversold | Overbought |
Using ECA Marcellus hype-based prediction, you can estimate the value of ECA Marcellus Trust from the perspective of ECA Marcellus response to recently generated media hype and the effects of current headlines on its competitors.
The Naive Prediction forecasted value of ECA Marcellus Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02 and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99. ECA Marcellus after-hype prediction price | USD 0.59 |
There is no one specific way to measure market sentiment using hype analysis or a similar predictive technique. This prediction method should be used in combination with more fundamental and traditional techniques such as pink sheet price forecasting, technical analysis, analysts consensus, earnings estimates, and various momentum models.
ECA |
ECA Marcellus Additional Predictive Modules
Most predictive techniques to examine ECA price help traders to determine how to time the market. We provide a combination of tools to recognize potential entry and exit points for ECA using various technical indicators. When you analyze ECA charts, please remember that the event formation may indicate an entry point for a short seller, and look at other indicators across different periods to confirm that a breakdown or reversion is likely to occur.| Cycle Indicators | ||
| Math Operators | ||
| Math Transform | ||
| Momentum Indicators | ||
| Overlap Studies | ||
| Pattern Recognition | ||
| Price Transform | ||
| Statistic Functions | ||
| Volatility Indicators | ||
| Volume Indicators |
ECA Marcellus Naive Prediction Price Forecast For the 6th of February
Given 90 days horizon, the Naive Prediction forecasted value of ECA Marcellus Trust on the next trading day is expected to be 0.60 with a mean absolute deviation of 0.02, mean absolute percentage error of 0.0004, and the sum of the absolute errors of 0.99.Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict ECA Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not suggest using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that ECA Marcellus' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).
ECA Marcellus Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern
| Backtest ECA Marcellus | ECA Marcellus Price Prediction | Research Analysis |
ECA Marcellus Forecasted Value
In the context of forecasting ECA Marcellus' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. ECA Marcellus' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 0.01 and 4.86, respectively. We have considered ECA Marcellus' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Model Predictive Factors
The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the Naive Prediction forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of ECA Marcellus pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent ECA Marcellus pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.| AIC | Akaike Information Criteria | 112.1655 |
| Bias | Arithmetic mean of the errors | None |
| MAD | Mean absolute deviation | 0.016 |
| MAPE | Mean absolute percentage error | 0.0289 |
| SAE | Sum of the absolute errors | 0.9903 |
Predictive Modules for ECA Marcellus
There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as ECA Marcellus Trust. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.Sophisticated investors, who have witnessed many market ups and downs, anticipate that the market will even out over time. This tendency of ECA Marcellus' price to converge to an average value over time is called mean reversion. However, historically, high market prices usually discourage investors that believe in mean reversion to invest, while low prices are viewed as an opportunity to buy.
ECA Marcellus After-Hype Price Density Analysis
As far as predicting the price of ECA Marcellus at your current risk attitude, this probability distribution graph shows the chance that the prediction will fall between or within a specific range. We use this chart to confirm that your returns on investing in ECA Marcellus or, for that matter, your successful expectations of its future price, cannot be replicated consistently. Please note, a large amount of money has been lost over the years by many investors who confused the symmetrical distributions of Pink Sheet prices, such as prices of ECA Marcellus, with the unreliable approximations that try to describe financial returns.
Next price density |
| Expected price to next headline |
ECA Marcellus Estimiated After-Hype Price Volatility
In the context of predicting ECA Marcellus' pink sheet value on the day after the next significant headline, we show statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios based on ECA Marcellus' historical news coverage. ECA Marcellus' after-hype downside and upside margins for the prediction period are 0.03 and 4.81, respectively. We have considered ECA Marcellus' daily market price in relation to the headlines to evaluate this method's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that news-based prediction models compare with traditional linear, nonlinear models or artificial intelligence models to provide accurate predictions consistently.
Current Value
ECA Marcellus is abnormally volatile at this time. Analysis and calculation of next after-hype price of ECA Marcellus Trust is based on 3 months time horizon.
ECA Marcellus Pink Sheet Price Outlook Analysis
Have you ever been surprised when a price of a Company such as ECA Marcellus is soaring high without any particular reason? This is usually happening because many institutional investors are aggressively trading ECA Marcellus backward and forwards among themselves. Have you ever observed a lot of a particular company's price movement is driven by press releases or news about the company that has nothing to do with actual earnings? Usually, hype to individual companies acts as price momentum. If not enough favorable publicity is forthcoming, the Pink Sheet price eventually runs out of speed. So, the rule of thumb here is that as long as this news hype has nothing to do with immediate earnings, you should pay more attention to it. If you see this tendency with ECA Marcellus, there might be something going there, and it might present an excellent short sale opportunity.
| Expected Return | Period Volatility | Hype Elasticity | Related Elasticity | News Density | Related Density | Expected Hype |
0.30 | 4.26 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0 Events / Month | 0 Events / Month | In a few days |
| Latest traded price | Expected after-news price | Potential return on next major news | Average after-hype volatility | |
0.59 | 0.59 | 0.00 |
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ECA Marcellus Hype Timeline
ECA Marcellus Trust is currently traded for 0.59. The entity stock is not elastic to its hype. The average elasticity to hype of competition is 0.0. ECA is anticipated not to react to the next headline, with the price staying at about the same level, and average media hype impact volatility is insignificant. The immediate return on the next news is anticipated to be very small, whereas the daily expected return is currently at 0.3%. %. The volatility of related hype on ECA Marcellus is about 0.0%, with the expected price after the next announcement by competition of 0.59. The book value of the company was currently reported as 0.86. The company last dividend was issued on the 18th of November 2022. Given the investment horizon of 90 days the next anticipated press release will be in a few days. Check out Historical Fundamental Analysis of ECA Marcellus to cross-verify your projections.ECA Marcellus Related Hype Analysis
Having access to credible news sources related to ECA Marcellus' direct competition is more important than ever and may enhance your ability to predict ECA Marcellus' future price movements. Getting to know how ECA Marcellus' peers react to changing market sentiment, related social signals, and mainstream news is a great way to find investing opportunities and time the market. The summary table below summarizes the essential lagging indicators that can help you analyze how ECA Marcellus may potentially react to the hype associated with one of its peers.
| HypeElasticity | NewsDensity | SemiDeviation | InformationRatio | PotentialUpside | ValueAt Risk | MaximumDrawdown | |||
| GULTU | Gulf Coast | 0.00 | 0 per month | 5.20 | 0.1 | 15.38 | (10.34) | 61.37 | |
| ROYTL | Pacific Coast Oil | 0.00 | 0 per month | 13.91 | 0.12 | 20.00 | (16.67) | 1,617 | |
| HGTXU | Hugoton Royalty Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 4.74 | 0.02 | 10.34 | (10.00) | 38.03 | |
| SDTTU | SandRidge Mississippian Trust | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | (0.11) | 10.50 | (5.26) | 1,484 | |
| CHKR | Chesapeake Granite Wash | 0.00 | 0 per month | 2.88 | 0.01 | 7.32 | (4.65) | 18.72 | |
| TISDZ | Treasure Island Royalty | 0.00 | 0 per month | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 |
Other Forecasting Options for ECA Marcellus
For every potential investor in ECA, whether a beginner or expert, ECA Marcellus' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. ECA Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in ECA. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying ECA Marcellus' price trends.ECA Marcellus Related Equities
One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with ECA Marcellus pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of ECA Marcellus could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing ECA Marcellus by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
| Risk & Return | Correlation |
ECA Marcellus Market Strength Events
Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how ECA Marcellus pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading ECA Marcellus shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying ECA Marcellus pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify ECA Marcellus Trust entry and exit signals to maximize returns.
| Rate Of Daily Change | 0.95 | |||
| Day Median Price | 0.59 | |||
| Day Typical Price | 0.59 | |||
| Price Action Indicator | (0.01) | |||
| Period Momentum Indicator | (0.03) | |||
| Relative Strength Index | 55.72 |
ECA Marcellus Risk Indicators
The analysis of ECA Marcellus' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in ECA Marcellus' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting eca pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
| Mean Deviation | 3.29 | |||
| Semi Deviation | 3.31 | |||
| Standard Deviation | 4.64 | |||
| Variance | 21.56 | |||
| Downside Variance | 22.12 | |||
| Semi Variance | 10.93 | |||
| Expected Short fall | (4.91) |
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.
Story Coverage note for ECA Marcellus
The number of cover stories for ECA Marcellus depends on current market conditions and ECA Marcellus' risk-adjusted performance over time. The coverage that generates the most noise at a given time depends on the prevailing investment theme that ECA Marcellus is classified under. However, while its typical story may have numerous social followers, the rapid visibility can also attract short-sellers, who usually are skeptical about ECA Marcellus' long-term prospects. So, having above-average coverage will typically attract above-average short interest, leading to significant price volatility.
Other Macroaxis Stories
Our audience includes start-ups and big corporations as well as marketing, public relation firms, and advertising agencies, including technology and finance journalists. Our platform and its news and story outlet are popular among finance students, amateur traders, self-guided investors, entrepreneurs, retirees and baby boomers, academic researchers, financial advisers, as well as professional money managers - a very diverse and influential demographic landscape united by one goal - build optimal investment portfolios
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ECA Marcellus Short Properties
ECA Marcellus' future price predictability will typically decrease when ECA Marcellus' long traders begin to feel the short-sellers pressure to drive the price lower. The predictive aspect of ECA Marcellus Trust often depends not only on the future outlook of the potential ECA Marcellus' investors but also on the ongoing dynamics between investors with different trading styles. Because the market risk indicators may have small false signals, it is better to identify suitable times to hedge a portfolio using different long/short signals. ECA Marcellus' indicators that are reflective of the short sentiment are summarized in the table below.
| Common Stock Shares Outstanding | 17.6 M | |
| Cash And Short Term Investments | 1.7 M |
Other Information on Investing in ECA Pink Sheet
ECA Marcellus financial ratios help investors to determine whether ECA Pink Sheet is cheap or expensive when compared to a particular measure, such as profits or enterprise value. In other words, they help investors to determine the cost of investment in ECA with respect to the benefits of owning ECA Marcellus security.