EDP Energias Pink Sheet Forecast - 20 Period Moving Average

EDPFY Stock  USD 36.22  0.14  0.39%   
The 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of EDP Energias de on the next trading day is expected to be 36.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.24 and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.26. EDP Pink Sheet Forecast is based on your current time horizon.
  
A commonly used 20-period moving average forecast model for EDP Energias de is based on a synthetically constructed EDP Energiasdaily price series in which the value for a trading day is replaced by the mean of that value and the values for 20 of preceding and succeeding time periods. This model is best suited for price series data that changes over time.

EDP Energias 20 Period Moving Average Price Forecast For the 29th of November

Given 90 days horizon, the 20 Period Moving Average forecasted value of EDP Energias de on the next trading day is expected to be 36.70 with a mean absolute deviation of 2.24, mean absolute percentage error of 6.20, and the sum of the absolute errors of 94.26.
Please note that although there have been many attempts to predict EDP Pink Sheet prices using its time series forecasting, we generally do not recommend using it to place bets in the real market. The most commonly used models for forecasting predictions are the autoregressive models, which specify that EDP Energias' next future price depends linearly on its previous prices and some stochastic term (i.e., imperfectly predictable multiplier).

EDP Energias Pink Sheet Forecast Pattern

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EDP Energias Forecasted Value

In the context of forecasting EDP Energias' Pink Sheet value on the next trading day, we examine the predictive performance of the model to find good statistically significant boundaries of downside and upside scenarios. EDP Energias' downside and upside margins for the forecasting period are 34.97 and 38.42, respectively. We have considered EDP Energias' daily market price to evaluate the above model's predictive performance. Remember, however, there is no scientific proof or empirical evidence that traditional linear or nonlinear forecasting models outperform artificial intelligence and frequency domain models to provide accurate forecasts consistently.
Market Value
36.22
36.70
Expected Value
38.42
Upside

Model Predictive Factors

The below table displays some essential indicators generated by the model showing the 20 Period Moving Average forecasting method's relative quality and the estimations of the prediction error of EDP Energias pink sheet data series using in forecasting. Note that when a statistical model is used to represent EDP Energias pink sheet, the representation will rarely be exact; so some information will be lost using the model to explain the process. AIC estimates the relative amount of information lost by a given model: the less information a model loses, the higher its quality.
AICAkaike Information Criteria85.0161
BiasArithmetic mean of the errors 2.2444
MADMean absolute deviation2.2444
MAPEMean absolute percentage error0.0581
SAESum of the absolute errors94.2635
The eieght-period moving average method has an advantage over other forecasting models in that it does smooth out peaks and valleys in a set of daily observations. EDP Energias de 20-period moving average forecast can only be used reliably to predict one or two periods into the future.

Predictive Modules for EDP Energias

There are currently many different techniques concerning forecasting the market as a whole, as well as predicting future values of individual securities such as EDP Energias de. Regardless of method or technology, however, to accurately forecast the pink sheet market is more a matter of luck rather than a particular technique. Nevertheless, trying to predict the pink sheet market accurately is still an essential part of the overall investment decision process. Using different forecasting techniques and comparing the results might improve your chances of accuracy even though unexpected events may often change the market sentiment and impact your forecasting results.
Hype
Prediction
LowEstimatedHigh
34.4936.2237.95
Details
Intrinsic
Valuation
LowRealHigh
30.5132.2439.84
Details
Bollinger
Band Projection (param)
LowMiddleHigh
35.1936.1737.15
Details
Please note, it is not enough to conduct a financial or market analysis of a single entity such as EDP Energias. Your research has to be compared to or analyzed against EDP Energias' peers to derive any actionable benefits. When done correctly, EDP Energias' competitive analysis will give you plenty of quantitative and qualitative data to validate your investment decisions or develop an entirely new strategy toward taking a position in EDP Energias de.

Other Forecasting Options for EDP Energias

For every potential investor in EDP, whether a beginner or expert, EDP Energias' price movement is the inherent factor that sparks whether it is viable to invest in it or hold it better. EDP Pink Sheet price charts are filled with many 'noises.' These noises can hugely alter the decision one can make regarding investing in EDP. Basic forecasting techniques help filter out the noise by identifying EDP Energias' price trends.

EDP Energias Related Equities

One of the popular trading techniques among algorithmic traders is to use market-neutral strategies where every trade hedges away some risk. Because there are two separate transactions required, even if one position performs unexpectedly, the other equity can make up some of the losses. Below are some of the equities that can be combined with EDP Energias pink sheet to make a market-neutral strategy. Peer analysis of EDP Energias could also be used in its relative valuation, which is a method of valuing EDP Energias by comparing valuation metrics with similar companies.
 Risk & Return  Correlation

EDP Energias de Technical and Predictive Analytics

The pink sheet market is financially volatile. Despite the volatility, there exist limitless possibilities of gaining profits and building passive income portfolios. With the complexity of EDP Energias' price movements, a comprehensive understanding of forecasting methods that an investor can rely on to make the right move is invaluable. These methods predict trends that assist an investor in predicting the movement of EDP Energias' current price.

EDP Energias Market Strength Events

Market strength indicators help investors to evaluate how EDP Energias pink sheet reacts to ongoing and evolving market conditions. The investors can use it to make informed decisions about market timing, and determine when trading EDP Energias shares will generate the highest return on investment. By undertsting and applying EDP Energias pink sheet market strength indicators, traders can identify EDP Energias de entry and exit signals to maximize returns.

EDP Energias Risk Indicators

The analysis of EDP Energias' basic risk indicators is one of the essential steps in accurately forecasting its future price. The process involves identifying the amount of risk involved in EDP Energias' investment and either accepting that risk or mitigating it. Along with some essential techniques for forecasting edp pink sheet prices, we also provide a set of basic risk indicators that can assist in the individual investment decision or help in hedging the risk of your existing portfolios.
Please note, the risk measures we provide can be used independently or collectively to perform a risk assessment. When comparing two potential investments, we recommend comparing similar equities with homogenous growth potential and valuation from related markets to determine which investment holds the most risk.

Also Currently Popular

Analyzing currently trending equities could be an opportunity to develop a better portfolio based on different market momentums that they can trigger. Utilizing the top trending stocks is also useful when creating a market-neutral strategy or pair trading technique involving a short or a long position in a currently trending equity.

Additional Tools for EDP Pink Sheet Analysis

When running EDP Energias' price analysis, check to measure EDP Energias' market volatility, profitability, liquidity, solvency, efficiency, growth potential, financial leverage, and other vital indicators. We have many different tools that can be utilized to determine how healthy EDP Energias is operating at the current time. Most of EDP Energias' value examination focuses on studying past and present price action to predict the probability of EDP Energias' future price movements. You can analyze the entity against its peers and the financial market as a whole to determine factors that move EDP Energias' price. Additionally, you may evaluate how the addition of EDP Energias to your portfolios can decrease your overall portfolio volatility.